Warren Buffett Just Bought Another $345 Million Worth of His Favorite Stock
Warren Buffett is the chairman and CEO of the Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B) investment company. He has overseen a 19.8% compound annual return in Berkshire stock since 1965, which would have been enough to turn an investment of $1,000 back then into over $42.5 million today.
The same investment in the S&P 500 index would be worth just $327,400 today, so it’s no surprise that investors closely monitor Buffett’s every move.
According to Berkshire’s 13-F filing for the second quarter of 2024 (ended June 30), the conglomerate just sold a substantial amount of stock, which implies Buffett might be feeling cautious about the broader market. However, Berkshire’s Q2 financials suggest there is still one stock he appears to absolutely love.
Berkshire slashed its largest position by half
Berkshire spent around $38 billion acquiring shares in iPhone maker Apple between 2016 and 2023. It’s the most money the conglomerate has invested in any company since Buffett took the helm in 1965.
Berkshire’s position in Apple was worth over $170 billion earlier this year, which meant it was sitting on a whopping $130 billion gain. It accounted for almost half of the value of the conglomerate’s entire stock portfolio. Berkshire periodically sold small parcels of Apple stock over the years to lock in gains, but it really ramped up its selling in recent months.
In the first quarter of 2024 (ended March 31), Berkshire sold around 13% of its Apple stake for tax reasons (according to Buffett). It followed that up by selling 49% of its remaining shares during the second quarter. Berkshire is still holding $90 billion worth of Apple stock — and it’s still the conglomerate’s largest position — but many investors are worried that Buffett’s recent activity reflects a negative view on the stock market overall.
That’s because in addition to selling Apple, Berkshire offloaded its entire stakes in Paramount Global and Snowflake, and it trimmed its positions in Chevron, Capital One Financial, and T-Mobile (to name just a few moves).
In fact, as my colleague Sean Williams points out, Q2 was the seventh consecutive quarter in which Berkshire was a net seller of stocks. Berkshire is now sitting on a record $277 billion in cash and equivalents, which implies Buffett is struggling to find opportunities in this market that represent a good value.
The S&P 500 trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 27.4 as of this writing, which is far more expensive than its average P/E of 18.1 going back to when the index was established in the 1950s. Since Buffett’s time-tested strategy involves buying great companies at a fair price, perhaps it’s no surprise that he isn’t enthusiastic about putting money to work right now.
But there is one stock Buffett continues to buy
Although Buffett is adopting a cautious stance toward the broader market right now, there was one stock Berkshire continued to buy in Q2 — except you won’t find it in the conglomerate’s 13-F, because the stock is… Berkshire Hathaway!
That’s right, Buffett authorized the repurchase of $345 million worth of Berkshire stock in the recent quarter. Buybacks are a popular way for companies to return money to their shareholders. Simply put, they reduce the total number of shares in circulation, which organically increases the price per share by a proportionate amount.
Berkshire has now spent $2.9 billion on buybacks in 2024, and a whopping $77.8 billion since 2018! That’s more than double the amount Buffett spent investing in Apple, and it’s a vote of confidence in the conglomerate’s ability to generate a higher return than most other stocks it could be buying instead.
Berkshire can repurchase stock at its discretion as long as the total value of its cash, equivalents, and holdings in U.S. Treasury Bills remains above $30 billion. Since the conglomerate is sitting on $277 billion in dry powder right now, it’s unlikely the buybacks will stop anytime soon.
Should you invest $1,000 in Berkshire Hathaway right now?
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Anthony Di Pizio has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, Chevron, and Snowflake. The Motley Fool recommends T-Mobile US. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Warren Buffett Just Bought Another $345 Million Worth of His Favorite Stock was originally published by The Motley Fool
Elon Musk was just forced to reveal who really owns X. Here’s the list
Bill Ackman and Sean “Diddy” Combs are among the list of owners of Elon Musk’s X, the social media site formerly known as Twitter.
The platform has been forced to disclose its investors as part of a lawsuit brought by former employees, who are seeking payment of arbitration fees incurred following Musk’s purchase of the site.
Previously, X has argued that its investors were confidential as a matter of “routine practice and policy,” but this week, a federal judge in California ruled to unseal the list of the site’s owners.
Among the nearly 100 owners of the social media giant are some familiar names, both from the world of investment and within the X universe.
Previously, high-profile investors like Fidelity have been connected with X, most notably because the investment vehicle’s filings implied a 72% drop in the company’s value since Musk took it over.
However, the latest filing reveals the investment behemoth’s backing of the platform, with almost 30 separate Fidelity-linked entities holding stakes in the brand.
This week’s unsealed documents also lay bare the lesser-known stakeholders in the company.
The list seen by Fortune reveals the Pershing Square Foundation owns a stake in X. If the name sounds familiar, that’s because of its link to Pershing Square Holdings, founded by billionaire investor Bill Ackman 20 years ago.
Although the foundation of the same name is led by an independent senior leadership team, Ackman and his wife, Neri Oxman, are co-trustees.
Ackman is a vocal user of X and frequently uses the platform to address other high-profile individuals and entities. He has used it to debate Shark Tank star Mark Cuban and raise questions about the leadership of his alma mater, Harvard University.
Elsewhere on the list of owners is Oracle founder Larry Ellison. The stake in X comes via the Lawrence J. Ellison Revocable Trust, the principal business of which, per an SEC report filed in 2008 and seen by Fortune, is to “hold the assets and estate of Mr. Ellison.”
The interests of the trust and Oracle bear no relation to each other, the SEC filing adds.
Unlike Ackman, Ellison is not an avid user of the site. Despite having more than 130,000 followers, Ellison has posted twice—once in 2012 and once in 2023.
Another notable name on the list is Sean Combs Capital.
While SEC filings show no matches for the company, the business has previously been linked to the American rapper Diddy—previously known as Puff Daddy—who has launched a number of businesses under his birth name.
These have included the Sean Combs Foundation, Combs Investments, and more recently the umbrella brand for his holdings, Combs Global.
Musk has also managed to attract some royal attention for his endeavor, with HRH Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Alsaud also featured on the list.
The Saudi prince has a net worth just shy of $19 billion, per Forbes, and also has holdings in the likes of luxury hotels the Four Seasons and the Savoy, as well as other technology firms like ride-sharing company Lyft.
It also seems that despite his criticism of Musk’s leadership, Jack Dorsey still owns shares in the platform he founded via the Jack Dorsey Remainder LLC.
The Twitter cofounder previously backed the Tesla CEO in his takeover of the company but walked back his support earlier this year, telling a member on rival social media platform Bluesky, “It all went south.”
Doubling down on investments
Among the less eminent names are some organizations that not only hold stakes in X as a business but have also seen senior leaders pitch in.
Take the likes of Danilo Kawasaki and Ross Gerber.
According to the filing, the pair are named as individual investors in X but also have a stake in the business they lead, the wealth and investment management firm Gerber Kawasaki.
Elsewhere on the list are the Silicon Valley VCs one might expect: 8VC, Andreessen Horowitz, and Sequoia.
The list, of course, also features Musk himself. Via the Elon Musk Revocable Trust, the SpaceX founder is also listed.
Musk purchased the site for $44 billion in 2022, though the filing did not make clear the proportion of his investment versus that of others. Since then, the business has been beleaguered by departing advertisers, mass layoffs, and criticism of Musk’s strategy.
X did not immediately respond to Fortune‘s request for comment.
The full list
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8VC Opportunities Fund II, L.P.
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ADREM X LLC
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ADREM Y LLC
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Afshar Partners, LP
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Andrea Stroppa
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Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund III, L.P.
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Anthem Ventures, LLC
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ARK Venture Private Holdings LLC
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BAMCO, Inc.
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Bandera Fund LLC
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Baron Opportunity Fund
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Baron Partners Fund
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Binance Capital Management Co., Ltd
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Brookfield Project X L.P.•CCM 2020 Investments LLC
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Cheng and Chen Family Trust
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CNK Fund IV, L.P.
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Danilo Kawasaki
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Dayton Family Enterprises, LLC
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Dayton Family Investments, LLC
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DFJ GROWTH IV, L.P.
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DFJ GROWTH IV PARALLEL FUND, LLC
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DFJ GROWTH X-I, L.P.
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Eden Relationship Capital L.P.
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Elon Musk as Trustee of the Elon Musk Revocable Trust dated July 22, 2003
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FIAM Target Date Blue Chip Growth Commingled Pool By: Fidelity InstitutionalAsset Management Trust Company as Trustee
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Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Commingled Pool By: Fidelity Management TrustCompany, as Trustee
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Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Institutional Trust By its manager Fidelity InvestmentsCanada ULC
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Fidelity Canadian Growth Company Fund by its manager Fidelity InvestmentsCanada ULC
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Fidelity Central Investment Portfolios LLC: Fidelity U.S. Equity Central Fund -Communication Services Sub
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Fidelity Contrafund: Fidelity Advisor New Insights Fund – Sub A
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Fidelity Contrafund: Fidelity Advisor New Insights Fund – Sub B
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Fidelity Contrafund: Fidelity Contrafund•Fidelity Contrafund: Fidelity Contrafund K6
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Fidelity Contrafund: Fidelity Series Opportunistic Insights Fund
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Fidelity Contrafund Commingled Pool By: Fidelity Management Trust Company,as Trustee
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Fidelity Destiny Portfolios: Fidelity Advisor Diversified Stock Fund
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Fidelity Global Growth and Value Investment Trust – Sub A By its manager Fidelity Investments Canada
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Fidelity Global Innovators Investment Trust by its manager Fidelity InvestmentsCanada ULC
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Fidelity Growth Company Commingled Pool By: Fidelity Management TrustCompany, as Trustee
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Fidelity Insights Investment Trust By its manager Fidelity Investments CanadaULC
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Fidelity Mt. Vernon Street Trust: Fidelity Growth Company Fund
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Fidelity Mt. Vernon Street Trust : Fidelity Growth Company K6 Fund
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Fidelity Mt. Vernon Street Trust: Fidelity Series Growth Company Fund
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Fidelity OTC Commingled Pool By: Fidelity Management Trust Company, as Trustee
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Fidelity Puritan Trust: Fidelity Puritan Fund – Equity Sub B
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Fidelity Puritan Trust: Puritan K6 Fund – Equity Subportfolio•Fidelity Securities Fund: Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund
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Fidelity Securities Fund: Fidelity Blue Chip Growth K6 Fund
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Fidelity Securities Fund: Fidelity OTC K6 Portfolio
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Fidelity Securities Fund: Fidelity OTC Portfolio
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Fidelity Select Portfolios : Select Communication Services Portfolio•G64 Ventures LLC
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Gerber Kawasaki Inc.
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GFNCI LLC
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Gigafund 0.21, LP
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Glacier Ventures LLC
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Go Mav, LLC
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HRH Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Alsaud
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HRH Prince Alwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Alsaud
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IMG US, LLC
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Jack Dorsey Remainder LLC
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Jack Dorsey Tr Ua 12/08/2010 Jack Dorsey Revocable Trust
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Kingdom Holding Company
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Lawrence J. Ellison Revocable Trust
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Linda Ye and Robin Ren Family Foundation
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Litani Ventures•Luchi Fiduciaria SR POS. 365
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Manhattan Venture Partners X LLC
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Mirae Asset Innovation X ONE, LLC
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Mirae Asset Project X Fund I, LP•Olivier Janssens
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Q Tetris Holding LLC
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Ross Gerber
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Santo Lira LLC
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SC CDA1 LLC
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SCGE Fund, L.P.•SCGGF III – U.S./India Management, L.P.
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SCHF (M) PV, L.P.
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Scott Nolan
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SC US/E Expansion Fund I Management, L.P.
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Sean Combs Capital, LLC
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Sequent (Schweiz) AG as Trustee of the Debala Trust
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Sequioa Capital Fund, L.P.
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Series N Dis, a series of Atreides Special Circumstances Fund, LLC
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Shahidi Tactic Group, LLC
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Steve Davis
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T. One Holdings LLC
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The Pershing Square Foundation
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TM33 Partner Holdings
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Tresser Blvd 402 LLC
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UnipolSai S.P.A.
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Variable Insurance Products Fund II: VIP Contrafund Portfolio – Subportfolio A
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VYC25 Limited
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X Holdings I Investment, LLC
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
New Starbucks CEO to commute from California home to Seattle HQ
Starbucks is allowing its incoming CEO Brian Niccol to commute to work from his Southern California home — and he will have the option to fly on the company’s corporate jet.
The coffee chain said in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that Niccol “will not be required to relocate” to Seattle and has agreed to “commute from your residence to the Company’s headquarters (and engage in other business travel) as is required to perform your duties and responsibilities.”
Niccol, the former chief executive at Chipotle, will take over as Starbucks CEO and chairman on Sept. 9, replacing Laxman Narasimhan.
INCOMING STARBUCKS CEO BRIAN NICCOL POISED TO GET SIZABLE COMPENSATION
When he steps into the job, he will be eligible to use Starbucks’ plane to “travel between your city of residence and the Company’s headquarters” in Seattle, the filing said.
Where Niccol currently lives and Seattle are over 1,100 miles apart from each other by car.
Niccol will be allowed to fly on the company plane for “business-related travel in accordance with the Company’s travel policy” and “your personal travel in accordance with the Company’s policies, up to a maximum amount of $250,000 per year,” too, according to the filing.
Starbucks told FOX Business that Niccol will use the company’s Seattle headquarters as his main office and work out of that location three days per week other than when he is away for work-related travel. That time in-office will be in line with the company’s hybrid work rules.
STARBUCKS CEO OUSTED: WHAT BRIAN NICCOL FACES AS NEW TOP BOSS
Niccol will have a “small remote office” in Newport Beach, California, which the company will work with him to get up and running, according to Starbucks’ SEC filing.
The company also told FOX Business that Niccol will be on the road visiting stores and other locations related to Starbucks’ business or at its headquarters most of the time. He also plans to maintain a home in the city, according to Starbucks.
Prior to being tapped as Starbucks CEO, Niccol helmed Chipotle, which is headquartered in Newport Beach, for about six years. Last week, as Starbucks announced his upcoming appointment, he expressed excitement about joining the company.
STARBUCKS NAMES CHIPOTLE CHIEF BRIAN NICCOL AS NEW CEO
“I have long-admired Starbucks’ iconic brand, unique culture and commitment to enhancing human connections around the globe,” Niccol said. “As I embark upon this journey, I am energized by the tremendous potential to drive growth and further enhance the Starbucks experience for our customers and partners, while staying true to our mission and values.”
Chipotle has selected COO Scott Boatwright to become its interim CEO.
Original article source: New Starbucks CEO to commute from California home to Seattle HQ
This Company Just Became Warren Buffett's Second-Biggest Stock Holding. Is It a Buy Today?
Warren Buffett was making headlines for some of his recent trades even before his 13F filing last week, which detailed all of Berkshire Hathaway‘s trades in the second quarter. But that latest Securities and Exchange Commission filing brought even more news, and not just about stocks he bought and sold. One of his best-loved stocks has climbed into the No. 2 spot in the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio, and it’s a name Buffett-watchers know well.
What happened in the second quarter
Even before the 13F was released, investors already knew that Buffett had sold a chunk of Berkshire’s top holding, Apple. Apple remains the largest position in the portfolio, but instead of accounting for almost half of its value, the tech giant now makes up just under 29%. That’s still an outsized percentage, and no one should think that Buffett has lost faith in Apple, which he recently added to the list of stocks he would never completely sell.
The other stock sale investors already knew about was Bank of America, which is Buffett’s favorite bank stock. Previously, it had been the portfolio’s second-largest position, but he reduced the size of that stake in Q2. He also opened new positions in Heico and Ulta Beauty, and bought and sold smaller amounts of stock from several of his existing positions.
However, after that sale of Bank of America shares, American Express (NYSE: AXP) — a position that Buffett hasn’t touched in about 30 years — is now his second-largest holding.
Why Buffett loves it
American Express is a classic Buffett stock, and he often sings its praises. He has long said that he would never sell American Express or his other favorite, Coca-Cola.
Buffett freely shares his investing wisdom and often talks about what he looks for in a stock. The first part of his formula is that he doesn’t look for great stocks — he looks for great businesses. According to his paradigm, a great company’s stock is likely to appreciate over time while the business grows steadily and profitably.
The next thing he looks for are businesses with durable, long-term competitive advantages. American Express is an established company with a niche target market, rigorous credit management, and a top rewards program.
It has always targeted an upscale, resilient consumer demographic, and in recent years, it has successfully pivoted to focus on a younger cohort, which is driving new membership and should be a reliable growth driver for decades. Management anticipates revenue growth of about 10% this year with a strong increase in earnings per share, and it is targeting similar results for the long term.
Buffett mentioned American Express’ “worldwide” brand as its moat. He often talks about businesses that participate in the American story, and American Express plays an important role in the U.S. economy.
Buffett also loves bank stocks. American Express isn’t a classic bank stock, but it does operate using a closed-loop model, which means it underwrites its own loans, unlike rival credit card networks Visa and Mastercard. These are also Buffett stocks, for similar reasons, but he doesn’t talk about them the same way he does about American Express. Banks have lots of cash, which gives them flexibility and opportunities, and they drive spending and the economy.
He has long said that he, along with Charlie Munger, who passed away last year, look for four things in an investment: A business that is understandable, has favorable long-term economics, able and trustworthy management, and a sensible price tag.
American Express has the kind of business Buffett understands, and its model leads to favorable long-term economics, which it has demonstrated over the decades that Berkshire Hathaway has owned its shares. Able and trustworthy management is how the company has been able to refresh itself to appeal to a new and different cadre of customers, and to grow revenues and increase profits despite periods of inflation and economic volatility.
It has also shown its commitment to creating shareholder value through dividend hikes and share buybacks — common behaviors for companies Buffett invests in.
Finally, American Express usually trades at a discount to the S&P 500 average. Today, it trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19, while the S&P 500 average is 27.
Is American Express a good stock pick for you?
Buffett rarely ventures past value stocks, and American Express is very much a value stock. So if you’re looking to add a high-growth stock to your portfolio now, the financial giant might not fit the bill. However, it does have a reliable record of growing sales and profits at a steady pace, and it has plenty of growth drivers to keep its business running smoothly.
As such, it’s a great pick for value investors or any investor looking for an anchor stock to add to a diversified portfolio. You can expect more growth from American Express for the foreseeable future, as well as an increasing dividend.
Should you invest $1,000 in American Express right now?
Before you buy stock in American Express, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and American Express wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $787,394!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024
Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. American Express is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Jennifer Saibil has positions in American Express and Apple. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Bank of America, Berkshire Hathaway, Mastercard, Ulta Beauty, and Visa. The Motley Fool recommends Heico and recommends the following options: long January 2025 $370 calls on Mastercard and short January 2025 $380 calls on Mastercard. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
This Company Just Became Warren Buffett’s Second-Biggest Stock Holding. Is It a Buy Today? was originally published by The Motley Fool
'Self-Run' Car Wash Sells For 140K, New Owner Profits $5K A Month, Only Stops By To Mix Soap And Collect Cash
When it comes to successful car wash ventures and pop culture references, Walter White’s A1A from “Breaking Bad” comes to mind. But for one young entrepreneur, her scrub stop is no cover-up — it’s bringing in truckloads of money and pretty much runs itself.
What To Know: According to a Business Insider report, 22-year-old Hannah Ingram purchased a coin-operated car wash in Tennessee in 2021 for $140,000. It brings in approximately $5,500 a month in profit and requires almost zero work.
Don’t Miss:
When she purchased the almost entirely automated car wash about three years ago, it was already active and profitable. After contacting the owners who had listed the business for sale and taking a quick look at the books, Ingram saw several areas where she could cut costs and grow the company’s bottom line.
“For example, they were paying a few hundred dollars a month for a radio advertisement that I knew I could lose and replace with social media marketing. Doing those calculations, I could see a clear way forward where I’d be able to stay in the green, and that gave me confidence in the investment,” she told Business Insider.
Trending: These five entrepreneurs are worth $223 billion – they all believe in one platform that offers a 7-9% target yield with monthly dividends
Ingram was able to get around having to come up with a large down payment by buying the business using seller financing, which is a real estate agreement that allows the buyer to make incremental payments to the seller on the purchase. In this case, she actually took over the owner’s existing bank loan.
When Ingram finally acquired the car wash she replaced many of the brushes, vacuums and soap dispensers. She also invested in new signs to put a new shine on the business. Ingram noted that she made a decent profit in her first month of ownership.
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Later on, she added machines that accepted credit cards and made a few other improvements. All in, she invested an extra $7,500 into the business on top of the purchase price and the car wash now profits $5,500 each month on average.
Ingram used to spend about 30 minutes each day taking out trash and doing small preventative maintenance tasks at the location, but she hired someone to take over her minimal maintenance routine.
“These days, I basically just stop by to mix the soap and take care of the money … Otherwise, it’s entirely self-run — and I still make thousands a month,” she told Business Insider.
Read Next:
Photo: Robert Wilkos from Pixabay.
This story is part of a new series of features on the subject of success, Benzinga Inspire.
Some elements of this story were previously reported by Benzinga and it has been updated.
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This article ‘Self-Run’ Car Wash Sells For 140K, New Owner Profits $5K A Month, Only Stops By To Mix Soap And Collect Cash originally appeared on Benzinga.com
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Stock market today: Stocks rise as traders await Jackson Hole and payroll adjustment locks in rate bets
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Stocks ended higher Wednesday as traders took in jobs data and awaited the start of the Jackon Hole conference.
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Revised jobs data show that the economy added 818,000 fewer jobs than initially forecast.
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Investors are waiting for Powell to issue more guidance on Fed policy at Jackson Hole on Friday.
US stocks gained on Wednesday as traders awaited the start of the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole economic conference and took in revised jobs data from the past year.
Major stock indexes traded higher, while Treasury yields dropped through Wednesday’s session.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics issued revised job figures from April 2023 through March 2024, which showed that the US economy added 818,000 fewer jobs during that timeframe than initially reported.
The new figures, which reflect a weaker job market in that period, have bolstered confidence that the Fed is poised to loosen monetary policy and issue potentially steeper rate cuts than previously thought.
Markets are eyeing a 39% chance the Fed could cut rates 50 basis points in September, up from less than 30% earlier this week, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
“If you are in the rate cut in September camp, these data all but seal the deal on what [the] Fed needed to cut rates,” Jamie Cox, a managing partner at Harris Financial Group, said in a statement.
Investors were also soothed by the Fed’s latest meeting minutes, which showed that the majority of FOMC members believed it would “likely be appropriate” to begin cutting interest rates in September, so long as economic data continues “to come in about as expected,” the minutes said.
That’s considerably more dovish than the tone central bankers have struck all year, with Fed Chair Powell previously stating that the central bank needed more confidence that inflation was back on track before easing policy.
“Still, overall the FOMC appears comfortable enough — and concerned enough — that initiating the easing cycle will help ensure that the economic backdrop, particularly the labor market, won’t deteriorate at a marked pace,” Quincy Krosby, the chief global strategist at LPL Financial, added.
Investors are waiting for Powell to speak at the Fed’s annual Jackson Hole retreat on Friday, where the central bank chief is expected to deliver more guidance on policy through the end of the year.
Here’s where US indexes stood at the 4:00 p.m. closing bell on Wednesday:
Here’s what else is going on today:
In commodities, bonds, and crypto:
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Oil futures dropped. West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 1.7% to $71.93 a barrel. Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell 1.45% to $76.09.
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Gold was up slightly to $2,552 an ounce.
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The 10-year Treasury yield dropped two basis points to 3.795%.
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Bitcoin jumped 3.4% to $61.563.
Read the original article on Business Insider
Jim Cramer Says People are Drinking 'Dramatically Less' Because of Weight Loss Drugs – Alcohol Dividend Stocks in Trouble?
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Analysts are beginning to zero in on the potential impact of weight loss drugs like Ozempic and Zepbound on the food and beverage industry. These drugs work by cutting cravings for crunchy snacks and sugary drinks. No cravings mean no temptations to fill carts with those snacks and sugary drinks. It’s a win for health-conscious consumers but a major threat for the food and beverage industry, valued at trillions.
Jim Cramer didn’t hold back on his CNBC show, grilling food and beverage companies for not accepting the impact and growing influence of GLP-1 weight loss drugs. According to Cramer, these drugs are already making a noticeable dent in the industry’s bottom line.
Trending Now:
“Despite the fact that roughly 20 million Americans are said to be taking GLP-1 weight loss diabetes drugs, no, none of the food and beverage companies are willing to admit that these drugs have hurt them at all. They won’t even hint at it,” Cramer said on his show ‘Mad Money’ on CNBC.
Cramer emphasized that these drugs are incredibly “powerful,” and it’s “insane” to think they won’t affect snack food companies and liquor businesses.
He said that about 20 million people eating and drinking “dramatically less” than before is affecting these companies and their price/earnings multiples are “shrinking.”
Cramer called out a couple of liquor companies, too.
Can GLP-1 weight loss drugs topple these billion-dollar liquor giants that easily? Should the investors of dividend-paying beverage companies be worried? Let’s dive into some key stocks, check out their recent performance, and analyze what they’ve been saying in their latest earnings reports.
Diageo
Jim Cramer highlighted Diageo PLC (NYSE:DEO) on CNBC, noting that the company, which owns popular liquor brands like Johnnie Walker whiskey, Casamigos tequila, and Guinness beer, is experiencing sales declines but does not mention the reason behind this slump.
“Why is Casamigos down 20%? No one will say anything,” Cramer said.
Cramer was referring to the 20% sales decline for tequila company Casamigos, which Diageo bought back in 2017, during the year ending June 30.
Diageo saw its sales dip for the first time since the pandemic during the quarter. The company pointed to “unfavorable” currency impacts and a more “cautious” consumer environment as the reasons behind the slump. But what’s driving this caution? Is it inflation concerns, or could it be that GLP-1 drugs are curbing people’s cravings for alcohol? Time will tell. Meanwhile, Diageo still offers a decent 3.18% yield and has an impressive 25-year history of growing its dividends.
Constellation Brands
Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ), behind Corona and Modelo, reported fiscal first quarter results last month. Overall revenue jumped 6% from last year, with the beer business seeing high single-digit net sales growth and double-digit operating income growth. However, Constellation’s wine and spirits net sales plummeted 7%.
Wall Street was positive on the stock after the results. Goldman Sachs’ Bonnie Herzog pointed to Constellation’s underlying business strength and visibility on growth targets. He has a $300 price target and a Buy rating on the stock.
For 2025, Constellation continues to see sales growth of 7% to 9% for its beer business and operating income growth of 10% to 12%. That means at least Constellation’s beer business is not facing any short-term problems from weight-loss drugs.
Brown Forman
Cramer also targeted Jack Daniels maker Brown-Forman Corporation Class B (NYSE:BF), calling its sales “horrendous.”
“When you drink Jack Daniels, it is filled with sugar, ok? And that is really being impacted, but they won’t say what is hurting it,” Cramer said.
Brown-Forman has a dividend yield of about 1.9%. It has increased its dividend payouts for 40 straight years. In fiscal 2024, the company saw higher sales for Jack Daniel’s Tennessee Apple and reported a 150 basis point expansion in gross margin. Looking ahead to fiscal 2025, Brown-Forman expects the business environment to stay “volatile,” citing global macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.
With a portfolio of several famous brands, Brown-Forman is better equipped to manage the risks that GLP-1 drugs might pose.
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When today’s AI startups go public, most of the rapid growth will be behind them — here’s how not to get left out.
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Molson Coors Beverage
Molson Coors Beverage Co Class B (NYSE:TAP), known for beer brands like Coors Light and Miller Lite, recently reported its second-quarter results. Profits increased 7.9% last year, though revenue dipped by 0.6%. For the full year, the company expects revenue to increase in the low single digits.
With a dividend yield of about 3.2%, Molson Coors isn’t just about beer – it also sells spirits and nonalcoholic beverages. Earlier this year, it raised its dividend for the third year in a row.
Molson Coors acknowledged inflation-related challenges and a slowdown, but not for the reasons Jim Cramer mentioned.
Here is what the company’s CFO said during the call:
“While this guidance implies slower trends for the second half the year, it’s important to remember that this is driven by shipment timing this year, and it does not alter our confidence in our long-term growth expectations.”
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Target may have solved one of retail's biggest problems: Theft
Target (TGT) is hitting its goals on inventory shrink.
On a call with reporters, Its CFO and COO Michael Fiddelke told Yahoo Finance the company has hit a plateau when it comes to shrink, including retail theft.
“[Inventory shrink] was one of the tailwinds to profit in the quarter, and as we stepped into the year, our aim was to have shrink plateau, and so to improve from the deterioration we’ve seen over the last couple of years, two quarters in — we’re achieving that and then some,” Fiddelke said.
Shrink can be the result of theft, damage, or poor record keeping, among other factors.
In its second quarter report, Target’s 28.9% gross profit margin beat estimates, up from 27% a year ago.
Read more: Best credit cards for back-to-school shopping at Target (August 2024)
Target said shrink increased by more than $500 million last year compared to 2022, “representing about 50 basis points of incremental rate pressure,” Fiddelke said on the company’s Q4 earnings call in March.
Profits took a $700 million hit from the issue in 2022. From 2019 to 2023, the company said shrink costs reduced its operating margin rate by a “cumulative 1.2 percentage points.”
Collaboration with local officials, expanding locked cases
“The things that we feel good about are the progress we’re seeing in our partnerships at the federal and state and local level,” Fiddelke said.
But the work is ongoing, and the company is hoping to keep making progress in the quarters ahead.
Part of the strategy included closing nine stores at the end of last October.
“We cannot continue operating these stores because theft and organized retail crime are threatening the safety of our team and guests, and contributing to unsustainable business performance,” the company said in a statement at the time.
The closed stores included one in Harlem, New York City; two in Seattle; three near San Francisco and Oakland, Calif.; and three in Portland, Ore.
At some hard-hit stores, Target also installed locking cases for “prone to theft” merchandise.
Other tactics include investing in additional security members and third-party guard services and training store leaders and employees to “protect themselves and de-escalate potential safety issues associated with organized retail crime incidents,” the company said at the time.
It also planned to partner with the investigations division of the US Department of Homeland Security to develop cyber defense technology. The tech could create custom tools that analyze fraud and other crimes.
Other retailers have also shared progress on solving the issue.
Last week, Walmart (WMT) CFO John David Rainey told investors on its earnings call that in its “core merchandise mix,” the company saw “a little bit of benefit from improved shrink in the quarter,” a trend that started in Q1.
Dollar General (DG) converted 12,000 of its stores away from self-checkout this year.
“While this represents a significant change in our stores, we believe this is the right course of action to drive increased customer engagement while also better positioning us to begin reducing shrink in the back half of ’24 with a more material positive impact expected in 2025,” CEO Todd Vasos said during its Q1 earnings call.
TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX), the parent company of TJ Maxx, Marshall’s, and Home Goods, said during Q1 that it plans for shrink to be flat year over year.
At the end of 2023, the discount retailer introduced body cameras for its loss prevention associates.
“When somebody comes in, it’s sort of — it’s almost like a deescalation where people are less likely to do something when they’re being videotaped, so we definitely feel that that’s playing a role,” CFO John Klinger told investors.
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Brooke DiPalma is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X at @BrookeDiPalma or email her at bdipalma@yahoofinance.com.
This Is the Only Stock I Added to During the Recent Nasdaq Sell-Off — and It Remains Jaw-Droppingly Cheap
For much of the past two years, the bulls have been firmly in control on Wall Street. The mature stock-powered Dow Jones Industrial Average, benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and innovation-driven Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) have all rallied to multiple record-closing highs this summer.
But as the first three trading sessions of August reminded us, stocks rarely, if ever, move up in a straight line.
Although growth stocks have undeniably led this rally, it was the Nasdaq Composite that really took it on the chin to begin this month. Over a three-session stretch, the index shed just shy of 1,400 points, or about 8% of its value. As of the closing bell on Aug. 5, the Nasdaq sat 13% below its all-time high.
Typically, stock market corrections provide an opportunity for long-term investors to open positions or increase their stakes in amazing businesses at a discounted price. But with stocks being historically pricey, investors (myself included) have been more selective with their purchases.
With history not on Wall Street’s side, from a valuation standpoint, there’s only one stock I took to the opportunity to add to during the recent Nasdaq sell-off.
Caveat emptor, investors
Before digging into the juicy details that made me add to one of my core holdings during the Nasdaq sell-off, I believe it’s important to address the reasons for being so selective about stock purchases at the moment.
During bull markets, it’s not uncommon for investors to pay a premium for growth stocks. In fact, the democratization of information over the last three decades (thanks, internet!), coupled with historically low interest rates for much of the last 15 years, has increased the willingness of retail investors to take risks. This includes purchasing stocks with outsize price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios.
Sometimes, well-above-average P/E ratios can be justified. For instance, companies with well-defined competitive advantages and/or sustainable moats typically command valuation premiums to the peers in their industry.
But when examining the broader market as a whole, extended valuations are rarely, if ever, a good thing.
The S&P 500’s Shiller price-to-earnings ratio offers the best example of what happens when stock market valuations deviate too far from historic norms. The Shiller P/E is also commonly known as the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE ratio).
Unlike the traditional P/E ratio, which accounts for trailing-12-month earnings and can be disrupted by one-off events (e.g., COVID-19 lockdowns), the Shiller P/E is based on inflation-adjusted earnings over the prior 10 years, which helps to smooth out corporate profit “hiccups.”
When back-tested to January 1871, the average P/E multiple for the S&P 500’s Shiller P/E is 17.14. On Aug. 19, the Shiller P/E closed above 36, and didn’t dip much below 33 during even the worst of the sell-off to begin this month.
Including the present, there have only been six occasions over the last 153 years when the Shiller P/E surpassed 30 during a bull market rally. Following the previous five instances, the Dow, S&P 500, and/or Nasdaq Composite eventually shed anywhere from 20% to 89% of their value.
In other words, the Shiller P/E is warning investors that stocks are historically pricey — and I tend to be a student of history rhyming on Wall Street.
This high-growth, cash-rich, small-cap stock has been my only buy during the Nasdaq sell-off
Even with the Nasdaq pulling back by a double-digit percentage in less than a month, I haven’t been champing at the bit to put my cash to work — with one exception.
Rather than add to any of my “Magnificent Seven” holdings, the only stock that caught my eye during the Nasdaq sell-off is under-the-radar small-cap adtech company PubMatic (NASDAQ: PUBM).
Although negative market sentiment weighed on PubMatic’s shares during the first few trading sessions of August, it was the company’s second-quarter operating results — and more specifically its full-year guidance — that sent shares careening lower.
PubMatic CFO Steve Pantelick highlighted that one of his company’s largest demand-side providers (DSPs) in the programmatic ad space changed its bidding process during the second quarter. This change will result in slightly less revenue recognition throughout the remainder of the year. As a result, PubMatic’s full-year sales outlook now calls for $288 million to $292 million in revenue, down from a prior median forecast of $300 million ($296 million to $304 million).
This roughly 3% reduction in sales at the midpoint erased more than 30% of PubMatic’s market value. More importantly, it provided a price dislocation that was too tempting for me to ignore.
The most important thing to note about PubMatic’s revenue “miss” is that this won’t be an ongoing issue, nor was it unexpected. In an interview with Schwab Network following the company’s second-quarter results, PubMatic CEO Rajeev Goel pointed out that this large DSP was the last major DSP to make this bidding conversion. Beyond this one customer, the vast majority of PubMatic’s sales channels enjoyed double-digit growth.
With this headwind that dragged the company’s shares down 30%-plus addressed, let’s dig into the many reasons sell-side provider (SSP) PubMatic makes for a genius buy.
Let’s count the many ways PubMatic makes for a no-brainer buy
For starters, it finds itself at the center of the fastest-growing niche within the ad industry: digital advertising. Businesses are steadily shifting their ad dollars away from traditional print and billboards and toward digital channels, which include mobile, video, and connected TV. PubMatic is ideally positioned to help publishers sell and optimize their digital display space.
PubMatic also has macro headwinds in its sails. Although recessions are a normal and inevitable aspect of the economic cycle, history shows us that this cycle isn’t linear. Whereas three-quarters of all U.S. recessions since the end of World War II were resolved in less than a year, the overwhelming majority of economic expansions have stuck around for multiple years. Being patient tends to be a recipe for success with ad-driven businesses.
On a more company-specific basis, PubMatic’s biggest advantage just might be the fact that its management team didn’t take the easy road and chose to build out its cloud-based programmatic ad platform. Not having to rely on a third party for this platform will allow the company’s operating margin to scale at a superior rate, compared to other SSPs.
Furthermore, PubMatic is working on its 10th consecutive year of generating positive operating cash flow and is sitting on a mountain of capital. It ended June with $165.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, with no debt. Not only does this cash provide plenty of financial flexibility regardless of what’s happening with the U.S. economy and on Wall Street, but it’s also allowed the company to repurchase $100 million worth of its common stock, through July 31. Buying back stock tends to have a positive impact on earnings per share, which can make a company more attractive to fundamentally focused investors.
The final piece of the puzzle with PubMatic is its valuation. While the P/E ratio works great for mature businesses, cash flow is the better valuation metric when analyzing fast-growing companies that are aggressively reinvesting in their platforms.
As of the closing bell on Aug. 19, shares of PubMatic were valued at 8.3 times Wall Street’s consensus cash-flow estimate for 2025. This represents a 38% discount from the forward cash-flow multiple investors were paying at the end of 2023.
What’s more, PubMatic’s cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities account for 24.3% of its market cap. If we back this capital out of the equation, PubMatic’s operations are valued at closer to 6.3 times forward-year cash flow with a sustained double-digit sales and earnings growth rate. It’s a jaw-droppingly cheap stock that I gladly added to during the Nasdaq sell-off.
Should you invest $1,000 in PubMatic right now?
Before you buy stock in PubMatic, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and PubMatic wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $796,586!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024
Sean Williams has positions in PubMatic. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PubMatic. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
This Is the Only Stock I Added to During the Recent Nasdaq Sell-Off — and It Remains Jaw-Droppingly Cheap was originally published by The Motley Fool
Missed Out on Palantir? Buy UiPath Instead.
Palantir has been one of the hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stocks on the market. Its expertise and new product launches have been almost flawless, contributing to the stock’s rise. However, there was a period when the market doubted the company, and the stock suffered.
One company that hasn’t been flawless is UiPath (NYSE: PATH). UiPath has had its fair share of hiccups, but is still a fantastic business with a great product and a massive runway. Unlike Palantir, UiPath isn’t priced for perfection. In fact, it’s hardly valued at all — almost like Palantir was in early 2023.
So, if you’re looking for the next software stock that could take off, I’d highly consider UiPath.
UiPath’s software has a huge runway ahead of it
UiPath’s product is robotic process automation (RPA) software. While this isn’t an AI product by itself, UiPath has multiple AI plug-ins and capabilities to increase the amount of processes a client can automate. The software can be deployed across a business, automating repetitive tasks like creating expense reports or replying to customer service emails. Removing repetitive tasks from an employee’s day frees them up to do tasks that require original thinking, which increases both productivity and morale.
RPA is a practical way to implement AI within a business and is slated to see massive adoption worldwide. According to Grand View Research, the RPA market is expected to increase from about $3 billion in 2023 to more than $30 billion by 2030. That compound annual growth rate of nearly 40% represents a huge investment opportunity.
UiPath already has a significant grip on this market and has one of the most powerful backers: Microsoft. UiPath and Microsoft have a strong partnership, and UiPath has already launched automation tools that integrate Microsoft Copilot. With many businesses running their company through Microsoft Office products, this integration and partnership is key.
The narrative for UiPath’s future is quite rosy, and it’s easy for investors to see how UiPath could succeed. However, it hasn’t been excelling lately.
UiPath had one bad quarter, but that’s not enough to write off the stock
In its first quarter of fiscal year 2025 (ending April 30), UiPath missed the mark. A key metric for UiPath is annual recurring revenue (ARR), which is how much subscription revenue it has. In Q1, ARR came in at the low end of guidance at $1.51 billion, although it still increased 21% year over year. Unfortunately, UiPath lowered full-year guidance dramatically, decreasing its guidance from $1.73 billion to $1.67 billion.
Alongside that drop was the announcement that CEO Rob Enslin was resigning. This is normally a terrible sign, but Enslin only became full CEO on Feb. 1, after serving as co-CEO since April 2022. Taking over is UiPath founder Daniel Dines, who was co-CEO until Enslin took over in February.
This transition should be fairly seamless, as Dines isn’t too far removed from the role and led UiPath through years of strong growth.
While the market may see this miss and transition as a concern, I don’t. This slipup may have been enough to push Enslin out the door and return power to Dines, who has a great track record. We’ll get a better idea of whether UiPath can turn it around after its Q2 results, which will be available on Sept. 5.
I’m confident management can turn it around, and the guidance given for Q2 may have been artificially low so that the company can have a positive quarter after delivering a bad one.
But the damage has been done, as the stock trades at dirt-cheap levels.
A P/S ratio of 4.8 is a very cheap price to pay for a growing software stock. Although UiPath has had its challenges, I think this represents an excellent buying opportunity.
UiPath may have had one poor quarter, but that isn’t a pattern. I think the market has given up on this stock too quickly in favor of flashier AI software names. This provides an excellent opportunity for long-term investors, as UiPath is still well-positioned to grow into a behemoth.
Should you invest $1,000 in UiPath right now?
Before you buy stock in UiPath, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and UiPath wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $779,735!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024
Keithen Drury has positions in UiPath. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Microsoft, Palantir Technologies, and UiPath. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Missed Out on Palantir? Buy UiPath Instead. was originally published by The Motley Fool