Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller: Selling This AI Stock Was a 'Big Mistake'

Billionaire hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller regrets the decision to sell his fund’s stake in Nvidia Corporation NVDA, a frontrunner in the artificial intelligence sector.

What Happened: In an interview with Bloomberg last year, Druckenmiller confessed that offloading Nvidia was a “big mistake.” The decision was primarily driven by the stock’s valuation, given that its price had tripled within a span of a year.

Nvidia, a significant player in the AI realm, has been registering record revenue and profit growth, courtesy of its industry-leading graphics processing unit (GPU) technology.

Despite Druckenmiller’s remorse, other billionaire investors like Ken Griffin of Citadel and David Shaw of D.E. Shaw have also downsized their Nvidia holdings. David Tepper of Appaloosa Management offloaded a substantial chunk of his Nvidia stake due to uncertainties surrounding long-term performance.

Also Read: Peter Lynch’s Money-Making Advice: ‘When Things Go From Terrible to Semi-Terrible to OK, You Can Make a Lot of Money’

While Nvidia continues to reign supreme in the GPU market, several of its clients, including Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla, and Meta Platforms, are venturing into chip development. This could potentially decelerate Nvidia’s growth due to heightened competition.

Despite the promising outlook, some speculate that the stock’s recent surge is not entirely rooted in solid fundamentals, but is more likely a result of clever marketing strategies in the run-up to the Blackwell launch.

Why It Matters: The regret expressed by Druckenmiller underscores the potential of Nvidia and the AI industry. Despite the stock’s high valuation and increased competition, Nvidia’s innovative technology and potential revenue growth make it a key player in the market.

However, the decisions of other billionaire investors to reduce their positions highlight the uncertainties surrounding the company’s long-term performance.

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Image: Wikimedia Commons

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S&P 500 Has Its Best Week Since November Election: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Stocks powered ahead to notch their best week since the November presidential election just ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration.

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Most groups in the S&P 500 rose, with the gauge up 1% on Friday. Nvidia Corp. and Tesla Inc. led gains in megacaps, while Intel Corp. jumped more than 9% after a report the chipmaker is an acquisition target. Also aiding sentiment were headlines that Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping discussed trade, TikTok and fentanyl, which could set the tone for relations between the world’s two largest economies. Bonds also rebounded this week, with 10-year yields down about 15 basis points in the span.

Trump, who is set to be sworn in as the 47th US president on Monday, has reiterated his focus on core priorities such as cutting taxes and raising tariffs. Equities soared following the election on bets the new administration will enact pro-growth policies that will boost Corporate America. While stocks faltered last month on hawkish Fed signals, recent data showing cooling inflation reignited bets on rate cuts.

“This week’s easing inflation data and a positive reaction to earnings from several financial companies resulted in a bond and stock rally,” said Craig Johnson at Piper Sandler. “Recent short-term oversold conditions and weak bullish sentiment are underpinning the recovery of the major indices from within their primary uptrends.”

To Mark Hackett at Nationwide, the bounce in equities is encouraging, indicating the balance between bulls and bears is leveling.

“Markets are likely to remain in a zigzag pattern through earnings season,” he noted. “Once earnings season is finished, expectations are reset, and the buyback window reopens, the bulls can reestablish control.”

The S&P 500 extended its advance for the week to 2.9%. The Nasdaq 100 climbed 1.7% Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.8%. A gauge of the “Magnificent Seven” megacaps rallied 1.8%. The Russell 2000 advanced 0.4%. Buoyed by solid earnings, banks continued to surge, sending a closely watched industry gauge up 8.2% for the week. US markets will be closed Monday for a holiday.

The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.61%. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.3%. Bitcoin jumped to around $105,000.

Mark Cuban Says Trump's Messaging Skills Overshadow Biden's 16 Million Jobs–'He Can Sell Them Dollar Bills For $5'

When it comes to modern politics, it’s not just about policies – it’s about how you sell them. And according to billionaire entrepreneur Mark Cuban, Democrats and Republicans are playing vastly different games when it comes to winning over voters.

Cuban’s comments came during a discussion on Bluesky about job growth under President Joe Biden. While Biden boasts impressive numbers – 16.1 million jobs created, more than the full terms of Trump, Obama or George W. Bush–Cuban thinks these numbers aren’t connecting with everyday people the way they should.

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The conversation started when Peter Baker, chief White House Correspondent for The New York Times and MSNBC analyst, shared an Axios article that highlighted how more jobs have been created under Biden than during the full terms of Trump, Obama or Bush 43.

In response, journalist Kara Swisher said, “It is truly about who tells a better story – or really a story people want to hear and makes them see what they believe rather than believe what they see.”

Cuban replied, “The reality is that Salesmanship is the differentiation between the two parties. The Dems couldn’t sell dollar bills for 50c. Trump has found his audience and can sell them dollar bills for $5. When everything is a story the algorithm flashes at you as you scroll, you better be selling fast.”

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The Numbers Don’t Lie

Axios reported that the U.S. economy has added more jobs under Biden than any of his recent predecessors. In 2024 alone, 2.23 million jobs were created, including 256,000 in December. Here’s how it stacks up:

  • Joe Biden (2021–2024): +16.1 million jobs
  • Donald Trump (2017–2020): -2.1 million jobs (pandemic losses; pre-pandemic gains: +6.6 million)
  • Barack Obama (2009–2016): +7.1 million jobs
  • George W. Bush (2001–2008): +5.2 million jobs

By comparison, Bill Clinton’s presidency saw a whopping 23 million jobs added. However, Biden’s annual average growth is higher, driven by the post-pandemic recovery. Despite these numbers, Cuban argues that the Democrats are failing to share this message and connect with voters.

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Trump’s Masterclass in Selling

Trump, on the other hand, has mastered the art of selling. He understands his audience and crafts simple, catchy ideas that stick. From rallies to social media posts, he’s turned complicated issues into statements his supporters can get behind.

Cuban’s metaphor about dollar bills stresses the stark difference in approach. While Trump can persuade his followers to buy into his vision – even at a premium – the Democrats struggle to make their case even when the value is obvious.

After all, Trump famously said in 2016, “I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose any voters. It’s, like, incredible.”

Cuban’s critique is a wake-up call for Democrats to rethink their approach. Biden’s job growth numbers are strong, but without a good story to back them up, they’re being drowned out by louder, flashier messages from Republicans.

In a world driven by algorithms and attention spans measured in seconds, the ability to sell a story is a necessity. As Cuban points out, that’s where the Democrats are failing.

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Retirement expert details the 'highest single correlation' to success

Listen and subscribe to Decoding Retirement on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcasts.

The key to a successful transition into retirement lies with several tactics, and preparation — both financial and non-financial — is among the most significant, according to one expert.

“The highest single correlation to that success is how much time you spend preparing prior to retirement — not only on the financial elements, which is obvious, and everybody does it, but not as obvious is the non-financial side,” said Fritz Gilbert, author of “The Keys to a Successful Retirement” and guest on a recent episode of Yahoo Finance’s Decoding Retirement.

According to Gilbert, who also publishes the Retirement Manifesto blog, the more time spent planning for both sides of retirement, the higher the chances that “you’ll find those things in retirement that will bring you the sense of fulfillment that you’re hoping to have in retirement.”

Many prospective retirees don’t start thinking about their post-retirement plans until after they’ve left the workforce. Gilbert, however, took a different approach, beginning his planning years in advance — a move he credits as instrumental to his success.

“It certainly helps,” he said. “It’s been demonstrated that the more you do in advance in terms of this planning, the smoother that transition will be.”

In order for retirees to ensure they have enough money to maintain their desired lifestyle, Gilbert recommended tracking spending before even entering retirement.

“You can’t go into retirement without having a good baseline of spending,” he said. “It’s a math problem, ultimately. And the more variables that you can eliminate, the better your plan will be.”

Read more: Retirement planning: A step-by-step guide

According to Boston College’s National Retirement Risk Index, 39% of working-age households will not be able to maintain their standard of living in retirement.

In Gilbert’s case, he and his wife tracked every expense for 11 months to establish a baseline and then adjusted for retirement by accounting for downsizing, travel, and other changes. He also used tools like the 4% rule (spending 4% of your portfolio annually) as a guide.

“See how it compares to that estimated spending number,” he said, noting that if it’s close, you should be fine. But if it’s not close, you’ll need to consider working longer or cutting expenses.

Gilbert also recommended his “90/10 rule.” Before retirement, the self-described spreadsheet nerd said he spent 90% of his time thinking about money and just 10% of his time focused on the non-financial side of retirement.

Billionaire Investor Bill Ackman Just Went All In On One of His Favorite Stocks: He Plans to Hold It "Forever"

Bill Ackman and his fund Pershing Square Capital Management are big fans of the real estate development company Howard Hughes Holdings (NYSE: HHH). In 2010, Pershing, along with several big private equity firms, capitalized the company in a rights offering that valued shares at $47.62.

While Ackman is pleased with management and the work they’ve done over the last decade-and-a-half, he has very little to show for it. The stock returned 35% between 2010 and August 2023 before Ackman and Pershing began to intervene, which equates to a 2.2% compound annual gain.

However, Ackman isn’t giving up. On the contrary, the billionaire is doubling down. Now he’s proposing to purchase a sizable amount of the remaining public float because he wants to hold the stock “forever.”

Under the proposal sent in a letter to Howard Hughes’ board of directors, Pershing Square’s holding company would form a new subsidiary to acquire over 11.7 million shares from the outstanding float at $85 per share in a transaction valued at $1 billion. There were over 31.2 million outstanding shares on Jan. 13.

Additionally, Pershing would simultaneously conduct a $500 million share repurchase program at $85 per share for over 5.8 million shares from the public float, financed by new bonds issued by the company. The subsidiary created by Pershing would eventually merge back into Howard Hughes and keep the same management team in place.

The $85 offer represented an 18.4% premium to Howard Hughes’ stock price on Jan. 10 and a 38.3% premium from Aug. 6 of last year, when Pershing filed a 13D form with the Securities and Exchange Commission, hinting it was evaluating such a transaction. Pershing already owned close to 38% of outstanding shares before the proposal.

If approved, the deal would increase Pershing’s stake to somewhere in the range of 61.1% to 69.2% of outstanding shares. It all depends on how shareholders respond to the deal. Shareholders can take $85 per share in cash or roll their position into the post-merger company. The intent is to end up with a public float of about 31% of outstanding capital.

Ackman estimates that if all shareholders involved in the potential transaction elect to take cash, 56.4% of them would receive cash as a pro-rated outcome. The company will then repurchase over 5.8 million shares that it will effectively retire. If all shareholders elected to roll over their position, then shareholders controlling nearly 38% of the public float would be exchanged for $85 per share in cash, and Howard Hughes would add $500 million of capital to its balance sheet from the bond financing.

Better Fintech Stock to Buy in 2025: PayPal or Visa?

There are many secular trends that have been shaping our economy in recent memory. One area that has deservedly gotten a lot of attention is the intersection of finance and technology.

There are numerous so-called fintech stocks to choose from. However, investors might have their eyes on PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) and Visa (NYSE: V), both of which possess favorable qualities. Which of these payment enterprises is the better one to buy in 2025?

One similarity you’ll notice with these companies is that their economic moats are supported by network effects. PayPal has 432 million active users, a base that consists of merchants and consumers. As the platforms get larger, it becomes more valuable to everyone.

Visa, on the other hand, counts a whopping 4.5 billion active cards in use across the globe. These are accepted at more than 130 million merchant locations worldwide. Again, as the card and merchant base grow, the network becomes increasingly valuable to both parties.

PayPal and Visa benefit from the prevalence of cashless transactions, a secular trend that still has a long way to go. According to the Pew Research Center, 58% of Americans still use cash for some or all of their transactions in a typical week. This data is from 2022, so that share has likely come down. However, it shows the runway cashless transactions broadly, and PayPal and Visa specifically, have. This is true even in developed economies.

Investors will definitely appreciate that these businesses are financially lucrative. In the past five years, PayPal’s operating margin has averaged 16.4%. Visa’s crushes this figure, with its average operating margin on a trailing-five-year basis coming in at a ridiculous 66.1%.

There are also some differences investors should keep in mind. For starters, PayPal’s valuation is cheaper. It trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20 right now. That’s not only a 55% discount to its historical average valuation, but it’s also well below Visa’s 32 P/E multiple. To be fair, though, Visa’s valuation is 8% below its trailing-10-year average.

However, Visa’s premium valuation over PayPal is justified. This is the superior business, with much steadier financial performance and far better profitability.

Plus, Visa faces minimal threats of disruption since it’s so ingrained in our economy, as it handled $16 trillion in annualized payment volume last fiscal quarter. Just imagine the turmoil that would be caused if the Visa network went down. A sizable chunk of global commerce would be on pause.

1 Magnificent Dividend King Down 33% to Buy and Hold Forever

Nucor (NYSE: NUE) is a steel company, and that has major implications for its financial performance, given the inherent cyclicality of the steel industry. However, Nucor has managed to achieve an incredible feat despite the cyclical nature of the industry in which it operates.

Indeed, the company has joined the elite group known as Dividend Kings thanks to its 51 consecutive annual dividend increases. Here’s why now, with the stock down by around 33% from recent highs, is a good time to buy Nucor, with the plan to hold on to it forever.

You would think that a stock losing around a third of its value in roughly a year would be a harrowing experience. In some ways it is, but when it comes to Nucor, well, it’s not an unusual event. It lost about as much in 2022, and in even less time.

NUE Chart
NUE data by YCharts.

In fact, if you look back over the last few decades, Nucor’s shares have lost 25% or more of their value more than a dozen times. This is not the stock for investors with weak stomachs. If you can’t handle this level of volatility, you should avoid Nucor altogether.

The thing is, since the early 1990s, Nucor’s total return, which includes reinvested dividends, has bested what you would have achieved if you had owned the SPDR S&P 500 Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY). Basically, despite the volatility, and even after the most recent declines, Nucor’s stock price has marched impressively higher over time.

NUE Total Return Level Chart
NUE total return level, data by YCharts.

The stock price volatility here isn’t really shocking given that the steel industry is highly cyclical. Steel goes into everything from bridges to buildings to home appliances.

When commodity prices are weak because of falling demand, Nucor’s top and bottom lines will fall. That’s basically what’s happening right now, with the company’s earnings off materially from recent peaks.

NUE EPS Diluted (Quarterly) Chart
NUE EPS diluted (quarterly), data by YCharts; EPS = earnings per share.

The company is well aware of the industry’s dynamics and has long focused on having a strong balance sheet so it can survive the normal downturns. The debt-to-equity ratio is around 0.33 today, which would be reasonable for just about any company.

It has also built a diversified business, with a material number of value-added products. Such products have higher margins, and the diversification means there are more growth levers to pull even when the steel industry is weak, broadly speaking.

Nucor also has a habit of investing when the sector is on the outs. Management often talks about higher highs and higher lows with regard to earnings, which basically means it is always looking to improve its business no matter the point in the steel cycle. The current downturn is no exception, with capital spending of around $3 billion over the 12 months through the end of the third quarter of 2024. That’s well above the recent average run rate of roughly $1.9 billion a year.

Is Archer Aviation a Once-in-a-Decade Buying Opportunity in 2025?

According to third-party estimates, the average driver in the United States spends 54 hours a year stuck in traffic. Multiplied by 243 million total drivers, that is 13 billion cumulative hours spent in traffic every year in the United States. Globally, the figure is likely over 100 billion hours. Time, money, and quality of life are lost by sitting in your car stuck on the road.

What if there were a company aiming to help solve this issue? That is the goal of Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR) and other electric vertical takeoff taxi (eVTOL) companies. With an innovative product and clear goal (to help solve the traffic issue), there is a lot of potential for these new air taxi companies. Does that make Archer Aviation a once-in-a-decade buying opportunity in 2025?

An eVTOL is an innovative vehicle type that is similar to a helicopter but with some major improvements. First, eVTOLs are much quieter than helicopters, making them easier to tolerate in neighborhoods and cities. Second, they are fully electric, utilizing tilt-propeller technology to make them cleaner and more energy-efficient.

Archer Aviation is building an eVTOL to help people travel quicker in congested urban areas. For example, it highlights the trip from downtown Manhattan to the Newark airport, which can sometimes take over an hour in a car. Once the company’s eVTOL point-to-point air taxi network is built, the company says this trip will take under 10 minutes.

This could be a huge time save not only for the riders, but also for other people on the roads. For every person who takes an eVTOL trip from Manhattan to Newark, that is one less car on the road. It is likely that it will cost a pretty penny for this air taxi trip (and will have to in order for the network to make a profit), but I think there will be plenty of demand for the service. Only the wealthiest people have the ability to skip the typical airport trip with helicopters and private jets.

There are plenty of people with enough wealth who will be willing to pay hundreds of dollars for an air taxi trip if it means a 10-minute flight to the airport, at least in wealthy cities around the globe. This is the passenger segment that Archer Aviation is targeting, with plans to open up networks in places such as Japan, India, the Middle East, and the United States. According to management, its first point-to-point network will start operating by the end of this year.

It isn’t just Archer Aviation that sees electric air taxis as a modern solution to traffic issues. There are eight other eVTOL stocks trading today, and this is only counting the ones that are publicly listed. Luckily for Archer Aviation, it is one of the largest and has a lot of financial backing. It is also close to bringing a service to market (hopefully sometime in 2025).

Prediction: This Will Be the Next AI Company to Split Its Stock

Stock splits were a major market theme in 2024, with some of the world’s biggest names joining the list. Companies across sectors, from Walmart to Chipotle Mexican Grill, launched such operations last year. And Nvidia and Broadcom led the wave in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, each completing a 10-for-1 stock split.

Why do investors love stock splits? Even though they don’t change anything fundamental about a company, they do lower the per-share price, making the stock more accessible to a wider range of investors. And the move also could be seen as a sign of confidence from management, with the idea that the stock has what it takes to rise from its new lower price.

So, it’s logical that investors are always on the lookout for stock splits, especially when a very successful company’s share price has soared to high levels. And one particular AI company right now is looking ripe for a split. The stock climbed 65% last year and today trades for more than $600. My prediction is this well-known company will be the next AI player to announce a split.

An investor talks on the phone while looking at a tablet.
Image source: Getty Images.

Before I give away the name of this company, I’ll offer you one more clue about its identity. This tech giant is the only member of the “Magnificent Seven” –the stocks that drove last year’s market gains — that never has launched a stock split. I’m talking about Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), owner of social media platforms Facebook, Messenger, WhatsApp, and Instagram.

Thanks to its social media dominance — more than 3.2 billion people use at least one of its apps daily — Meta has seen its revenue and profit climb into the billions of dollars. And its shares have followed the upward path, today trading near a record high.

Meta generates most of its revenue through advertising as advertisers seek to reach us where they know they’ll find us — using one of the company’s apps. But Meta has aggressively expanded into AI, making it the company’s biggest area of investment last year — and Meta has suggested it will increase AI investments this year too.

CEO Mark Zuckerberg has said he’s interested in developing AIs that all Meta users may rely on for whatever is important to them — from business to leisure activities. To get there, the company developed its own large language model (LLM) and is now training the latest version, Llama 4. In the most recent earnings call, Zuckerberg said Meta’s seeing fast adoption of the recently released Meta AI — the company’s first AI assistant — and Llama is “quickly becoming a standard across the industry.”

My 5 Largest Portfolio Holdings Heading Into 2025 — and the Important Investing Lesson I Learned From Each One

Last year was one for the record books as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite each hit new record highs at multiple points throughout the year. Furthermore, the bull market continued to gain ground, passing its second anniversary in October, though it’s taking a well-deserved breather as we head into 2025.

Closing the door on the old and ringing in the new year is a great time for reflection, and as an avid investor, my first stop is usually my portfolio. One area I like to review is what stocks have emerged as my largest holdings and how they came to dominate my portfolio, as this can provide keen insight for the future.

Here’s a look at my five largest holdings heading into 2025 (as of market close on Jan. 13) and an important investing takeaway from each one.

Fishing, like investing, is rife with tales of “the one that got away.” Despite intentions to buy an intriguing stock, life gets in the way, and some development sends the stock soaring, notching gains of 100%, 500%, or even 1,000%. For me, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) was the whopper that got away.

I owned shares of the graphics processing unit (GPU) pioneer early in my investing career but sold them for tax-loss harvesting in 2010. I always intended to buy back into the company, but the stock was underwater for much of the next five years, so I had time. Then, the stock tripled in 2016, taking the wind out of my sails.

However, by early 2018, I became intrigued again. Nvidia commanded a 70% share of the discrete desktop GPU market, experienced strong demand for cryptocurrency mining, and was making inroads in the self-driving car market. It was clear that CEO Jensen Huang had a knack for anticipating the next big thing and was adept at positioning Nvidia for success.

After much research and even more soul searching — and despite gains of more than 600% in just over two years and a pricey valuation — I decided to buy Nvidia. I also added to my position numerous times in the ensuing years. Nvidia quickly became the gold standard when generative artificial intelligence (AI) went viral in early 2023, and my research — and conviction — paid off.

Since that purchase in late March 2018, Nvidia has soared 2,200%, and the stock is now my largest holding, amounting to roughly 12% of my portfolio. Simply put, it’s never too late to buy into an industry-leading company with a long track record of innovation — even if the stock has gotten away from you.

When I first began investing in late 2007, Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) was the very first stock I bought. I vividly remember cutting up my Blockbuster membership card after incurring a late fee that was more than the cost of the movie. Netflix conveniently delivered DVDs by mail without the hefty late charges. I was a happy customer, so buying the stock made perfect sense to me.

At the time, streaming was still in its infancy, but Netflix dominated the DVD-by-mail space, and I was intrigued by its early, consistent market penetration and accelerating expansion. Since then, Netflix has become the undisputed king of streaming, with 283 million subscribers worldwide. The initial shares I purchased in 2007 have soared 34,540% and Netflix is my second-largest holding at 12% of my portfolio.

Gains of that magnitude only happened because I held the stock relentlessly, which is much more difficult than it sounds. Some shareholders bailed after the “Qwikster” fiasco of 2011, others lost confidence when Netflix lost 1.2 million subscribers in mid-2022, and still others balked at Netflix’s foray into advertising. I held the stock through all those challenges and more.

The company tested investors’ mettle many times over the years, but for those who recognized that the investing thesis hadn’t changed and stayed the course, the rewards have been life-changing.

You’d be excused if you’ve never heard of MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI), as it isn’t a household name in the U.S. However, from humble beginnings as an online auction platform, it has become the leading technology company in Latin America, providing digital retail and payment services to 18 countries in the region. MercadoLibre provides logistics and shipping services, cross-docking and warehousing, online payments, digital wallets, consumer and merchant financing, and more.

Some investors have avoided the stock thanks to the inherent risks in the region, which include political instability, economic upheaval, and hyperinflation, among others. For example, Argentina, MercadoLibre’s home country and one of its largest markets, had an inflation rate that soared 166% year over year in November, and that’s just one of the challenges.

Yet those risks mask a sizable opportunity. While it’s several years behind the U.S. in terms of penetration, its online retail and digital payments adoption rates are among the world’s fastest-growing, with a population that’s nearly twice that of the U.S. MercadoLibre takes a cut of each transaction hosted on its website, which insulates the company from much of the risk. During the first nine months of 2024, MercadoLibre’s revenue grew 38% year over year, driving net income up 55%.

Understanding the level of risk and the magnitude of the opportunity, I made the educated decision to buy this “risky” stock, a decision that has been extremely profitable. A modest initial investment in 2009 has grown by 7,900%. Combine that with several subsequent investments, and MercadoLibre accounts for roughly 8% of my portfolio.

This helps illustrate how education can help minimize risk.

Despite numerous challengers over the past couple of years, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) remains the world’s most valuable company and one of history’s most successful. When the stock surpassed a $1 trillion market cap in 2018 — and numerous times since then — some investors believed that the company had reached its apex and there was very little upside from there.

Furthermore, the iPhone is responsible for more than half of Apple’s revenue, but as global smartphone penetration has crept higher, sales have begun to slow. Add to that the uncertain economy, and it’s easy to understand some investors’ misgivings.

Yet recent years have illustrated the resilience of Apple’s services segment, which generated growth in each of the past four years despite the worst economic downturn in decades. The segment brought in revenue of $96 billion in fiscal 2024 (ended Sept. 30), more than 77% of the companies in the Fortune 500. Furthermore, even as iPhone sales slipped, Apple continued to top the global smartphone market, with the world’s three top-selling models and four of the top 10, according to Counterpoint Research.

Selling a stock too soon can be a costly investing mistake, as it certainly would have been with Apple. Since it became a charter member of the $1 trillion club in 2018, the stock has returned 350%, more than three times the 106% return of the S&P 500. Furthermore, since my first purchase in 2008, Apple’s stock price has surged 4,120% to become my fourth-largest position, at roughly 8% of my portfolio.

I’m convinced there’s more to come.

Every once in a while, I find myself looking at a stock that has plunged, thinking, “That can’t be right.” Such was the case with The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) in early 2020. It had long been among my highest-conviction stocks — one I had been adding to for several years. The company was a digital advertising powerhouse and continued to gain market share, growing faster then the industry.

Imagine my surprise when — during a four-week period between Feb. 19 and March 18, 2020 — the stock lost 54% of its value. This wasn’t due to any operational failure, malfeasance, or financial impropriety on The Trade Desk’s part, but rather marked the start of the global pandemic. However, I had followed the company for years and was quite sure this was an overreaction on the part of investors.

After checking to be sure nothing else had changed, I put my money where my mouth was and doubled my position in The Trade Desk. My logic was simple. The need for advertising wasn’t going anywhere and the company had a demonstrated track record of using sophisticated algorithms to automate the ad-buying process, ensuring the right ads reached their target market. Furthermore, the stock was selling for half what it was just a month earlier, but the investing thesis hadn’t changed.

Since then, the stock has gained 717%, despite enduring the worst economic downturn in decades. Furthermore, since I first purchased The Trade Desk stock in March 2018, the stock has soared 2,349%. As a result, The Trade Desk is my fifth-largest holding heading into 2025, representing 7% of my portfolio.

The lesson here is a simple one. If the thesis hasn’t changed, and a great company is selling at a discount, don’t be afraid to buy on the dip.

If there’s one overriding lesson that pervades this list, it’s the compounding power of long-term buy and hold investing. Each of these stocks has been a staple in my portfolio for years. Nvidia and The Trade Desk are the most recent additions among the top five at nearly seven years, while I’ve owned Netflix shares for more than 17 years. There have been numerous instances when these stocks have lost between 25% and 50% of their value, but I resisted the common practice of jumping into and out of stocks, trying to time the peaks and valleys of the broader market.

Doing nothing is one of the biggest keys to investing success.

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you’d have $357,084!*

  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $43,554!*

  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $462,766!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See 3 “Double Down” stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of January 13, 2025

Danny Vena has positions in Apple, MercadoLibre, Netflix, Nvidia, and The Trade Desk. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, MercadoLibre, Netflix, Nvidia, and The Trade Desk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

My 5 Largest Portfolio Holdings Heading Into 2025 — and the Important Investing Lesson I Learned From Each One was originally published by The Motley Fool

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