History Says the S&P 500 Could Jump in November: 2 No-Brainer Stocks to Buy With $100 Right Now
November has been the strongest month of the year for the U.S. stock market in the last decade. Specifically, the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) returned an average of 3.8% during November over the last 10 years, while its next best month was July with an average return of 3.4%. Moreover, the index produced a positive return in nine of the last 10 Novembers.
Of course, past performance is never a guarantee of future results, and investors should never focus on short-term returns. But there is no harm in leaning into historical patterns, provided the goal is long-term capital appreciation. Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) and Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER) are worthwhile investments today, and both stocks cost less than $100 per share.
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Here are the important details.
Shopify provides a turnkey solution for retail and wholesale commerce. Its platform lets merchants manage sales and inventory across physical and digital storefronts from one dashboard. Its software integrates with online marketplaces like Amazon and social media like TikTok, but also supports the construction of custom websites.
Shopify also provides adjacent merchant solutions for marketing, payments, and logistics, as well as back office tools for money management, accounts payable, and tax reporting. The company has also introduced a suite of artificial intelligence (AI) features called Shopify Magic that automate workflows (like drafting product descriptions) and surface insights for merchants.
Additionally, its enterprise-grade platform Shopify Plus includes more sophisticated tools for data analytics and wholesale e-commerce. That last point is particularly important, because the wholesale e-commerce market is about three times larger and growing two times faster than the retail e-commerce market, according to Grand View Research.
Recently, consultancy Gartner named Shopify a leader in digital commerce, citing robust functionality across retail and wholesale channels, and its ability to innovate rapidly. Similarly, Forrester Research recognized Shopify as a leader in its most recent report on wholesale commerce solutions, citing its broad functionality and new AI tools as key strengths.
Shopify reported encouraging financial results in the second quarter despite a somewhat uncertain economic backdrop. Revenue increased 21% to $2 billion, and non-GAAP net income increased 85% to $0.26 per diluted share. Importantly, management highlighted momentum with large merchants, international merchants, and offline merchants, three areas where Shopify has focused its resources.
3 Top Dividend Stocks to Buy for Passive Income in November
Collecting passive income can help you gain more financial freedom. As your passive income grows, it will make you less reliant on your active income from working. That can help steadily reduce your stress level.
There are lots of great ways to increase passive income, including investing in dividend stocks. Realty Income (NYSE: O), Kinder Morgan (NYSE: KMI), and Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) are three top options to buy this November if you’re looking to make more passive income.
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Realty Income is a real estate investment trust (REIT) with a mission to deliver dependable monthly dividends to its investors that grow over time. The REIT has certainly achieved that objective over the years. It has increased its payout for the last 30 straight years, including the past 108 quarters in a row.
The REIT currently offers a more than 5% yield. That’s several times higher than the average dividend stock (the S&P 500‘s dividend yield is less than 1.5%). Put another way, every $100 you invest into Realty Income would produce about $5 of annual passive income compared to less than $1.50 for a similar investment in the average dividend stock.
Realty Income should be able to continue increasing its dividend. The REIT expects to grow its adjusted funds from operations (FFO) by around 4% to 5% per share each year. Rent growth will supply around 1 percentage point, while acquisitions of income-producing real estate will help provide the rest.
The REIT has a strong financial profile and balance sheet, giving it ample flexibility to continue making acquisitions. Meanwhile, given the size of the commercial real estate market in the U.S. and Europe, it has a multitrillion-dollar investment opportunity.
Kinder Morgan is a leading pipeline company that operates the country’s largest natural gas pipeline system. It also owns product pipelines, terminals, and carbon dioxide infrastructure.
The company’s midstream assets produce very stable cash flows backed by government-regulated rate structures and long-term, fixed-rate contracts. Kinder Morgan pays out a little more than half its stable cash flow in dividends and retains the rest to pay for expansion projects and maintain a strong financial foundation.
The company currently has $5.2 billion of expansion projects in its backlog, including a large $1.7 billion natural-gas pipeline expansion that should enter commercial service in late 2028. And it has many more projects under development to support the expected surge in demand for electricity in the coming years. Those projects will grow the company’s cash flow, enhancing its ability to increase its dividend, which it has done in each of the last seven years.
1 Unstoppable Stock Set to Join Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet in the $2 Trillion Club by 2026
U.S. stock exchanges host seven companies with a valuation of $1 trillion or more, but only five are currently in the exclusive $2 trillion club:
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Apple: $3.38 trillion
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Nvidia: $3.32 trillion
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Microsoft: $3.05 trillion
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Alphabet: $2.10 trillion
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Amazon: $2.07 trillion
I think Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) could be the next company to join that list. The social media giant is quickly becoming a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) race, and it’s using that technology to create exciting new features for Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp.
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Meta has a market capitalization of $1.45 trillion, so its stock has to gain 38% from here for the company to cross the $2 trillion milestone. Here’s how it could happen by 2026.
Meta has the largest audience in the world with 3.29 billion daily active users across its family of apps. The company generates most of its revenue by selling advertising slots to businesses that want to reach that audience, and the longer each user spends on platforms like Facebook and Instagram each day, the more ads they will see. That translates into more revenue for Meta.
AI-powered content recommendations are one way the company is increasing engagement. AI algorithms learn what each user likes to see, and it curates their Facebook and Instagram feeds accordingly. Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg says this strategy led to an 8% increase in the amount of time users spend on Facebook this year, and a 6% increase for Instagram.
Meta also offers a suite of AI tools for advertisers, which helps them rapidly craft engaging campaigns. Zuckerberg says more than 1 million businesses used AI to create 15 million ads last month alone, which led to a 7% increase in conversions. Meta’s goal is to eventually have a prompt-based system where businesses can describe the type of ad they want to make, and the audience they wish to target, and AI will handle the entire process. That could turn even the smallest business into a marketing powerhouse.
Part of increasing user engagement and attracting advertisers also involves creating new features. Earlier this year, Meta launched an AI-powered virtual assistant called Meta AI, which users can access through all of its apps. It’s capable of answering complex questions, generating images, and it can even join your group chat to settle debates or recommend fun activities.
Meta AI already amassed over 500 million monthly active users. But more importantly, it lays the foundation for upcoming features like Business AI, which will provide a unique virtual agent to every merchant on Meta’s apps. Business AI will handle incoming messages from customers and potentially even process sales, which will create new opportunities for Meta to generate revenue.
2 Brilliant Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy Before They Soar 190% and 200%, According to Certain Wall Street Analysts
Generally speaking, Wall Street views Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL) (NASDAQ: GOOG) as two of the companies best positioned to benefit from artificial intelligence. But select analysts have set the stocks will especially optimistic price targets.
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I/O Fund analyst Beth Kendig believes Nvidia will achieve a $10 trillion valuation by 2030 as demand for artificial intelligence accelerators increases. That forecast implies about 200% upside from its current market value of $3.3 trillion. It also implies a share price around $405.
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Trefis analysts believe Alphabet could be a $500 stock by 2030 as its autonomous driving subsidiary Waymo becomes a larger part of the business. That forecast implies about 190% upside from its current share price of $172. It also implies a market value around $6 trillion.
Investors should always consider forecasts with skepticism. But Nvidia and Alphabet are undoubtedly major players in the burgeoning artificial intelligence market, so both stocks warrant further consideration. Here are the important details.
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Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs) are the gold standard in accelerated computing, a discipline that uses specialized hardware and software to speed up complex data center workloads like artificial intelligence (AI). Nvidia GPUs are not only the fastest accelerators on the market, but also are backed by a more robust suite of software development tools.
Consequently, the company accounts for 98% of data center GPU shipments, and it has more than 80% market share in AI chips. Nvidia has further cemented its leadership in accelerated computing with new hardware products like the Grace CPU and networking solutions. In fact, Nvidia is the market leader in AI networking.
Nvidia reported strong financial results in the second quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended July 2024). Revenue rose 122% to $30 billion and non-GAAP earnings surged 152% to $0.68 per dilute share. In the near term, Nvidia has a major catalyst in the coming launch of its next-generation Blackwell GPU, a chip that is already sold out for 12 months.
Beyond that, Nvidia sees a burgeoning opportunity in humanoid robots and physical AI. To elaborate, whereas generative AI can create text and images, physical AI can understand, navigate, and interact with the physical world. Straits Research estimates the humanoid robot market will increase at 34% annually through 2032, and Nvidia is well positioned to benefit.
Social Security's New Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA) Is Out — and Most Americans Think It's Not Enough. What Do You Think?
Social Security is vital for most retirees. It delivers about 30% of income to those Americans aged 66 or older. Indeed, per the Social Security Administration (SSA): “Among Social Security beneficiaries aged 65 and older, 12% of men and 15% of women rely on Social Security for 90% or more of their income.”
One great thing about Social Security is that benefits are increased in most years, helping retirees keep up with inflation — via cost of living adjustments (COLAs). The latest COLA was just announced, and there wasn’t widespread rejoicing.
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The latest COLA, to take effect in 2025, was recently announced, and it’s… 2.5%. That’s very close to the 2.6% average annual hike over the past two decades. The table below lists some recent Social Security COLAs:
Year |
COLA |
---|---|
2024 |
3.2% |
2023 |
8.7% |
2022 |
5.9% |
2021 |
1.3% |
2020 |
1.6% |
2019 |
2.8% |
2018 |
2% |
2017 |
0.3% |
2016 |
0% |
2015 |
1.7% |
Source: Social Security Administration.
If you think that 2.5% isn’t much of an increase, you’re not alone. We at the Motley Fool surveyed a bunch of retirees and found that 54% viewed it as insufficient. In fact, fully 31% found it “completely insufficient.”
I understand the sentiment — because as of September, the average monthly retirement benefit was $1,922 — or only about $23,000 per year. That’s far from enough to support most of us in retirement. Increase it by 2.5% and it rises to only $23,641 — only about $577 more, and an increase of just $48 per month.
Even worse, COLAs are likely to disappoint many more times, unless they start getting tied to a more appropriate measure of inflation — the CPI-E, not the CPI-W. The CPI-W is meant to reflect the expenses of workers, while the CPI-E is meant to better reflect the spending of older folks. Thus, for example, it more heavily weights medical care — a category that has experienced higher-than-average cost increases.
Of course, if you’ve earned more than average over your working life, you’ll likely collect bigger-than-average benefit checks. But they still are not likely to come close to providing all you need or want. So, what can you do to prepare for retirement?
One good strategy is to build multiple income streams for your retirement. Definitely be saving and investing for retirement — saving aggressively and investing effectively. Figure out how much you’ll need in retirement, and then figure out how you’ll amass it.
Election Day, a Fed rate cut, and more AI earnings: What to watch in the markets this week
After a whirlwind week of tech earnings, it’s time to take a deep breath and fasten your seat belts again for another big ride. This week is expected to be intense, high-stakes, and perhaps exhausting as Americanshead to the polls to decide the country’s 47th president.
Election Day falls on Tuesday, Nov. 5. Hopefully, by the end of the week, the world will know who will lead the nation — Kamala Harris or Donald Trump. Current polls show an incredibly close race, suggesting a tight contest that could bring volatility to markets and emotions alike.
The historic event will likely impact market sentiment, and investors will need to stay tuned to stock market movements and macroeconomic indicators. Election outcomes can significantly affect the market’s direction, shaping policies that impact industries, fiscal policy, and international relations. As results unfold, expect heightened activity in the markets and prepare for potential shifts in market strategy based on the election’s outcome.
Super Micro Computer and Palantir to report earnings
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is set to release its earnings report on Monday after the market closes. Known for its advanced AI tools used by military and intelligence agencies, Palantir has become a prominent player amid the tech world’s ongoing AI surge.
On Wednesday, Novo Nordisk (NVO) and CVS Health (CVS) will announce their earnings before the opening bell. Later that day, AMC Entertainment (AMC), a popular “meme stock,” and QUALCOMM (QCOMM), a key player in wireless technology, will release their results after the market closes. Super Micro Computer (SMCI), which faces the threat of delisting from the Nasdaq, is also expected to report on Wednesday, although the exact timing remains unconfirmed.
Airbnb (ABNB) is scheduled to report earnings on Thursday after the market closes, shedding light on its performance amid shifting travel trends.
Finally, on Friday, Paramount Global (PARA) and Trump Media & Technology (DJT) will release their earnings, providing insights into their standing within the media and social media landscapes, respectively.
Interest rate decision due this week
This week, several significant macroeconomic reports are scheduled for release, beginning on Tuesday with the U.S. trade deficit figures for September. This data is crucial for understanding the country’s trade dynamics and overall economic health.
On Thursday, two important reports will be issued: the weekly initial jobless claims and the consumer credit report for September. Moreover, investors will closely monitor the Federal Open Market Committee’s interest rate decision, as well as the subsequent press conference featuring Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This announcement will be pivotal in shaping market expectations regarding monetary policy and interest rates.
Finally, on Friday, the preliminary consumer sentiment index will be released, offering a glimpse into consumer confidence levels.
U.S. Money Supply Recently Did Something That Hasn't Occurred Since the Great Depression — and It May Foreshadow Trouble for Wall Street
On Oct. 12, Wall Street celebrated the two-year anniversary of the current bull market. Optimism among investors has been readily apparent, with the ageless Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI), benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and growth-powered Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) reaching multiple all-time highs.
But if history has taught us anything, it’s that stock market corrections and bear markets are normal and inevitable. Although no predictive metric is 100% accurate in forecasting directional moves lower in the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite, there are a small number of events and data points that have strongly correlated with weakness in stocks throughout history. These events and data points are the ones that investors sometimes look to in order to gain an advantage.
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One of these highly correlative forecasting metrics, which has an immaculate history of predicting U.S. economic downturns dating back more than 150 years, is foreshadowing trouble for Wall Street.
The one predictive tool that should be raising eyebrows within the investment community is U.S. money supply.
While there are a number of ways to measure money supply, the two with the greatest relevance are M1 and M2. M1 factors in all cash and coins in circulation, travelers’ checks, and demand deposits found in a checking account. This is money that can be spent by consumers at a moment’s notice.
On the other hand, M2 takes everything found in M1 and adds in savings accounts, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit (CDs) under $100,000. This is still money consumers can access, but it requires more time and effort to get to before it can be spent. It’s this measure of money supply that is raising red flags.
Economists more or less ignored M2 money supply for the overwhelming majority of the last 90 years because it had been expanding without fail. A steadily growing economy needs more capital in circulation to facilitate transactions.
But in those very rare instances throughout history where notable declines in M2 money supply have occurred, it has spelled trouble for the U.S. economy and Wall Street.
M2 is reported monthly by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. In April 2022, it hit an all-time high of $21.723 trillion. But between April 2022 and October 2023, U.S. M2 money supply would decline by a peak of 4.74% from this record high.
3 Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy in November and Hold Forever
There are lots of ways to put your money to work on Wall Street, but none are as reliable as investing in dividend-paying stocks. That’s because companies rarely commit to distributing a portion of their profits to shareholders unless they’re already profitable and likely to stay that way.
Dividend-paying businesses have to be extra careful with their cash flows, which tends to benefit investors. These increased returns that come with regular distributions are measurable and stronger than you might expect.
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During the 50-year period between 1973 and 2023, non-dividend-paying stocks in the S&P 500 index delivered a 4.27% average annual return. Their dividend-paying cousins performed more than twice as well with an average annual return of 9.17% over the same time frame.
At recent prices, Ares Capital (NASDAQ: ARCC), PennantPark Floating Rate Capital (NYSE: PFLT), and Rithm Capital (NYSE: RITM) offer dividend yields of 9.1% and better. Generally, stocks don’t offer yields this high unless investors have concerns about their underlying businesses. These three stand out because they are on better financial footing than their ultra-high yields suggest.
Ares Capital is the world’s largest publicly traded business development company (BDC). These specialized entities fill the gap left by big banks that no longer lend directly to most businesses. They’re also popular among income-seeking investors because they can legally avoid paying income taxes by distributing at least 90% of their earnings as dividend payments.
At recent prices, Ares Capital offers investors a 9.1% yield and confidence that comes with a highly diversified portfolio. At the end of September, it had investments worth $25.9 billion spread out among 535 borrowers. Its single-largest borrower is responsible for just 1.7% of the portfolio.
Ares Capital’s dividend hasn’t risen in a straight line, but it is up by 26% over the past decade. The odds of a dividend cut in the quarters ahead seem extremely slim. Loans representing just 1.3% of total investments at cost were on non-accrual status at the end of September.
PennantPark Floating Rate Capital is another lender for mid-sized companies that can’t get banks to return their calls. As its name implies, this BDC isn’t very sensitive to interest rate adjustments because the loans it originates collect interest at variable rates.