Day: September 18, 2024

Wilmington, Delaware, United States, Transparency Market Research, Inc. , Sept. 18, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — The global green cosmetic products market (mercado de productos cosméticos verdes ) was worth US$ 33.7 billion in 2023. A CAGR of 7.0% is anticipated between 2024 and 2034, and the industry will reach US$ 70.6 billion by 2034. Oleochemicals, which are naturally occurring compounds produced from plant and animal fats, are another option being investigated by green cosmetic makers. Eco-friendly cosmetics can be made more sustainable by using oleochemicals as alternatives to petroleum-based products.

Enhancing consumer relationships and offering customized experiences are among the trends observed in the cosmetics sector, along with personalized care and immersive beauty experiences. This reduces waste and enables customers to customize their beauty regimens to meet their unique demands. Supply chain transparency is being made possible through blockchain technology in the cosmetics industry. By using sustainable ingredients in green cosmetics, consumers are able to make informed choices about their purchases.

Several cosmetic businesses have already adopted vegan products and cruelty-free ingredients to reduce the presence of synthetic surfactants, parabens, essential oils, silicones, synthetic sunscreens, drying alcohols, fragrances, and colors in their products. The future of green cosmetics appears bright, provided that innovation and the development of more environmentally friendly and sustainable formulations continue.

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Key Findings of the Market Report

• Female-targeted green cosmetic products are highly sought after on the market.
• The green cosmetics market is expected to grow as e-commerce sales rise and discount offers continue.
• The skin care segment held most of the market share in 2023.
• North America accounted for a majority of the market share in 2023.

Global Green Cosmetic Products Market: Growth Drivers

• The environmental consciousness of customers leads them to look for products with less environmental impact. As more people adopt healthier lifestyles, they turn to natural and safe goods to maintain their health. Using synthetic chemicals in traditional cosmetics may pose health risks to consumers, so green cosmetics have become increasingly popular.
• Regulating organizations worldwide are imposing stricter rules on the cosmetics industry, especially regarding hazardous chemicals and compounds.
• Cosmetic companies have been reformulating their goods to comply with these rules, resulting in the need for green substitutes. Companies are increasingly focusing on sustainability as part of their business strategies.
• Social media sites and beauty influencers greatly influence consumer preferences. Influencers help fuel the growing demand for eco-friendly beauty products among their followers by promoting these goods and sharing their experiences with eco-friendly firms. Technological developments have made it simpler for cosmetic companies to create creative, environmentally-friendly formulas and packaging.
• Customers are increasingly choosing goods that reflect their values and worldviews. Customers today emphasize transparency, ethical sourcing, and sustainability. As a result, eco-friendly cosmetics featuring these features have gained popularity.

Global Green Cosmetic Products Market: Regional Landscape

• North America has implemented more regulations to ensure the safety of cosmetic products, particularly in the United States and Canada. Health Canada and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the United States have scrutinized the use of specific components in cosmetics, forcing companies to restructure their products. As a result, green cosmetic products require safer, more natural ingredients.
• The dangers of artificial chemicals included in cosmetics are becoming more apparent to North American consumers. Customers are highly concerned with their health and wellness, so they tend to seek out products without potentially harmful ingredients such as parabens, phthalates, and sulfates. The market for green cosmetics with clearer, cleaner formulas has grown due to this greater awareness.
• Clean beauty promotes sustainable, safe, and transparent cosmetic products in North America. Clean beauty standards drive consumers’ preference for eco-friendly cosmetics that follow these principles.
• A high value is placed on environmental responsibility and sustainability by North American millennials and Gen Z. Several sectors, including the cosmetics industry, are seeing consumer demand for environmentally friendly products increase. These demographic groups’ increasing purchasing power and preference for eco-friendly cosmetics have brought a shift in the market.

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Global Green Cosmetic Products Market: Competitive Landscape

Across the global market for green cosmetic products, most companies are investing a significant amount of money and time into establishing their presence in prominent regions. Players operating in the market rely heavily on product launches.

Key Market Players

• Chanel
• Ere Perez
• Giorgio Armani
• Herbivore Botanicals, LLC
• Lady Green
• L’Occitane en Provence
• Moringaia
• Origins Natural Resources Inc.
• Sky Organics
• Weleda

Key Developments

• In January 2022, Chanel launched N°1, a new line of sustainable and neutral beauty products. Through its latest collection, Chanel made a foray into clean cosmetics. A laboratory open to the sky in the French town of Gaujacq produces the company’s organic camellia-based products.
• In April 2023. Ere Perez Natural Cosmetics introduced an eco-refillable compact made of 100% aluminum. This sustainable and natural beauty firm offers a variety of skincare and makeup items for customers seeking minimal, ethical, and healthy beauty. An entirely aluminium refillable compact has been introduced by the company to reduce its environmental impact.

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Global Green Cosmetic Products Market: Segmentation
By Product Type

• Cleanser
• Moisturizer
• Serum
• Face Oil
• Sunscreen
• Others

• Shampoo
• Conditioner
• Hair Color
• Hair Mask
• Hair Oil
• Hair Serum
• Others

• Soaps
• Shower Gel
• Body Cream
• Oils
• Others

• Facial Make up
• Eye Make up
• Lip Products
• Others

By Consumer Orientation

By Distribution Channel

• E-commerce Website
• Company-owned Website

• Hypermarket/Supermarket
• Specialty Stores
• Other Retail Stores

By Region

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• Middle East & Africa
• South America

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About Transparency Market Research

Transparency Market Research, a global market research company registered at Wilmington, Delaware, United States, provides custom research and consulting services. Our exclusive blend of quantitative forecasting and trends analysis provides forward-looking insights for thousands of decision makers. Our experienced team of Analysts, Researchers, and Consultants use proprietary data sources and various tools & techniques to gather and analyses information.

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Wall Street is jittery hours before the highly anticipated Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with all major indices posting modest losses by midday in New York. While a Federal Reserve rate cut is considered a done deal, the market remains divided on the magnitude of the cut.

Current implied probabilities show a 60% chance of a 50-basis-point reduction, while a smaller 25-basis-point cut has lately gained traction, rising to 40% odds, as per CME FedWatch.

The growing expectation of a smaller cut has pushed Treasury yields higher across the curve, reflecting a shift in market sentiment.

Amid this uncertainty, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often seen as the market’s fear gauge, spiked 8%, signaling heightened investor anxiety.

The U.S. dollar steadied, recovering from overnight losses. Commodities retreated, with oil prices down 0.9%, despite a fresh escalation of tensions in the Middle East, and silver slipping 1%. Gold remained flat.

In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin BTC/USD declined 1.5%, dipping below the $60,000 mark after a 3.6% rally on Tuesday.

Wednesday’s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs

According to Benzinga Pro data:

• The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY was 0.3% lower to $561.44.
• The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average DIA fell 0.3% to $416.11.
• The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series QQQ fell 0.4% to $471.53.
• The iShares Russell 2000 ETF IWM eased 0.5% to $218.40.
• The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund XLE outperformed, up 0.2%. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund XLK lagged, down 0.8%.

Wednesday’s Stock Movers

• ResMed Inc. RMD fell over 5% after Wolfe Research cut the stock rating from ‘Peer Perform’ to ‘Underperform.’
• General Motors Co.GM shares surged over 2% on Wednesday following the announcement that its electric vehicle customers will soon be able to access Tesla Inc. TSLA’s Supercharger network using a GM-approved adapter.

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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

“The time has come for policy to adjust.” With these simple words, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled at the Jackson Hole conference last month that interest rates are likely to be cut at the Fed’s September meeting.

As the Federal Open Market Committee decision at 2 p.m. ET Wednesday approaches, here’s what investors need to know:

1. Interest Rates Are Set To Be Cut

It’s almost certain the Federal Reserve will cut the fed funds rate from the current 5.25%-5.5% level.

This would mark the first rate cut since March 2020, when the central bank slashed rates in response to the pandemic-induced recession.

Also Read: From ‘Too Hot’ To ‘Time Has Come’: 10 Moments Powell Shed Light On Inflation

2. The Size Of The Cut Remains Uncertain

Unusually, there is still no consensus on the size of the upcoming rate cut. According to the latest market-implied odds, investors are pricing in a 50-basis-point rate cut with a 59% probability.

The remaining odds suggest a smaller 25-basis-point move.

Historically, the Fed has started a rate-cutting cycle with a 50-basis-point reduction.

3. Wall Street Analysts Predict 0.25% Cut

An overwhelming majority of Wall Street analysts expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 0.25 percentage points.

Their rationale is that the economy remains resilient and does not require a significant rate cut, especially with inflation still above target.

Additionally, a larger 50-basis-point cut could be seen as politically charged, as this meeting is the last before the November presidential election.

4. All Eyes On Dot Plot

Alongside the rate decision, the Fed will release its updated Summary of Economic Projections, covering growth, inflation and the expected path of the Fed funds rate.

The “‘dot plot,” which maps out FOMC members’ expectations for future rate moves, will be closely watched. In June, the average dot indicated only one rate cut by the end of this year, followed by 100 basis points of cuts in both 2025 and 2026.

Market participants now anticipate a more aggressive forecast for rate reductions.

5. Let Powell Speak

The rate decision and the economic projections will be unveiled at 2 p.m. ET, but traders will be glued to Chair Jerome Powell‘s press conference starting at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Powell will likely face tough questions regarding the rationale behind the day’s decision and the Fed’s approach to the upcoming rate-cutting cycle.

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Photo via Shutterstock.

Even as the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its first rate cut in the current monetary policy cycle, some have expressed fears that the move could be a little too late to keep the economy from slipping into a recession. Market strategist and  President of Yardeni Research Ed Yardeni, however, allayed the concern.

What Happened: The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow model revised the estimate for third-quarter real GDP growth from a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.5% to 3%. The growth pertains to the national economy. Yardeni noted that the upward revision was made following the release of solid August retail sales and industrial production reports.

The Commerce Department said Tuesday that retail sales rose 0.1% month-over-month in August compared to consensus expectations for a 0.2% drop. Auto sales edged down 0.1% but core retail sales excluding motor vehicle and parts dealers and gas stations rose a moderate 0.2%.

Separately, the Federal Reserve said industrial production rose 0.8% month-over-month in August, better than the 0.2% consensus forecast.

Yardeni noted that an upward revision in real consumer spending growth from 3.5% to a whopping 3.7% was primarily responsible for the upward adjustment to the GDPNow model. The increase in real spending on capital equipment was raised from 10.8% to 11.6%, he added.

See Also: Best Growth Stocks

Why It’s Important: The two strong reports from Tuesday along with the August non-farm payroll gains confirm that the index of coincident economic indicators may have risen to yet another record in August, Yardeni said. The coincident economic index, calculated by the Conference Board, takes into account payroll employment, personal income less transfer payment, manufacturing and trade sales, and industrial production

The year-over-year growth rates of the coincident economic index and real GDP are highly correlated, he said, adding that “both are rising at a solid pace.”

This could be good news for the market as most strategists opine that the Fed rate cuts could prove more beneficial for the market if the economy holds up without slipping into a recession.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Index, rose 0.14% to $563.84, according to Benzinga Pro data.

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Image via Pexels

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.

Fed Credibility At Stake

Please click here for an enlarged chart of  SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust SPY which represents the benchmark stock market index S&P 500 (SPX).

Note the following:

• The chart shows that the stock market is near the resistance zone.
• The chart shows that the rally has been on low volume.  This indicates a lack of conviction.
• The chart shows that RSI has just entered the overbought zone.  This indicates that the stock market can go either way.
• The chart shows that if the stock market does not break out and turns down from here, it will be tracing a triple top.  A triple top is a negative pattern.
• FOMC will announce its rate decision at 2pm ET today and will be followed by Powell’s press conference at 2:30pm ET.
• Understanding Wall Street positioning can give investors a big edge.  Wall Street is positioned for a 50 bps cut and highly dovish comments.
• In The Arora Report analysis, the totality of data does not justify a 50 bps cut.  Further in The Arora Report analysis, the totality of data does not justify very dovish commentary. 
• In The Arora Report analysis, if the Fed complies with the momo crowd’s demands, the Fed’s credibility will be hurt in the long run.  There may be unintended consequences.  One unintended consequence may be a rise in long term yields in due course.  The other potential unintended consequence may be an unhealthy drop in the dollar.    
• If the momo crowd gets what they want, S&P 500 at 6000 is a magnet for traders.
• If the momo crowd gets what they want, the momo crowd will aggressively buy.  However, it is not clear how smart money will react.  There is a fair probability of smart money taking advantage of the strength to sell.
• If the Fed cuts by 25 basis points, then the market reaction will depend on commentary and the dot plot.
• In The Arora Report analysis, if the Fed cuts by 25 bps and the commentary is not dovish, there is a downside risk to the stock market. 
• Prudent investors need to be very mindful that the Fed is about to cut interest rates at a time when the stock market is near its all time high, house prices are near all time highs, and the economy is strong.  Historically, the Fed cuts interest rates when the economy is weak or in recession, house prices are falling, and the stock market is weak.  By aggressively cutting interest rates now accompanied by highly dovish commentary, the Fed risks its long term credibility.    Highly dovish action now also has the potential to start rampant speculation in stocks, housing, and cryptos.
• A 50 bps cut and highly dovish commentary will be helpful for a Harris election.  The Fed will never admit it, but there is a school of thought that the Fed wants to help Harris win the election.  The reason is that Trump has already said he will not reappoint Powell.  Further, Trump has said that he will interfere with the Fed.

Housing Starts

Housing starts came at 1356K vs. 1320K consensus.

Building permits came at 1475K vs. 1415K consensus.

In The Arora Report analysis, activity among builders is increasing as they anticipate falling interest rates will let loose pent up demand.  This will increase economic activity, which in turn is good for the stock market. 

Magnificent Seven Money Flows

In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc AAPL, Alphabet Inc Class C GOOG, Meta Platforms Inc META, Microsoft Corp MSFT, and Tesla Inc TSLA.

In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN and NVIDIA Corp NVDA.

In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPY and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 QQQ.

Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks

Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust GLD.  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust SLV.  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF USO.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin BTC/USD is seeing buying in anticipation of a 50 bps rate cut.  Bullish crypto gurus are hopeful that a 50 bps cut will take bitcoin to a new high.

Protection Band And What To Do Now

It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.

Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.

You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.  The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.  If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.

A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.  A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.

It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.  When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.  High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.

Traditional 60/40 Portfolio

Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.

Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.  Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.

The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever Generate Wealth Newsletter.