2 Durable Dividend Stocks That Have Delivered Decades of Stability and Growth
We’ve endured quite a number of economic shocks over the past few decades. The dot.com crash, financial crisis, and pandemic have severely affected many companies, forcing several to cut their dividends due to falling profits.
However, some companies have built resilient businesses that can endure even the deepest economic shocks. Enbridge (NYSE: ENB) and Oneok (NYSE: OKE) are two of those stalwarts. They have grown their earnings nearly every year for more than a decade while delivering dividend durability for even longer periods. That makes them great income stocks to buy for those seeking payouts that can deal with difficult times.
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Enbridge is a remarkably consistent company. The Canadian pipeline and utility operator has paid dividends for over 69 years and has increased its payment for 29 years in a row.
A big factor in the durability of Enbridge’s dividend is its extremely predictable earnings profile. The company currently gets 98% of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from cost-of-service or contracted assets, which provides a lot of visibility into its future earnings.
The company has achieved its annual financial guidance for 18 straight years and is on track to hit it again this year. Its earnings have only declined once during that period, due to the expected impact of collapsing commodity prices and wildfires in Canada.
Enbridge has worked to enhance the durability of its earnings profile by selling assets whose earnings are exposed to commodity price volatility, and then recycling that capital into stable assets. For example, last year it sold its stake in Aux Sable — which operates natural gas liquids (NGL) extraction and separation facilities — to help fund the purchase of three stable natural gas utilities this year.
The company is investing heavily in expanding its portfolio of assets with stable earnings profiles. It has billions of dollars in commercially secured capital projects currently under construction that should come on line through the end of the decade.
They support Enbridge’s view that it will be able to grow its EBITDA by around the mid-single digits annually. That should give it plenty of fuel to continue increasing its dividend.
Oneok has been very durable over the years. The pipeline company has grown its adjusted EBITDA for 10 straight years, increasing it at an impressive 15% compound annual rate despite two major periods of turbulence in the oil market. Meanwhile, it has delivered more than a quarter-century of dividend stability and growth.
1 Vanguard Index Fund May Beat the S&P 500 by 100% in the Next Few Years, According to a Wall Street Analyst
In general, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is the preferred stock market barometer for large-cap companies, while the Russell 2000 is the preferred stock market barometer for small-cap companies. Specific details are provided below:
-
S&P 500: Includes 500 large-cap companies that cover about 80% of U.S. equities by market value. The median market capitalization is $37 billion.
-
Russell 2000: Includes nearly 2,000 small-cap companies that cover about 5% of U.S. equities by market value. The median market capitalization is about $1 billion.
Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, told CNBC during a recent interview that small-cap stocks may outpeform large-cap stocks by a wide margin in the near term. “I think small caps, in the next couple of years, could outperform by more than 100%,” he said, citing interest rate cuts and historically cheap valuations.
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Should that prediction prove accurate, the Russell 2000 would run circles around the S&P 500 in the next few years, perhaps even doubling its return as Lee suggests. Investors can position themselves to benefit by purchasing shares of the Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (NASDAQ: VTWO).
Read on for the important details.
Tom Lee highlighted two reasons small-cap stocks could outperform in the coming years. First, the Federal Reserve recently started cutting interest rates, and small-cap companies usually benefit from rate cuts more than large cap companies because the former usually have more floating-rate debt. Second, small-cap stocks currently have historically cheap valuations relative to large-cap stocks.
Importantly, Lee is not the only Wall Street pundit to make those points. In July, JPMorgan Chase strategist Michael Cembalest wrote, “Small-cap stocks are at their cheapest levels in the 21st century with potential market and political catalysts in their favor.” The catalysts he referenced include falling interest rates, as well as the tariffs proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Tariffs usually hurt large-cap stocks more, according to Cembalest.
Likewise, Goldman Sachs strategists Hania Schmidt and Jen Nusser addressed interest rate cuts and small-cap valuations in a recent blog headlined: Time to Shine? A Small Cap Reversal of Fortune. The key points are detailed below:
-
The Russell 2000 has historically outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of 12 percentage points during the 12-month period following the end of a rate-cutting cycle.
-
Since 1985, the P/E ratio of the median Russell 2000 stock has been (on average) 2% below the P/E ratio of the median S&P 500 stock. But the discrepancy is currently 28%.
Yiren Digital Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results
BEIJING, Nov. 20, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Yiren Digital Ltd. YRD (“Yiren Digital” or the “Company”), an AI-powered platform providing a comprehensive suite of financial and lifestyle services in China, today announced its unaudited financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2024.
Third Quarter 2024 Operational Highlights
Financial Services Business
- Total loans facilitated in the third quarter of 2024 reached RMB13.4 billion (US$1.9 billion), representing an increase of 3.5% from RMB12.9 billion in the second quarter of 2024 and compared to RMB9.8 billion in the same period of 2023.
- Cumulative number of borrowers served reached 11,611,899 as of September 30, 2024, representing an increase of 7.4% from 10,807,497 as of June 30, 2024, and compared to 8,595,780 as of September 30, 2023.
- Number of borrowers served in the third quarter of 2024 was 1,498,020, representing an increase of 0.4% from 1,491,756 in the second quarter of 2024 and compared to 1,204,012 in the same period of 2023. As our efforts to upgrade the customer mix reach a milestone success, we are now shifting our focus to increasing the repeat rate of existing high-quality borrowers.
- Outstanding balance of performing loans facilitated reached RMB22.8 billion (US$3.2 billion) as of September 30, 2024, representing an increase of 4.3% from RMB21.8 billion as of June 30, 2024 and compared to RMB15.1 billion as of September 30, 2023.
Insurance Brokerage Business
- Cumulative number of insurance clients served reached 1,470,738 as of September 30, 2024, representing an increase of 4.3% from 1,410,158 as of June 30, 2024, and compared to 1,256,762 as of September 30, 2023.
- Number of insurance clients served in the third quarter of 2024 was 82,291, representing a decrease of 7.3% from 88,766 in the second quarter of 2024, and compared to 123,693 in the same period of 2023.
- Gross written premiums in the third quarter of 2024 were RMB1,351.3 million (US$192.6 million), representing an increase of 27.4% from RMB1,060.9 million in the second quarter of 2024 and compared to RMB1,428.5 million in the same period of 2023. The quarterly increase was attributed to the gradual recovery of our life insurance business following product changes made in response to new regulations, along with the continued rise in renewed life insurance premiums.
Consumption and Lifestyle Business
- Total gross merchandise volume generated through our e-commerce platform and “Yiren Select” channel reached RMB507.6 million (US$72.3 million) in the third quarter of 2024, representing a decrease of 8.5% from RMB554.6 million in the second quarter of 2024, and compared to RMB563.2 million in the same period of 2023. The decrease was mainly due to the already high penetration of our products and services within the existing customer pool, along with our strategic scale-back of product offerings as we shift our focus to upgrading customer segmentation.
“I’m pleased to report a stable and healthy quarter with concrete business development and strategic exploration, driven by our ‘quality over quantity’ strategy, which underscores our consistent focus on sustainable, high-quality growth.” said Mr. Ning Tang, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.
“Our financial services business has improved asset quality through strong risk management and borrower optimization. We’ve also made progress in exploring new online business models for our insurance division. As a tech-powered platform, Yiren Digital prioritizes the use of technology and digital capabilities to enhance our business model. Furthermore, our AI investments are driving operational efficiency and enhancing the customer experience. These efforts lay the foundation for higher-quality growth and long-term value for our stakeholders.”
“In the third quarter of this year, our total revenue reached RMB 1.5 billion, up 13% year-over-year.” Mr.Yuning Feng, Chief Financial Officer commented. “On the balance sheet side, as we continued to make strategic long-term investments this quarter, cash and cash equivalents decreased compared to the end of the previous quarter, bringing the total to RMB3.7 billion. Despite this, our cash position remains strong and competitive within the industry. Meanwhile, we are continuing share buybacks and executing cash dividends to enhance returns for our shareholders.”
Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results
Total net revenue in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB1,479.1 million (US$210.8 million), representing an increase of 12.8% from RMB1,310.8 million in the third quarter of 2023. Particularly, in the third quarter of 2024, revenue from financial services business was RMB836.2 million (US$119.2 million), representing an increase of 25.2% from RMB668.0 million in the same period of 2023.The increase was attributed to the persistent and growing demand for our small revolving loan products. Revenue from insurance brokerage business was RMB85.5 million (US$12.2 million), representing a decrease of 67.7% from RMB264.6 million in the third quarter of 2023. The decrease was primarily driven by a decline in life insurance sales, resulting from product modifications mandated by new regulations, along with an industry-wide reduction in commission fee rates due to the implementation of more stringent regulatory standards on rates and terms. Revenue from consumption and lifestyle business and others was RMB557.4 million (US$79.4 million), representing an increase of 47.4% from RMB378.2 million in the third quarter of 2023. The annual increase was primarily attributed to the continuous growth of the service and product penetration in the expanding base of paying customers. As the penetration rate reached a substantial level in the third quarter of 2024, the growth rate is expected to moderate.
Sales and marketing expenses in the third quarter of 2024 were RMB335.6 million (US$47.8 million), compared to RMB195.7 million in the same period of 2023. The increase was primarily driven by the swift growth of our financial services segment and enhanced marketing endeavors aimed at attracting new, high-caliber customers while optimizing our customer composition.
Origination, servicing and other operating costs in the third quarter of 2024 were RMB205.9million (US$29.3 million), compared to RMB245.4 million in the same period of 2023. The decrease was mainly due to the decline in insurance brokerage services.
Research and development expenses in the third quarter of 2024 were RMB150.8 million (US$21.5 million), compared to RMB39.0 million in the same period of 2023. The increase was mainly attributed to our ongoing investment in AI upgrades and technological innovations.
General and administrative expenses in the third quarter of 2024 were RMB80.1 million (US$11.4 million), compared to RMB53.5 million in the same period of 2023. The increase was primarily due to increasing incentive bonus and employee benefits.
Allowance for contract assets, receivables and others in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB94.9 million (US$13.5 million), compared to RMB72.7 million in the same period of 2023. The increase reflects the growing volume of loans facilitated on our platform and the stringent risk estimates in response to the evolving external credit environment.
Provision for contingent liabilities in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB272.4 million (US$38.8 million), compared to RMB11.1 million in the same period of 2023. The increase was mainly attributed to a higher volume of loans facilitated under our risk-taking model[1].
Income tax expense in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB44.7 million (US$6.4 million).
Net income in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB355.4 million (US$50.7 million), as compared to RMB554.4 million in the same period in 2023. The decrease was primarily due to the growing loan volume facilitated under our risk-taking model, resulting in substantial upfront provisions required by the current accounting principles.
Adjusted EBITDA[2] (non-GAAP) in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB393.9 million (US$56.1 million), compared to RMB692.7 million in the same period of 2023.
Basic and diluted income per ADS in the third quarter of 2024 were RMB4.1 (US$0.6) and RMB4.0 (US$0.6) respectively, compared to a basic income per ADS of RMB6.3 and a diluted income per ADS of RMB6.2 in the same period of 2023.
Net cash generated from operating activities in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB50.4 million (US$7.2 million), compared to RMB645.4 million in the same period of 2023.
Net cash used in investing activities in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB1,859.6 million (US$265.0 million), compared to RMB393.9 million in the same period of 2023.
Net cash used in financing activities in the third quarter of 2024 was RMB22.2 million (US$3.2 million), compared to RMB502.6 million in the same period of 2023.
As of September 30, 2024, cash and cash equivalents were RMB3,705.9 million (US$528.1 million), compared to RMB5,496.9 million as of June 30, 2024. The decline is due to our long-term investments in business expansion and potential acquisitions, which are still in the early stages and have not been finalized. As of September 30, 2024, the balance of held-to-maturity investments was RMB5.1 million (US$0.7 million), remained unchanged from June 30, 2024. As of September 30, 2024, the balance of available-for-sale investments was RMB321.6 million (US$45.8 million), compared to RMB329.8 million as of June 30, 2024. As of September 30, 2024, the balance of trading securities was RMB63.3 million (US$9.0 million), compared to RMB83.9 million as of June 30, 2024.
Delinquency rates[3]. As of September 30, 2024, the delinquency rates for loans that are past due for 1-30 days, 31-60 days and 61-90 days were 1.8%, 1.2% and 1.2%, respectively, compared to 1.9%, 1.4% and 1.5%, respectively, as of June 30, 2024.
[1] The risk-taking model refers to the framework in which the company assumes the credit risk for the loans facilitated on our platform.
[2] “Adjusted EBITDA” is a non-GAAP financial measure. For more information on this non-GAAP financial measure, please see the section of “Operating Highlights and Reconciliations of GAAP to Non-GAAP Measures” and the table captioned “Reconciliations of Adjusted EBITDA” set forth at the end of this press release.
[3] “Delinquency rates” refers to the outstanding principal balance of loans that were 1-30 days, 31-60 days and 61-90 days past due as a percentage of the total performing outstanding principal balance of loans as of a specific date. Loans originating outside mainland China are not included in the calculation. We define a performing loan as one that is being repaid according to the agreed terms and has not become delinquent for more than 90 days.
Dividend Policy
Under the Company’s semi-annual dividend policy, the Company distributed cash dividends in October 2024, representing a payout ratio of 14% of earnings for the first half of 2024.
Update on Share Repurchase
In the third quarter of 2024, the Company allocated US$3.0 million to repurchase shares in the public market. As of September 30, 2024, the Company had in aggregate purchased approximately 5.0 million ADSs in the open market for a total amount of approximately US$16.5 million (exclusive of commissions) under the 2022 share repurchase program.
Business Outlook
Based on the Company’s preliminary assessment of business and market conditions, the Company projects the total revenue in the fourth quarter of 2024 to be between RMB1.3 billion to RMB1.5 billion, with a healthy net profit margin.
This is the Company’s current and preliminary view, which is subject to changes and uncertainties.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In evaluating the business, the Company considers and uses several non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin as supplemental measures to review and assess operating performance. We believe these non-GAAP measures provide useful information about our core operating results, enhance the overall understanding of our past performance and prospects and allow for greater visibility with respect to key metrics used by our management in our financial and operational decision-making. The presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“U.S. GAAP”). The non-GAAP financial measures have limitations as analytical tools. Other companies, including peer companies in the industry, may calculate these non-GAAP measures differently, which may reduce their usefulness as a comparative measure. The Company compensates for these limitations by reconciling the non-GAAP financial measures to the nearest U.S. GAAP performance measure, all of which should be considered when evaluating our performance. See “Operating Highlights and Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP measures” at the end of this press release.
Currency Conversion
This announcement contains currency conversions of certain RMB amounts into US$ at specified rates solely for the convenience of the reader. Unless otherwise noted, all translations from RMB to US$ are made at a rate of RMB7.0176 to US$1.00, the effective noon buying rate on September 30, 2024, as set forth in the H.10 statistical release of the Federal Reserve Board.
Conference Call
Yiren Digital’s management will host an earnings conference call at 7:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern Time on November 20, 2024 (or 8:00 p.m. Beijing/Hong Kong Time on November 20, 2024).
Participants who wish to join the call should register online in advance of the conference at:
https://dpregister.com/sreg/10194517/fdfac17402
Once registration is completed, participants will receive the dial-in details for the conference call.
Additionally, a live and archived webcast of the conference call will be available at:
https://event.choruscall.com/mediaframe/webcast.html?webcastid=MvArF4tV
Safe Harbor Statement
This press release contains forward-looking statements. These statements constitute “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can be identified by terminology such as “will,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “future,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “estimates,” “target,” “confident” and similar statements. Such statements are based upon management’s current expectations and current market and operating conditions and relate to events that involve known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond Yiren Digital’s control. Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any such statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, uncertainties as to Yiren Digital’s ability to attract and retain borrowers and investors on its marketplace, its ability to introduce new loan products and platform enhancements, its ability to compete effectively, PRC regulations and policies relating to the peer-to-peer lending service industry in China, general economic conditions in China, and Yiren Digital’s ability to meet the standards necessary to maintain the listing of its ADSs on the NYSE or other stock exchange, including its ability to cure any non-compliance with the NYSE’s continued listing criteria. Further information regarding these and other risks, uncertainties or factors is included in Yiren Digital’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. All information provided in this press release is as of the date of this press release, and Yiren Digital does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under applicable law.
About Yiren Digital
Yiren Digital Ltd. is an advanced, AI-powered platform providing a comprehensive suite of financial and lifestyle services in China. Our mission is to elevate customers’ financial well-being and enhance their quality of life by delivering digital financial services, tailor-made insurance solutions, and premium lifestyle services. We support clients at various growth stages, addressing financing needs arising from consumption and production activities, while aiming to augment the overall well-being and security of individuals, families, and businesses.
Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations |
||||||||||||||
(in thousands, except for share, per share and per ADS data, and percentages) |
||||||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended |
For the Nine Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
September 30, |
June 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
||||||||
RMB |
RMB |
RMB |
USD |
RMB |
RMB |
USD |
||||||||
Net revenue: |
||||||||||||||
Loan facilitation services |
586,883 |
695,532 |
600,899 |
85,627 |
1,518,401 |
1,972,726 |
281,111 |
|||||||
Post-origination services |
984 |
1,290 |
1,421 |
203 |
12,573 |
4,483 |
639 |
|||||||
Insurance brokerage services |
264,611 |
91,526 |
85,530 |
12,188 |
865,664 |
301,982 |
43,032 |
|||||||
Financing services |
9,937 |
19,574 |
31,448 |
4,481 |
47,410 |
61,688 |
8,790 |
|||||||
Electronic commerce services |
350,635 |
523,641 |
546,366 |
77,856 |
881,218 |
1,572,943 |
224,143 |
|||||||
Guarantee services |
30,173 |
68,934 |
136,746 |
19,486 |
42,275 |
222,533 |
31,711 |
|||||||
Others |
67,551 |
96,039 |
76,678 |
10,927 |
253,782 |
217,353 |
30,972 |
|||||||
Total net revenue |
1,310,774 |
1,496,536 |
1,479,088 |
210,768 |
3,621,323 |
4,353,708 |
620,398 |
|||||||
Operating costs and expenses: |
||||||||||||||
Sales and marketing |
195,714 |
285,101 |
335,647 |
47,829 |
450,873 |
897,971 |
127,960 |
|||||||
Origination,servicing and other operating costs |
245,360 |
246,542 |
205,913 |
29,342 |
791,472 |
685,725 |
97,715 |
|||||||
Research and development |
38,981 |
55,812 |
150,840 |
21,495 |
101,168 |
247,173 |
35,222 |
|||||||
General and administrative |
53,519 |
68,670 |
80,097 |
11,413 |
180,623 |
232,441 |
33,123 |
|||||||
Allowance for contract assets, receivables and others |
72,652 |
123,285 |
94,913 |
13,525 |
160,923 |
320,532 |
45,675 |
|||||||
Provision for contingent liabilities |
11,104 |
278,925 |
272,406 |
38,818 |
28,578 |
618,589 |
88,148 |
|||||||
Total operating costs and expenses |
617,330 |
1,058,335 |
1,139,816 |
162,422 |
1,713,637 |
3,002,431 |
427,843 |
|||||||
Other income/(expenses): |
||||||||||||||
Interest income, net |
25,815 |
24,668 |
21,877 |
3,117 |
50,869 |
74,258 |
10,582 |
|||||||
Fair value adjustments related to Consolidated ABFE |
(8,104) |
38,706 |
36,423 |
5,190 |
(36,777) |
90,597 |
12,910 |
|||||||
Others, net |
5,177 |
(11) |
2,535 |
362 |
11,496 |
3,201 |
456 |
|||||||
Total other income/(expenses) |
22,888 |
63,363 |
60,835 |
8,669 |
25,588 |
168,056 |
23,948 |
|||||||
Income before provision for income taxes |
716,332 |
501,564 |
400,107 |
57,015 |
1,933,274 |
1,519,333 |
216,503 |
|||||||
Income tax expense |
161,917 |
92,036 |
44,665 |
6,365 |
424,345 |
268,480 |
38,258 |
|||||||
Net income |
554,415 |
409,528 |
355,442 |
50,650 |
1,508,929 |
1,250,853 |
178,245 |
|||||||
Weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding, |
176,866,653 |
172,831,722 |
175,018,644 |
175,018,644 |
177,189,206 |
173,557,082 |
173,557,082 |
|||||||
Basic income per share |
3.1346 |
2.3695 |
2.0309 |
0.2894 |
8.5159 |
7.2072 |
1.0270 |
|||||||
Basic income per ADS |
6.2692 |
4.7390 |
4.0618 |
0.5788 |
17.0318 |
14.4144 |
2.0540 |
|||||||
Weighted average number of ordinary shares outstanding, |
178,366,565 |
174,711,554 |
176,035,324 |
176,035,324 |
179,220,434 |
175,457,062 |
175,457,062 |
|||||||
Diluted income per share |
3.1083 |
2.3440 |
2.0192 |
0.2877 |
8.4194 |
7.1291 |
1.0159 |
|||||||
Diluted income per ADS |
6.2166 |
4.6880 |
4.0384 |
0.5754 |
16.8388 |
14.2582 |
2.0318 |
|||||||
Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Cash Flow Data |
||||||||||||||
Net cash generated from operating activities |
645,416 |
368,908 |
50,393 |
7,181 |
1,753,781 |
1,051,044 |
149,773 |
|||||||
Net cash (used in)/provided by investing activities |
(393,919) |
(536,883) |
(1,859,587) |
(264,989) |
360,376 |
(3,080,167) |
(438,920) |
|||||||
Net cash used in financing activities |
(502,636) |
(125,884) |
(22,227) |
(3,167) |
(901,587) |
(162,885) |
(23,211) |
|||||||
Effect of foreign exchange rate changes |
2,395 |
(896) |
(6,252) |
(891) |
2,543 |
(5,808) |
(828) |
|||||||
Net (decrease)/increase in cash, cash equivalents and |
(248,744) |
(294,755) |
(1,837,673) |
(261,866) |
1,215,113 |
(2,197,816) |
(313,186) |
|||||||
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, beginning of period |
5,824,552 |
5,993,216 |
5,698,461 |
812,024 |
4,360,695 |
6,058,604 |
863,344 |
|||||||
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash, end of period |
5,575,808 |
5,698,461 |
3,860,788 |
550,158 |
5,575,808 |
3,860,788 |
550,158 |
Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
|||||||
(in thousands) |
|||||||
As of |
|||||||
December 31, |
June 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
||||
RMB |
RMB |
RMB |
USD |
||||
Cash and cash equivalents |
5,791,333 |
5,496,932 |
3,705,866 |
528,082 |
|||
Restricted cash |
267,271 |
201,529 |
154,922 |
22,076 |
|||
Trading securities |
76,053 |
83,889 |
63,276 |
9,017 |
|||
Accounts receivable |
499,027 |
654,698 |
668,757 |
95,297 |
|||
Guarantee receivable |
2,890 |
260,759 |
391,547 |
55,795 |
|||
Contract assets, net |
978,051 |
962,482 |
916,543 |
130,606 |
|||
Contract cost |
32 |
206 |
279 |
40 |
|||
Prepaid expenses and other assets |
423,621 |
1,662,654 |
2,291,397 |
326,521 |
|||
Loans at fair value |
677,835 |
473,311 |
414,803 |
59,109 |
|||
Financing receivables |
116,164 |
30,501 |
28,672 |
4,086 |
|||
Amounts due from related parties |
820,181 |
1,509,651 |
3,338,868 |
475,785 |
|||
Held-to-maturity investments |
10,420 |
5,087 |
5,087 |
725 |
|||
Available-for-sale investments |
438,084 |
329,829 |
321,550 |
45,820 |
|||
Equity investments |
– |
2,500 |
7,105 |
1,012 |
|||
Property, equipment and software, net |
79,158 |
77,970 |
80,224 |
11,432 |
|||
Deferred tax assets |
73,414 |
44,309 |
54,595 |
7,780 |
|||
Right-of-use assets |
23,382 |
19,462 |
14,454 |
2,060 |
|||
Total assets |
10,276,916 |
11,815,769 |
12,457,945 |
1,775,243 |
|||
Accounts payable |
30,902 |
43,710 |
42,712 |
6,085 |
|||
Amounts due to related parties |
14,414 |
2,485 |
96,498 |
13,751 |
|||
Guarantee liabilities-stand ready |
8,802 |
278,656 |
449,759 |
64,090 |
|||
Guarantee liabilities-contingent |
28,351 |
336,190 |
512,004 |
72,960 |
|||
Deferred revenue |
54,044 |
38,843 |
18,348 |
2,615 |
|||
Payable to investors at fair value |
445,762 |
350,000 |
350,000 |
49,875 |
|||
Accrued expenses and other liabilities |
1,463,369 |
1,727,182 |
1,672,111 |
238,274 |
|||
Deferred tax liabilities |
122,075 |
55,520 |
16,434 |
2,342 |
|||
Lease liabilities |
23,648 |
19,280 |
15,226 |
2,170 |
|||
Total liabilities |
2,191,367 |
2,851,866 |
3,173,092 |
452,162 |
|||
Ordinary shares |
130 |
130 |
132 |
19 |
|||
Additional paid-in capital |
5,171,232 |
5,175,653 |
5,198,271 |
740,748 |
|||
Treasury stock |
(94,851) |
(139,380) |
(160,534) |
(22,876) |
|||
Accumulated other comprehensive |
23,669 |
47,798 |
21,226 |
3,024 |
|||
Retained earnings |
2,985,369 |
3,879,702 |
4,225,758 |
602,166 |
|||
Total equity |
8,085,549 |
8,963,903 |
9,284,853 |
1,323,081 |
|||
Total liabilities and equity |
10,276,916 |
11,815,769 |
12,457,945 |
1,775,243 |
Operating Highlights and Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Measures |
||||||||||||||
(in thousands, except for number of borrowers, number of insurance clients, cumulative number of insurance clients and percentages) |
||||||||||||||
For the Three Months Ended |
For the Nine Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
September 30, |
June 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
September 30, |
||||||||
RMB |
RMB |
RMB |
USD |
RMB |
RMB |
USD |
||||||||
Operating Highlights |
||||||||||||||
Amount of loans facilitated |
9,814,359 |
12,936,017 |
13,392,676 |
1,908,441 |
24,390,773 |
38,239,060 |
5,449,022 |
|||||||
Number of borrowers |
1,204,012 |
1,491,756 |
1,498,020 |
1,498,020 |
2,128,924 |
3,365,960 |
3,365,960 |
|||||||
Remaining principal of performing loans |
15,090,800 |
21,827,634 |
22,768,555 |
3,244,493 |
15,090,800 |
22,768,555 |
3,244,493 |
|||||||
Cumulative number of insurance clients |
1,256,762 |
1,410,158 |
1,470,738 |
1,470,738 |
1,256,762 |
1,470,738 |
1,470,738 |
|||||||
Number of insurance clients |
123,693 |
88,766 |
82,291 |
82,291 |
293,254 |
226,191 |
226,191 |
|||||||
Gross written premiums |
1,428,484 |
1,060,885 |
1,351,311 |
192,560 |
3,684,325 |
3,324,627 |
473,756 |
|||||||
First year premium |
914,839 |
577,387 |
511,377 |
72,871 |
2,644,082 |
1,602,905 |
228,412 |
|||||||
Renewal premium |
513,645 |
483,498 |
839,934 |
119,689 |
1,040,243 |
1,721,722 |
245,344 |
|||||||
Gross merchandise volume |
563,224 |
554,574 |
507,585 |
72,330 |
1,267,611 |
1,687,280 |
240,435 |
|||||||
Segment Information |
||||||||||||||
Financial services business: |
||||||||||||||
Revenue |
667,966 |
851,031 |
836,193 |
119,157 |
1,733,813 |
2,425,341 |
345,608 |
|||||||
Sales and marketing expenses |
146,369 |
253,103 |
307,459 |
43,812 |
311,751 |
812,484 |
115,778 |
|||||||
Origination, servicing and other operating |
59,300 |
113,234 |
119,706 |
17,058 |
145,870 |
318,727 |
45,418 |
|||||||
Allowance for contract assets, receivables and |
77,135 |
124,765 |
93,248 |
13,288 |
163,111 |
319,140 |
45,477 |
|||||||
Provision for contingent liabilities |
11,104 |
278,925 |
272,406 |
38,818 |
28,578 |
618,589 |
88,148 |
|||||||
Insurance brokerage business: |
||||||||||||||
Revenue |
264,611 |
91,526 |
85,530 |
12,188 |
865,664 |
301,982 |
43,032 |
|||||||
Sales and marketing expenses |
3,175 |
4,263 |
3,545 |
505 |
9,309 |
11,373 |
1,621 |
|||||||
Origination, servicing and other operating |
176,182 |
122,358 |
78,466 |
11,181 |
599,650 |
337,707 |
48,123 |
|||||||
Allowance for contract assets, receivables and |
(3,981) |
(1,502) |
(414) |
(59) |
(355) |
(904) |
(129) |
|||||||
Consumption & lifestyle business and others: |
||||||||||||||
Revenue |
378,197 |
553,979 |
557,365 |
79,423 |
1,021,846 |
1,626,385 |
231,758 |
|||||||
Sales and marketing expenses |
46,170 |
27,735 |
24,643 |
3,512 |
129,813 |
74,114 |
10,561 |
|||||||
Origination, servicing and other operating |
9,878 |
10,950 |
7,741 |
1,103 |
45,952 |
29,291 |
4,174 |
|||||||
Allowance for contract assets, receivables and |
(313) |
(11) |
1,666 |
237 |
(1,545) |
1,664 |
237 |
|||||||
Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA |
||||||||||||||
Net income |
554,415 |
409,528 |
355,442 |
50,650 |
1,508,929 |
1,250,853 |
178,245 |
|||||||
Interest income, net |
(25,815) |
(24,668) |
(21,877) |
(3,117) |
(50,869) |
(74,258) |
(10,582) |
|||||||
Income tax expense |
161,917 |
92,036 |
44,665 |
6,365 |
424,345 |
268,480 |
38,258 |
|||||||
Depreciation and amortization |
1,664 |
2,026 |
2,401 |
342 |
5,310 |
6,319 |
901 |
|||||||
Share-based compensation |
513 |
2,136 |
13,235 |
1,886 |
5,923 |
16,578 |
2,362 |
|||||||
Adjusted EBITDA |
692,694 |
481,058 |
393,866 |
56,126 |
1,893,638 |
1,467,972 |
209,184 |
|||||||
Adjusted EBITDA margin |
52.8 % |
32.1 % |
26.6 % |
26.6 % |
52.3 % |
33.7 % |
33.7 % |
Delinquency Rates |
||||||
1-30 days |
31-60 days |
61-90 days |
||||
December 31, 2019 |
2.1 % |
1.2 % |
0.9 % |
|||
December 31, 2020 |
1.3 % |
0.7 % |
0.6 % |
|||
December 31, 2021 |
2.0 % |
1.5 % |
1.2 % |
|||
December 31, 2022 |
1.7 % |
1.2 % |
1.1 % |
|||
December 31, 2023 |
2.0 % |
1.4 % |
1.2 % |
|||
March 31, 2024 |
2.1 % |
1.6 % |
1.4 % |
|||
June 30, 2024 |
1.9 % |
1.4 % |
1.5 % |
|||
September 30, 2024 |
1.8 % |
1.2 % |
1.2 % |
30+ Days Delinquency Rates by Vintage[1] |
|||||||||||||
Loan Issued Period |
Month on Book |
||||||||||||
2 |
4 |
6 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
14 |
16 |
18 |
20 |
22 |
24 |
||
2019Q1 |
0.0 % |
0.5 % |
1.6 % |
2.3 % |
3.3 % |
4.4 % |
5.9 % |
6.1 % |
6.4 % |
6.9 % |
6.9 % |
6.9 % |
|
2019Q2 |
0.3 % |
1.4 % |
2.8 % |
5.0 % |
7.8 % |
8.9 % |
9.5 % |
10.0 % |
10.3 % |
10.7 % |
10.9 % |
11.2 % |
|
2019Q3 |
0.3 % |
2.0 % |
5.1 % |
7.6 % |
9.1 % |
10.4 % |
11.3 % |
12.4 % |
13.3 % |
14.1 % |
14.7 % |
15.2 % |
|
2019Q4 |
0.7 % |
3.0 % |
4.4 % |
5.7 % |
6.6 % |
7.3 % |
8.1 % |
8.5 % |
9.0 % |
9.4 % |
9.7 % |
10.3 % |
|
2020Q1 |
0.8 % |
2.0 % |
3.4 % |
4.5 % |
5.4 % |
5.9 % |
6.5 % |
6.8 % |
7.1 % |
7.5 % |
8.1 % |
8.5 % |
|
2020Q2 |
0.6 % |
2.0 % |
3.3 % |
4.5 % |
5.3 % |
6.0 % |
6.4 % |
6.9 % |
7.4 % |
8.0 % |
8.6 % |
8.8 % |
|
2020Q3 |
1.3 % |
2.8 % |
4.3 % |
5.4 % |
6.3 % |
6.9 % |
7.5 % |
8.2 % |
8.9 % |
9.3 % |
9.5 % |
9.5 % |
|
2020Q4 |
0.3 % |
1.4 % |
2.4 % |
3.4 % |
4.3 % |
5.4 % |
6.4 % |
7.3 % |
7.7 % |
8.0 % |
8.2 % |
8.3 % |
|
2021Q1 |
0.5 % |
1.8 % |
3.0 % |
4.2 % |
5.3 % |
6.3 % |
7.1 % |
7.3 % |
7.5 % |
7.7 % |
7.8 % |
7.9 % |
|
2021Q2 |
0.5 % |
2.1 % |
3.8 % |
5.5 % |
6.8 % |
7.5 % |
7.7 % |
7.9 % |
8.1 % |
8.3 % |
8.2 % |
8.2 % |
|
2021Q3 |
0.6 % |
2.5 % |
4.2 % |
5.4 % |
6.1 % |
6.5 % |
6.7 % |
6.9 % |
6.9 % |
6.9 % |
6.9 % |
6.8 % |
|
2021Q4 |
0.8 % |
2.7 % |
4.1 % |
4.9 % |
5.4 % |
5.8 % |
5.8 % |
5.8 % |
5.7 % |
5.6 % |
5.6 % |
5.5 % |
|
2022Q1 |
0.7 % |
2.1 % |
3.2 % |
4.0 % |
4.6 % |
4.8 % |
4.7 % |
4.6 % |
4.6 % |
4.5 % |
4.5 % |
4.4 % |
|
2022Q2 |
0.5 % |
1.8 % |
2.9 % |
3.8 % |
4.3 % |
4.5 % |
4.4 % |
4.3 % |
4.3 % |
4.2 % |
4.2 % |
4.1 % |
|
2022Q3 |
0.6 % |
2.2 % |
3.5 % |
4.3 % |
4.8 % |
5.0 % |
5.0 % |
4.9 % |
4.9 % |
4.8 % |
4.7 % |
4.7 % |
|
2022Q4 |
0.7 % |
2.5 % |
3.9 % |
4.9 % |
5.6 % |
5.9 % |
5.8 % |
5.8 % |
5.7 % |
5.6 % |
5.5 % |
||
2023Q1 |
0.6 % |
2.4 % |
4.0 % |
5.2 % |
5.9 % |
6.2 % |
6.1 % |
6.0 % |
5.9 % |
5.5 % |
|||
2023Q2 |
0.7 % |
3.0 % |
4.9 % |
6.3 % |
7.0 % |
7.3 % |
7.2 % |
6.9 % |
|||||
2023Q3 |
0.9 % |
3.7 % |
5.8 % |
7.1 % |
7.9 % |
8.1 % |
7.8 % |
||||||
2023Q4 |
0.8 % |
3.6 % |
5.8 % |
7.0 % |
7.6 % |
||||||||
2024Q1 |
0.7 % |
3.2 % |
5.0 % |
6.4 % |
|||||||||
2024Q2 |
0.6 % |
2.7 % |
|||||||||||
2024Q3 |
0.6 % |
||||||||||||
[1]The 30+ days delinquency rate by vintage refers to the outstanding principal balance of loans facilitated over a specified period that are more than 30 days past due, as a percentage of the total loans facilitated during that same period. Loans originating outside mainland China are excluded from the calculation. |
View original content:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/yiren-digital-reports-third-quarter-2024-financial-results-302311261.html
SOURCE Yiren Digital
© 2024 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.
Why Keysight Technologies Shares Are Trading Higher By Over 9%; Here Are 20 Stocks Moving Premarket
Shares of Keysight Technologies, Inc. KEYS rose sharply in today’s pre-market trading reported better-than-expected earnings for its fourth quarter.
Keysight reported quarterly earnings of $1.65 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.57. The company reported quarterly sales of $1.287 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.258 billion.
The company said it sees first-quarter revenue of $1.265 billion to $1.285 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.65 to $1.71 per share.
Keysight shares jumped 9.3% to $166.20 in the pre-market trading session.
Here are some other stocks moving in pre-market trading.
Gainers
- Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. TNXP gained 63.6% to $0.2663 in pre-market trading after jumping 22% on Tuesday.
- Nauticus Robotics, Inc. KITT rose 59.3% to $1.45 in pre-market trading after the company entered into strategic collaboration with SeaTrepid to integrate and test its ToolKITT software on remotely operated vehicles.
- Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. TVGN gained 41.2% to $1.92 in pre-market trading following third-quarter results.
- Digital Brands Group, Inc. DBGI gained 30.7% to $0.1524 in pre-market trading after jumping around 18% on Tuesday.
- JX Luxventure Ltd JXJT gained 26.2% to $1.64 in pre-market trading after declining around 12% on Tuesday.
- KORE Group Holdings, Inc. KORE gained 25.1% to $2.29 in pre-market trading after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly sales results.
- Algorhythm Holdings, Inc. RIME gained 23.4% to $0.3150 in pre-market trading after reporting third-quarter results.
- Hoth Therapeutics, Inc. HOTH climbed 22.2% to $0.9993 in pre-market trading after the company was granted U.S. Patent No. 12,144,815 titled “Use of Aprepitant for Treating Alzheimer’s Disease.”
- Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited KC gained 20.8% to $5.55 in pre-market trading. Kingsoft Cloud, on Tuesday, reported a fiscal third-quarter 2024 revenue of 1.89 billion Chinese yuan ($268.7 million), up by 16.0% year-on-year, beating the analyst consensus estimate of $247.46 million.
Losers
- PainReform Ltd. PRFX shares tumbled 26.4% to $1.03 in pre-market trading after jumping 162% on Tuesday. The company announced a 1-for-4 reverse stock split.
- X3 Holdings Co., Ltd. XTKG fell 27.4% to $0.1050 in pre-market trading. XTKG announced a 1-for-20 share consolidation.
- Solidion Technology Inc. STI shares fell 21.2% to $0.5003 in pre-market trading following third-quarter results.
- Volato Group, Inc. SOAR declined 16.7% to $0.3912 in pre-market trading after jumping 123% on Tuesday. Volato Group, on Monday, reported a year-over-year increase in third-quarter financial results.
- HCW Biologics Inc. HCWB shares fell 16.6% to $0.9180 in pre-market trading after dipping 11% on Tuesday. The company announced a $6.9 million direct offering and private placement.
- Powell Industries, Inc. POWL dipped 15.4% to $264.00 in pre-market trading after the company reported worse-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue results.
- Destiny Tech100 Inc. DXYZ shares dipped 13.4% to $39.18 in pre-market trading after jumping 24% on Tuesday.
- Workhorse Group Inc. WKHS fell 13.1% to $1.06 in pre-market trading after posting quarterly results.
- Silvercorp Metals Inc. SVM fell 11.3% to $3.59 in pre-market trading after the company announced a $130 million convertible senior notes offering.
- QuidelOrtho Corporation QDEL fell 6.7% to $36.01 in today’s pre-market trading after the company announced the pricing of secondary offering of common stock by the Carlyle Group.
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Billionaire Ray Dalio Sold 27% of Bridgewater's Stake in Nvidia and Is Piling Into 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock-Split Stocks
Important data releases are a common occurrence on Wall Street. Between earnings season, which sees a vast majority of Wall Street’s largest and most-influential businesses report their quarterly operating results, and daily economic reports, it can be easy to miss something important.
For instance, you might have missed what can arguably be described as the most-important data dump of the fourth quarter last week. Nov. 14 marked the deadline for institutional investors with at least $100 million in assets under management (AUM) to file Form 13F with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing provides a snapshot that alerts investors to the stocks Wall Street’s most-prominent money managers bought and sold in the latest quarter (i.e., ended Sept. 30).
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Although investors tend to hone in on Warren Buffett’s trading activity at Berkshire Hathaway, the Oracle of Omaha is far from the only billionaire asset manager that’s been highly successful on Wall Street.
For example, Bridgewater Associates billionaire money manager Ray Dalio also has quite the following. Dalio, who runs a well-diversified fund that takes advantage of economic trends, closed out the third quarter with close to $17.7 billion in AUM.
Among the hundreds of trades executed by Dalio and his team during the September-ended quarter, perhaps none stand out more than the buying and selling activity associated with three of Wall Street’s hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stock-split stocks.
The first eye-popper is that Ray Dalio was a big-time seller of the market’s leading AI stock-split stock, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). Nvidia completed its largest forward stock split on record (10-for-1) following the close of trading on June 7.
Despite Nvidia’s AI-graphics processing units (GPUs) dominating in high-compute data centers, and the company possessing substantial pricing power on its H100 and Blackwell GPUs, Dalio’s Bridgewater shed 1,801,922 shares of Nvidia in the third quarter. This represents a 27% reduction from where things stood on June 30. Although profit-taking may be the key catalyst for Bridgewater, there’s potentially more to this story than just ringing the register.
For instance, Nvidia’s stock has enjoyed a near-parabolic increase on the heels of the AI revolution. However, history tells us that every game-changing technology since the advent of the internet has navigated its way through an early stage bubble. Investors frequently overestimate the speed at which new technologies are adopted by businesses and consumers, eventually leading to lofty expectations not being met.
TSMC's move to cut off Chinese chip firms weighs on annual Beijing semiconductor forum
Chinese chip industry experts and investors have congregated in Beijing for one of the largest annual chip forums to discuss the impact of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) cutting advanced foundry services for some mainland clients and the outlook for the country’s chip sector under a new Donald Trump administration in the US.
Despite US threats of more sanctions, China should be bullish about developments in advanced semiconductors and generative artificial intelligence (AI) because of the potential of its huge market, according to industry insiders attending the 21st China International Semiconductor Expo.
The conference, which kicked off on Monday, gathered more than 500 firms from China’s semiconductor supply chain spanning design, foundry services and packaging in Beijing. Leading Chinese semiconductor equipment tool firms Naura Technology Group, 3D NAND flash memory chipmaker Yangtze Memory Technologies Corporation, DRAM chipmaker ChangXin Memory Technologies, and chip designer Huawei Technologies all took part in the three-day event.
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Geopolitics has been one of the key concerns for many at the expo, as China braces for the uncertainty surrounding US policies when Trump returns to the White House for a second presidential term in January. Trump has vowed to increase tariffs on China-made goods by 60 per cent.
YMTC’s 64-layer 3D NAND flash memory wafer. Photo: YMTC alt=YMTC’s 64-layer 3D NAND flash memory wafer. Photo: YMTC>
He Weiwei, co-founder and general manager at BASiC Semiconductor, said during a panel at the Expo on Tuesday that the company has poured an extra 20 million yuan to 30 million yuan (US$2.8 million to US$4.1 million) into developing manufacturing facilities and materials in mainland China over fears that US sanctions could cut off supplies.
“This is a huge burden for a start-up like us,” He said. “We used to buy US materials and have the chips manufactured in Taiwan, and then ship them back to mainland China for packaging.”
When Trump started a trade war with China in 2018, BASiC feared it could be cut off from Taiwanese manufacturing, according to He. Technological decoupling in subsequent years also started to hurt expansion plans for Chinese companies.
“Some first-tier American carmakers made it very clear that they will not buy products made in China,” He said.
2 Potential Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock-Splits Investors Could See in 2025
High-quality companies tend to create tremendous amounts of value, which sometimes drives their per-share price into the hundreds (or even thousands) of dollars. It can be too expensive for small investors to buy in at that price point (unless they use a broker that offers fractional shares), which leaves institutional investors and large funds holding a dominant piece of the pie.
A stock split can ease that problem by increasing the amount of shares in circulation while, at the same time, organically reducing the price per share. Stock splits are entirely cosmetic and don’t change the value of the underlying company, but they make the stock more accessible to smaller retail investors.
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Several high-profile companies executed stock splits this year:
-
Nvidia completed a 10-for-1 stock split on June 10, which increased the number of shares in circulation tenfold and reduced its price per share from $1,200 to $120.
-
Chipotle completed a 50-for-1 stock split on June 26, which reduced its price per share from $3,283 to $66.
-
Broadcom completed a 10-for-1 stock split on July 12, which reduced its price per share from $1,700 to $170.
A new year is right around the corner and that has some analysts prognosticating on who might execute stock splits in 2025. I think Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) could find their way onto the list. Out of the six technology companies with valuations of $1 trillion or more, those two have the highest per-share prices.
They could get even more pricey as they expand their presence in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry. Here’s why they could each benefit from a split.
Microsoft has completed nine splits since its stock came public in 1986. The company has created a staggering $3 trillion in value for investors over the last 38 years, and if it had completed no splits, its stock would be trading at $119,500 today!
Microsoft’s most recent split was more than two decades ago in 2003. The company’s stock is trading at $415 as of this writing, so it might be due for another in the near future — especially because of the potential value the company stands to create thanks to its investments in AI.
Microsoft is a key investor in ChatGPT creator OpenAI and has used the start-up’s technology to create the Copilot virtual assistant, which is embedded for free in its flagship software products like Windows, Bing, and Edge. However, users of 365 productivity applications — like Word, Excel, and PowerPoint — can also add Copilot to their plans for an additional monthly subscription fee.
"Big Short" Money Manager Michael Burry Is Piling Into 3 Industry-Leading Stocks That Share a Common Theme
In case you missed it, one of the most-anticipated data dumps of the fourth quarter occurred last week on Nov. 14 — and no, it has nothing to do with earnings season or the release of the October inflation report.
No later than 45 days following the end to a quarter, institutional investors with $100 million (or more) in assets under management are required to file Form 13F with the Securities and Exchange Commission. A 13F allows investors to look over the shoulders of Wall Street’s top money managers to see which stocks they purchased and sold in the most recent quarter (i.e., the third quarter).
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Although Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett tends to garner a lot of attention, he’s far from the only asset manager who’s made their mark on Wall Street. Another 13F that’s of high interest to investors is that of Scion Asset Management’s Dr. Michael Burry.
It’s a well-known fact that Wall Street’s major stock indexes have increased in value over the long run. Even though stock corrections, bear markets, and crashes are a normal and inevitable aspect of the investing cycle, the long-term growth of the American economy and corporate profits eventually lifts Wall Street’s iconic indexes to new heights.
Nevertheless, there are opportunities for short-sellers to generate meaningful profits over shorter timelines. A short-seller makes money when the price of a security declines, and loses money when it rises. Whereas gains are capped at 100% for short-sellers (i.e., a publicly traded company’s share price can’t fall below $0), losses are, in theory, unlimited.
Burry gained notoriety for being in this contrarian camp during the financial crisis from 2007 through 2009. In fact, his story is documented in the 2015 film The Big Short, as well as the 2010 novel by Michael Lewis, The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine.
Prior to the (in hindsight) collapse of the housing market, Burry questioned the health of mortgages that had been packaged into larger mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) by many of America’s biggest financial institutions. With his fund (Scion), Burry purchased credit-default swaps on these MBSs and effectively bet on their default. When the dust cleared, Scion walked away with a profit totaling around $725 million.
Since accurately calling this event, Burry has been known as Wall Street “Big Short” investor.