Investing legend Jim Rogers expects an ‘extremely bad’ recession. Why he’s buying silver instead of gold.
The U.S. economy is getting closer to suffering an “extremely bad” recession — one that’ll lead investors to seek out precious metals, Jim Rogers told MarketWatch during a Zoom interview this week. But the veteran investor said he’s more likely to buy silver than gold as a way to “hide” from the economic turmoil.
History would indicate we’re getting closer to a recession, “but I don’t know when,” said Rogers, chairman of Beeland Interests Inc., who co-founded the legendary Quantum Fund with billionaire George Soros in the 1970s. “I do know there’s going to be a recession again, and I do know it’s going to be extremely bad.”
He believes “America’s never gone this long without a recession in its history,” and it’s “overdue” for more economic problems .
The longest period without a recession, based on data from the National Bureau of Economic Research, was a roughly 128-month period from 2009 to 2020. The U.S. saw a short recessionary period during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and before that, the “Great Recession” ran from 2007 to 2009. It was one of longest and deepest recessions since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
If the economy does have serious problems, Rogers, who’s based in Singapore, believes gold and silver will do well, along with commodities in general.
When there are economic issues, that leads to money-printing and inflation, and people will want to have ”somewhere to hide in assets that will hold their value,” he said. “Commodities usually hold their value when there’s a lot of inflation and money-printing.”
Gold and silver, in particular, have “always been places for people to hide during economic turmoil,” Rogers said. “So I would suspect gold and silver would do well.”
“Gold is already doing well. Silver’s doing not bad,” he said.
Gold futures saw their most-active December contract GC00 GCZ24 settle Tuesday at a record high of $2,759.80 an ounce on Comex and notched an all-time intraday high of $2,772.60 on Wednesday.
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