Day: August 29, 2024

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Warren Buffett continues to impress investors with his foresight and prescient stock-picking skills. How does he do it? Is there a secret behind Buffett’s investing style? Buffett is probably asked this question at nearly every annual Berkshire Hathaway meeting since they began decades ago.

We found an old recording of a Q&A session of a Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting, where Buffett was asked about something that’s extremely relevant to beginner investors today.

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Buffett’s 29% Returns Vs. Just 7% For The Dow

A listener mentioned that Buffett’s top performance came in from 1956 through 1969, when he returned 29% annually compared with just 7% for the Dow. He reminded Buffett that back in the day his investing approach was to look at many undervalued stocks with “less attention” to long-term economics and sell them quickly. However, according to the fan, Buffett later changed his approach to investing in undervalued companies with strong businesses and holding on to them for the long term. He asked the Oracle of Omaha his key question:

“If you are investing a small sum today, which approach would you use?”

What Would Buffett Do In Today’s Market With A Small Investment?

Here’s how Buffett started his response:

“I would use the approach that I think I am using now of trying to search out businesses where I think they are selling at the lowest price relative to the discounted cash that they would produce in the future.”

The Benefit Of Having A Small Investment

Buffett said more than once during his response that having a small amount of money to invest expands the “universe” of potential opportunities and “ideas.”

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Buffett’s Performance Was 37 Points Better Than The Dow In A Decade

The audience member mentioned that Buffett’s best returns came between 1956 through 1969.

Buffett corrected the listener, saying his best performance was before that.

“From right after I met Ben Graham in early 1951, but from the end of 1950 through the next ten years, actual returns averaged about 50% a year and I think they were 37 points better than the Dow, or something like that.”

Buffett’s Process of Investing $10,000 – $15,000 In A Company

How was Buffett able to post those returns? He said that at that time he was working with a “tiny, tiny, tiny” amount of money.

“So I would pour through volumes of businesses and I would find one or two that I could put $10,000 or $15,000 into; they were ridiculously cheap.”

Buffett said that as the money increased over time, the “universe of possible ideas” started shrinking “dramatically.”

He also said that those times were also “better” in terms of investments.

Buffett Says You Can Still Make “Very Significant Sums”

“If you are working with a small amount of money, with exactly the same background that Charlie and I have, the same ideas, same whatever ability we have, you know I think you could make very significant sums.”

Buffett repeated that as soon as the money goes into “millions” or “many millions,” the curve of returns “falls off” quickly.

Keep Reading:

How Did Buffett Find Undervalued Companies?

Buffett also said that when you have opportunities in which you’d put millions, there would be a lot of competition. The billionaire also emphasized the importance of doing hard work.

“When I started, I went through the pages of the manuals, page by page, I might have gone through 20,000 pages in the Moody’s industrials, transportation, banks and finance manuals. And I did it twice.”

However, Buffett said that this method would not be practical when you are investing millions of dollars.

“You Will Find Some Things”

“If you are working with a small sum of money, and you are really interested in the business and willing to do the work, you will find something. There’s no question about it. You will find some things that promise very large returns compared to what we will be able to deliver with large sums of money.”

Charlie Munger’s Advice: Look For “Obscure” Stocks

After this comment, Buffett requested Charlie Munger to share his thoughts on the topic. Munger agreed with Buffett and said if you have a limited amount of capital, you should be looking at “obscure stocks” and “unusual mispriced” opportunities.

Buffett said that during bull markets some people begin to think that making money in the stock market is easy. He said that he knew some people starting hedge funds while based on their track record and ability they should be “mowing lawns.”

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This article Warren Buffett Shares Secrets To Making ‘Very Significant Sums’ With Small Investment — ‘You Will Find Something, There’s No Question About It’ originally appeared on Benzinga.com

Stocks are often valued based on earnings or cash flow, but both metrics are ultimately limited by sales. For that reason, strong sales growth often goes hand-in-hand with share-price appreciation, and analysts anticipate strong sales growth from Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) and Cloudflare (NYSE: NET) in the coming years.

• Shopify reported $7.7 billion in revenue during the last 12 months. Wall Street expects sales to increase 94% to $14.9 billion in 2027, implying annual growth of 21%.

• Cloudflare reported $1.48 billion in revenue during the last 12 months. Wall Street expects sales to increase 136% to $3.5 billion in 2027, implying annual growth of 28%.

Read on to learn more about these monster growth stocks.

1. Shopify

Shopify is the market leader in e-commerce software, and its enterprise-grade platform Shopify Plus is the leading omnichannel-commerce software. That success stems from its ability to simplify retail. Shopify provides a turnkey solution that lets merchants build and manage their businesses across physical and digital storefronts. It also provides adjacent services for payments, marketing, and logistics.

Shopify reported excellent financial results in the second quarter, beating expectations on the top and bottom lines. Revenue increased 20% to $2 billion driven by particularly strong growth in subscription-software sales, though merchant-services sales also climbed at a steady clip. Meanwhile, non-GAAP net income surged 94% to $345 million.

Investors have good reason to believe Shopify can maintain its momentum. Management estimates its addressable market at $849 billion. The company is well positioned to capitalize on that opportunity given that Shopify merchants account for 10% of online retail sales in the United States and 6% of online retail sales in Western Europe.

Additionally, investments in more sophisticated tools — custom-storefront capabilities, wholesale-commerce features, machine learning-driven market software — targeting larger brands are paying off. For instance, gross merchandise volume (GMV) from wholesale-commerce features rose 140% in Q2 driven by more merchants adopting Shopify Plus. That is noteworthy because the wholesale e-commerce market is growing faster than retail e-commerce.

As mentioned, Wall Street expects Shopify to grow sales at 21% annually through 2027. That estimate makes the current valuation of 12.6 times sales seem fair despite being a premium to the two-year average of 11.4 times sales. Investors with a time horizon of at least three years should consider buying a small position in this growth stock today.

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2. Cloudflare

Cloudflare provides a range of cloud services that accelerate and protect IT infrastructure, while eliminating the cost and complexity of on-premises network hardware. Specifically, its portfolio comprises application performance and security services, zero trust network-security services, and developer tools. Engineering expertise and scale have helped the company secure a strong presence across all three verticals.

To elaborate, Cloudflare operates the fastest cloud network on the planet, and it powers about 20% of the web. That affords the company deep insight into performance issues and security threats across the internet, creating a network effect whereby each new data point enhances its ability to route traffic quickly and securely.

Industry analysts have praised Cloudflare for its technology. For instance, the International Data Corp. has recognized its leadership in content-delivery network software and zero trust network access, and Forrester Research has named the company a leader in edge-development platforms. Those accolades tell potential customers Cloudflare is worth consideration.

The company reported solid financial results in Q2. Its customer count rose 21% to surpass 210,000, and existing customers spent 12% more. In turn, revenue climbed 30% to $401 million, and non-GAAP net income soared 106% to $69 million.

Investors have good reason to believe that momentum will continue. Cloudflare has hardly dented its $176 billion addressable market, and investments in go-to-market capabilities are bearing fruit. Management said sales productivity showed double-digit improvement during the quarter.

As mentioned, Wall Street expects the company’s sales to grow at 28% annually through 2027. That makes the current valuation of 18.7 times sales seem reasonable, especially when the two-year average is 19.5 times sales. Investors with a time horizon of at least three years should consider buying a small position in Cloudflare stock today.

Should you invest $1,000 in Shopify right now?

Before you buy stock in Shopify, consider this:

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Trevor Jennewine has positions in Shopify. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Cloudflare and Shopify. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

2 Monster Growth Stocks to Buy Before Sales Soar 94% and 136%, According to Wall Street was originally published by The Motley Fool

Mark Cuban invested more than $20 million in companies during his time on “Shark Tank,” a show he will be leaving after the upcoming 16th season.

Cuban was known for his quick bids and exits, sometimes offering to buy companies outright for products he believed in. During a 2023 episode in season 14, Cuban broke one of his investing rules for the show.

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What Happened: Cuban typically invests in companies offering products he can envision himself using or that might benefit the Dallas Mavericks, the NBA team he partly owns.

However, in a 2023 episode of “Shark Tank,” Cuban made an offer for a company whose products he likely won’t ever personally use.

In Season 14, Episode 15 of “Shark Tank,” which aired in early March, makeup brand Youthforia presented its pitch.

Youthforia, founded in April 2021, had already achieved $2 million in sales before appearing on the show, as reported by CNBC. The brand gained significant traction on TikTok, particularly for its color-changing oil blush that adjusts to match and blend with customers’ skin tones. On TikTok, Youthforia boasts over 130,000 followers and more than three million likes.

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The Sharks liked the TikTok success and were also impressed with the company’s founder and CEO Fiona Co Chan. 

Kevin O’Leary offered Co Chan $100,000 for 20% of the company along with a $300,000 loan and a cut of distribution pay.

“It’s a bet on the jockey on this deal,” O’Leary said of Co Chan. “You’re really impressive.”

Co Chan wanted to hear from the other Sharks, with Cuban and Barbara Corcoran not putting out bids yet. Co Chan tried to lure them in by saying there was a launch of more shades of blush coming, which neither was thrilled about.

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“When you have something that’s completely differentiated, you ride that, and you don’t do anything else, because that just dilutes your efforts,” Cuban said. “Sometimes, you shouldn’t listen to your customers.”

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Co Chan turned to O’Leary and offered 5% equity for $400,000 and a 50 cent royalty for each unit sold by the company up to $500,000.

O’Leary countered with an $800,000 offer for 10% equity and a $1 royalty on each unit.

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This is when Cuban decided to step in, offering $400,000 for 10% without a royalty and said the reason he was interested in the makeup brand was because his daughters and wife would “understand” the product, which he didn’t.

Cuban offered to wear the color-changing blush himself as part of demos.

O’Leary countered with a $400,000 offer for 7.5% and a 75 cent royalty on sales up to $1 million.

Ultimately, Cuban got Co Chan to accept with his final offer of $400,000 for 8% and no royalties, which he offered “just to prove a point” and ended up beating O’Leary.

Did You Know?

Why It’s Important: The company and Co Chan drew praise from the Sharks during portions of the pitch and after Cuban’s offer was accepted.

Herjavec and Corcoran, who sat out on the offers, said they were impressed with Co Chan’s negotiating skills.

“Kevin, you have to get up and leave the ‘Shark Tank,'” Herjavec said. “Fiona’s taking your chair.”

The offer for Youthforia that was accepted makes the first deal Cuban has ever done with a makeup brand, which could provide several lessons. Cuban has often stuck to his principles in investing in products that he would use himself or the Mavericks would use.

Hearing how much the other Sharks loved the company’s CEO and the product going viral on TikTok, Cuban trusted in his family and made the investment because he could see his daughters and wife using the product.

Youthforia is available on Amazon.com and also at Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA) stores. While we won’t likely see the makeup products at Mavericks games in the future, they could end up becoming a staple in the Cuban household.

This article was previously published by Benzinga on Benzinga Inspire and has been updated.

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This article Mark Cuban Invests $400K In Company He Doesn’t Understand — Because His Daughters Do originally appeared on Benzinga.com

© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

By Noel Randewich and Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

(Reuters) -Shares of Nvidia and other technology heavyweights fell late on Wednesday, a discouraging sign for investors betting that a strong forecast from the dominant seller of AI chips would fuel fresh gains in Wall Street’s most valuable companies.

Nasdaq futures fell about 1% following Nvidia’s quarterly earnings report, suggesting traders expect tech stocks to lose ground on Thursday.

Nvidia dropped almost 7% and lost $200 billion in stock market value after it forecast third-quarter gross margins that could miss market estimates and revenue that was largely in line. A handful of other AI-related companies shed around $100 billion in combined value.

Shares of Broadcom and Advanced Micro Devices were each down about 2%. Microsoft and Amazon each dipped almost 1%.

If Wednesday’s late-day dip in Nvidia shares extends into Thursday, it would be well short of the 11% price swing the options market had priced for the shares, according to data from options analytics firm ORATS.

Surging demand for its AI chips helped Nvidia crush consensus analyst estimates for several quarters, a trend that led investors to expect the company to exceed forecasts by higher and higher margins.

Nvidia’s soft forecasts overshadowed a beat on second-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings as well as the unveiling of a $50 billion share buyback.

“They beat but this was just one of those situations where expectations were so high. I don’t know that they could have had a good enough number for people to be happy,” said JJ Kinahan, CEO of IG North America and president of online broker Tastytrade.

The lackluster response to Nvidia’s earnings report could help set the tone for market sentiment heading into what is historically a volatile time of the year. The S&P 500 has fallen in September by an average of 0.8% since World War Two, the worst performance of any month, according to CFRA data.

Investors are also watching next week’s U.S. employment report for signs on whether the labor market weakness that roiled stocks in early August has dissipated.

Optimism about AI technology, in part due to Nvidia’s explosive growth, has fueled gains on Wall Street over the past year.

However, confidence in that rally has wavered in recent weeks following an earnings season that saw investors punish shares of tech companies whose results failed to justify rich valuations.

Investors have also become concerned about increases in already hefty spending by Microsoft, Alphabet and other major players in the race to dominate emerging AI technology. Microsoft and Alphabet’s stocks remain down since their reports last month.

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Nvidia forecast revenue of $32.5 billion, plus or minus 2%, for its fiscal third quarter, compared with analysts’ average estimate of $31.8 billion, according to LSEG data. That revenue forecast implies 80% growth from the year-ago quarter.

The Santa Clara, California-based company expects adjusted gross margin of 75%, plus or minus 50 basis points, in the third quarter. Analysts on average forecast gross margin to be 75.5%, according to LSEG data.

Nvidia’s stock dropped 2.1% in Wednesday’s session, ahead of its report. It remains up about 150% so far in 2024, making it the biggest winner in Wall Street’s AI rally.

Nvidia’s stock was valued at 36 times earnings ahead of its quarterly report, inexpensive compared to its average of 41 over the past five years. The S&P 500 is trading at 21 times expected earnings, compared to a five-year average of 18.

(Reporting by Noel Randewich in San Francisco; Additional reporting by Saqib Ahmed in New York; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Lisa Shumaker)

As a trading concern, Donald Trump’s social media company has become a way for investors to bet on the former president’s odds of retaking the White House.

Since going public through a special-purpose acquisition company merger in March, shares of Trump Media & Technology Group have fluctuated wildly alongside its namesake’s political fortunes.

Following Vice President Kamala Harris’ ascension to the top of the Democratic ticket, Trump has slipped in the polls and so, too, have shares of Trump Media, which owns the GOP nominee’s social media bullhorn of choice, Truth Social.

The stock drifted to a new post-merger low Tuesday, closing at $20.99. In the last 30 trading days, it has lost more than 40% of its value.

What happens if Trump sells DJT shares

In regulatory filings, Trump Media has telegraphed how critical Trump is to the company’s brand, warning that its value “may diminish” if Trump’s popularity falters.

Now another factor is weighing on the stock. Trump is less than a month away from being able to cash out his paper wealth. Trump Media has also cited Trump’s divestment of DJT stock as one of the top risks to its business.

Trump Media is a major contributor to Trump’s net worth. Its market value is hovering around $4 billion even though the company is losing money and has nearly no revenue.

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Trump owns about 60% of the company’s outstanding stock. He is expected to be able to start selling shares as soon as Sept. 20 when a six-month lockup period that has prevented insiders from unloading their holdings is expected to lift.

Trump has not indicated if he intends to sell shares in Trump Media and his campaign declined to comment.

Cashing in shares could help Trump pay his mounting legal bills but could antagonize supporters who have shoveled money into the stock and could be viewed as a vote of no confidence in the company.

The prosecutor in Trump’s federal election interference case secured a new indictment against Trump on Tuesday.

What more Trump Media shares mean for investors

Another key factor in the Trump Media stock decline is a deal Trump Media reached in July with Yorkville Advisors to register and sell up to $2.5 billion worth of new shares, says University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter.

On the one hand, the deal could boost cash per share on the company’s balance sheet from $1.50 per share to about $4.50 per share, Ritter said.

“This increase would reduce the downside potential for the stock,” he said.

But there’s a caveat.

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“Any upside for the company is dependent on coming up with a business strategy to generate revenue and profits,” Ritter said. “So far, the company has failed to find a successful strategy.”

What’s more, additional shares issued through the Yorkville agreement could be putting downward pressure on the stock price, according to Ritter.

Even if Trump does not sell shares when the lock-up period ends, other insiders may, increasing the public float even more, he added.

“The price might be drifting down partly in anticipation of these share sales,” Ritter said.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: DJT decline: Why Trump Media is falling out with investors

In the last 10 years, we’ve seen the markets hit some major numerical milestones from a market-capitalization perspective. Apple was the first trillion-dollar market-cap company back in 2018. The other “Magnificent 7” stocks — so coined by Bank of America chief investment strategist Michael Hartnett as Apple, Alphabet, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla — soon followed. Now, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia all trade at market caps above $3 trillion. That is a lot of moola.

The next big milestone will be a market cap of $10 trillion. Let the race begin today between the technology giants. Even though it is starting well behind some of the other Magnificent 7 stocks, I predict Amazon will be the first company to hit a market cap of $10 trillion. Here’s why.

E-commerce has plenty of room to run

Amazon and its sprawling e-commerce empire are well-known. Looking at its North America segment — which also houses segments such as hardware and advertising — revenue hit $370 billion over the last 12 months ending in June of this year. Even though it has been around for so long and has many detractors in the media and government, Amazon is set to surpass 40% market share of U.S. e-commerce sales this year.

If Amazon can just maintain market share in the category, there is a ton of room for North American revenue to grow over the next five to 10 years. E-commerce is only 16% of retail sales in the United States today. If that eventually doubles to 32%, Amazon’s North American annual revenue will hit $740 billion.

With high-fixed costs across its e-commerce supply chain, more revenue will lead to profit-margin expansion. There will also be benefits from fast growing advertising services and third-party seller revenue, which are becoming a larger piece of the Amazon retail pie. Over the last 12 months, Amazon’s operating margin in North America was 5.6% and keeps marching higher. In the next 10 years, I think this segment can surpass a 15% operating margin.

A 15% operating margin on $740 billion in revenue is $111 billion in operating earnings just from the North American retail segment. Remember this number.

Cloud computing and AI

On the other hand, Amazon has perhaps an even more promising division in Amazon Web Services (AWS). The leader in cloud computing is close to passing $100 billion in annual revenue and posts impressive profit margins above 30%. It is riding a wave of growth in artificial intelligence (AI) at the moment but aims to be the computing bedrock for all sorts of modern software and other applications.

Like e-commerce, the world is still in the early days of transitioning to cloud computing. On the latest conference call, executives reiterated that the “vast majority” of IT spending is still on-site. They believe it will eventually switch to cloud-computing solutions, which will benefit AWS.

AWS revenue is growing at close to 20% year over year right now. If this slows to an average of 15% per year over the next 10 years, the division will eventually generate $400 billion in annual revenue, which isn’t a crazy assumption given that global IT spending is in the trillions and growing as a sector year after year.

Assuming operating margins stay at 30% or above, $400 billion in revenue equals $120 billion in operating income from AWS 10 years from now.

AMZN Market Cap data by YCharts.

The path to $10 trillion (and don’t forget international growth)

Long story short, I think Amazon is the most likely company to hit a $10 trillion market cap due to the huge runway for growth in the e-commerce and cloud-computing sectors. This is an unmatched tailwind across even other Magnificent 7 stocks, which look closer to market saturation.

Now to the math that leads to a $10 trillion valuation. Add together $120 billion in earnings from AWS and $111 billion in earnings from North America, and Amazon will have a combined $231 billion in earnings 10 years from now. But don’t forget the third pillar of Amazon’s business: international retail. The segment generates $136 billion in revenue but has negligible profits due to exposure to emerging markets such as India.

As an earnings headwind today, markets such as India can be a huge growth driver if India’s GDP per capita keeps growing at an impressive rate. A lot needs to go right in these other countries, but it is possible that the international segment can generate hundreds of billions in revenue and tens of billions in operating earnings 10 years from now if it can achieve similar profit margins as in North America.

Add it all together, and I think Amazon has a chance at generating $300 billion in earnings 10 years from now. At a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 33 — not unheard of for large technology stocks — $300 billion in earnings equates to a $10 trillion market capitalization.

I know that is a lot of math, but this is the path for Amazon hitting the next market-cap milestone and winning the race to become the largest company in the world. Regardless of how fast it gets there, the stock looks like a buy-and-hold investment at a market cap of $1.86 trillion today.

Should you invest $1,000 in Amazon right now?

Before you buy stock in Amazon, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Amazon wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $774,894!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of August 26, 2024

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Brett Schafer has positions in Alphabet and Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Prediction: This Unstoppable Hypergrowth Company Will Be the First $10 Trillion Stock (Hint: It’s Not Nvidia) was originally published by The Motley Fool

(Bloomberg) — US mortgage rates fell again last week to the lowest level since April 2023, spurring a modest pickup in applications to buy a home.

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The contract rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage eased for a fourth week to 6.44%, the longest stretch of declines this year, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data released Wednesday. That provided a small boost to home-purchase applications in the week ended Aug. 23 after a sizable drop in the prior period.

Mortgage rates move in tandem with Treasury yields, which have been falling recently on expectations the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in September. Minutes of the central bank’s July meeting last week indicated “several” officials saw a case for reducing rates at the time, and Chair Jerome Powell said Friday “the time has come for policy to adjust.”

A further decline in borrowing costs is seen helping provide a spark for the housing market. But the weak level of purchases indicates that affordability challenges, due in part to high home prices, are holding prospective buyers.

The MBA survey, which has been conducted weekly since 1990, uses responses from mortgage bankers, commercial banks and thrifts. The data cover more than 75% of all retail residential mortgage applications in the US.

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