Target may have solved one of retail's biggest problems: Theft
Target (TGT) is hitting its goals on inventory shrink.
On a call with reporters, Its CFO and COO Michael Fiddelke told Yahoo Finance the company has hit a plateau when it comes to shrink, including retail theft.
“[Inventory shrink] was one of the tailwinds to profit in the quarter, and as we stepped into the year, our aim was to have shrink plateau, and so to improve from the deterioration we’ve seen over the last couple of years, two quarters in — we’re achieving that and then some,” Fiddelke said.
Shrink can be the result of theft, damage, or poor record keeping, among other factors.
In its second quarter report, Target’s 28.9% gross profit margin beat estimates, up from 27% a year ago.
Read more: Best credit cards for back-to-school shopping at Target (August 2024)
Target said shrink increased by more than $500 million last year compared to 2022, “representing about 50 basis points of incremental rate pressure,” Fiddelke said on the company’s Q4 earnings call in March.
Profits took a $700 million hit from the issue in 2022. From 2019 to 2023, the company said shrink costs reduced its operating margin rate by a “cumulative 1.2 percentage points.”
Collaboration with local officials, expanding locked cases
“The things that we feel good about are the progress we’re seeing in our partnerships at the federal and state and local level,” Fiddelke said.
But the work is ongoing, and the company is hoping to keep making progress in the quarters ahead.
Part of the strategy included closing nine stores at the end of last October.
“We cannot continue operating these stores because theft and organized retail crime are threatening the safety of our team and guests, and contributing to unsustainable business performance,” the company said in a statement at the time.
The closed stores included one in Harlem, New York City; two in Seattle; three near San Francisco and Oakland, Calif.; and three in Portland, Ore.
At some hard-hit stores, Target also installed locking cases for “prone to theft” merchandise.
Other tactics include investing in additional security members and third-party guard services and training store leaders and employees to “protect themselves and de-escalate potential safety issues associated with organized retail crime incidents,” the company said at the time.
It also planned to partner with the investigations division of the US Department of Homeland Security to develop cyber defense technology. The tech could create custom tools that analyze fraud and other crimes.
Other retailers have also shared progress on solving the issue.
Last week, Walmart (WMT) CFO John David Rainey told investors on its earnings call that in its “core merchandise mix,” the company saw “a little bit of benefit from improved shrink in the quarter,” a trend that started in Q1.
Dollar General (DG) converted 12,000 of its stores away from self-checkout this year.
“While this represents a significant change in our stores, we believe this is the right course of action to drive increased customer engagement while also better positioning us to begin reducing shrink in the back half of ’24 with a more material positive impact expected in 2025,” CEO Todd Vasos said during its Q1 earnings call.
TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX), the parent company of TJ Maxx, Marshall’s, and Home Goods, said during Q1 that it plans for shrink to be flat year over year.
At the end of 2023, the discount retailer introduced body cameras for its loss prevention associates.
“When somebody comes in, it’s sort of — it’s almost like a deescalation where people are less likely to do something when they’re being videotaped, so we definitely feel that that’s playing a role,” CFO John Klinger told investors.
—
Brooke DiPalma is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X at @BrookeDiPalma or email her at bdipalma@yahoofinance.com.
This Is the Only Stock I Added to During the Recent Nasdaq Sell-Off — and It Remains Jaw-Droppingly Cheap
For much of the past two years, the bulls have been firmly in control on Wall Street. The mature stock-powered Dow Jones Industrial Average, benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and innovation-driven Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) have all rallied to multiple record-closing highs this summer.
But as the first three trading sessions of August reminded us, stocks rarely, if ever, move up in a straight line.
Although growth stocks have undeniably led this rally, it was the Nasdaq Composite that really took it on the chin to begin this month. Over a three-session stretch, the index shed just shy of 1,400 points, or about 8% of its value. As of the closing bell on Aug. 5, the Nasdaq sat 13% below its all-time high.
Typically, stock market corrections provide an opportunity for long-term investors to open positions or increase their stakes in amazing businesses at a discounted price. But with stocks being historically pricey, investors (myself included) have been more selective with their purchases.
With history not on Wall Street’s side, from a valuation standpoint, there’s only one stock I took to the opportunity to add to during the recent Nasdaq sell-off.
Caveat emptor, investors
Before digging into the juicy details that made me add to one of my core holdings during the Nasdaq sell-off, I believe it’s important to address the reasons for being so selective about stock purchases at the moment.
During bull markets, it’s not uncommon for investors to pay a premium for growth stocks. In fact, the democratization of information over the last three decades (thanks, internet!), coupled with historically low interest rates for much of the last 15 years, has increased the willingness of retail investors to take risks. This includes purchasing stocks with outsize price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios.
Sometimes, well-above-average P/E ratios can be justified. For instance, companies with well-defined competitive advantages and/or sustainable moats typically command valuation premiums to the peers in their industry.
But when examining the broader market as a whole, extended valuations are rarely, if ever, a good thing.
The S&P 500’s Shiller price-to-earnings ratio offers the best example of what happens when stock market valuations deviate too far from historic norms. The Shiller P/E is also commonly known as the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE ratio).
Unlike the traditional P/E ratio, which accounts for trailing-12-month earnings and can be disrupted by one-off events (e.g., COVID-19 lockdowns), the Shiller P/E is based on inflation-adjusted earnings over the prior 10 years, which helps to smooth out corporate profit “hiccups.”
When back-tested to January 1871, the average P/E multiple for the S&P 500’s Shiller P/E is 17.14. On Aug. 19, the Shiller P/E closed above 36, and didn’t dip much below 33 during even the worst of the sell-off to begin this month.
Including the present, there have only been six occasions over the last 153 years when the Shiller P/E surpassed 30 during a bull market rally. Following the previous five instances, the Dow, S&P 500, and/or Nasdaq Composite eventually shed anywhere from 20% to 89% of their value.
In other words, the Shiller P/E is warning investors that stocks are historically pricey — and I tend to be a student of history rhyming on Wall Street.
This high-growth, cash-rich, small-cap stock has been my only buy during the Nasdaq sell-off
Even with the Nasdaq pulling back by a double-digit percentage in less than a month, I haven’t been champing at the bit to put my cash to work — with one exception.
Rather than add to any of my “Magnificent Seven” holdings, the only stock that caught my eye during the Nasdaq sell-off is under-the-radar small-cap adtech company PubMatic (NASDAQ: PUBM).
Although negative market sentiment weighed on PubMatic’s shares during the first few trading sessions of August, it was the company’s second-quarter operating results — and more specifically its full-year guidance — that sent shares careening lower.
PubMatic CFO Steve Pantelick highlighted that one of his company’s largest demand-side providers (DSPs) in the programmatic ad space changed its bidding process during the second quarter. This change will result in slightly less revenue recognition throughout the remainder of the year. As a result, PubMatic’s full-year sales outlook now calls for $288 million to $292 million in revenue, down from a prior median forecast of $300 million ($296 million to $304 million).
This roughly 3% reduction in sales at the midpoint erased more than 30% of PubMatic’s market value. More importantly, it provided a price dislocation that was too tempting for me to ignore.
The most important thing to note about PubMatic’s revenue “miss” is that this won’t be an ongoing issue, nor was it unexpected. In an interview with Schwab Network following the company’s second-quarter results, PubMatic CEO Rajeev Goel pointed out that this large DSP was the last major DSP to make this bidding conversion. Beyond this one customer, the vast majority of PubMatic’s sales channels enjoyed double-digit growth.
With this headwind that dragged the company’s shares down 30%-plus addressed, let’s dig into the many reasons sell-side provider (SSP) PubMatic makes for a genius buy.
Let’s count the many ways PubMatic makes for a no-brainer buy
For starters, it finds itself at the center of the fastest-growing niche within the ad industry: digital advertising. Businesses are steadily shifting their ad dollars away from traditional print and billboards and toward digital channels, which include mobile, video, and connected TV. PubMatic is ideally positioned to help publishers sell and optimize their digital display space.
PubMatic also has macro headwinds in its sails. Although recessions are a normal and inevitable aspect of the economic cycle, history shows us that this cycle isn’t linear. Whereas three-quarters of all U.S. recessions since the end of World War II were resolved in less than a year, the overwhelming majority of economic expansions have stuck around for multiple years. Being patient tends to be a recipe for success with ad-driven businesses.
On a more company-specific basis, PubMatic’s biggest advantage just might be the fact that its management team didn’t take the easy road and chose to build out its cloud-based programmatic ad platform. Not having to rely on a third party for this platform will allow the company’s operating margin to scale at a superior rate, compared to other SSPs.
Furthermore, PubMatic is working on its 10th consecutive year of generating positive operating cash flow and is sitting on a mountain of capital. It ended June with $165.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, with no debt. Not only does this cash provide plenty of financial flexibility regardless of what’s happening with the U.S. economy and on Wall Street, but it’s also allowed the company to repurchase $100 million worth of its common stock, through July 31. Buying back stock tends to have a positive impact on earnings per share, which can make a company more attractive to fundamentally focused investors.
The final piece of the puzzle with PubMatic is its valuation. While the P/E ratio works great for mature businesses, cash flow is the better valuation metric when analyzing fast-growing companies that are aggressively reinvesting in their platforms.
As of the closing bell on Aug. 19, shares of PubMatic were valued at 8.3 times Wall Street’s consensus cash-flow estimate for 2025. This represents a 38% discount from the forward cash-flow multiple investors were paying at the end of 2023.
What’s more, PubMatic’s cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities account for 24.3% of its market cap. If we back this capital out of the equation, PubMatic’s operations are valued at closer to 6.3 times forward-year cash flow with a sustained double-digit sales and earnings growth rate. It’s a jaw-droppingly cheap stock that I gladly added to during the Nasdaq sell-off.
Should you invest $1,000 in PubMatic right now?
Before you buy stock in PubMatic, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and PubMatic wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $796,586!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
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Sean Williams has positions in PubMatic. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends PubMatic. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
This Is the Only Stock I Added to During the Recent Nasdaq Sell-Off — and It Remains Jaw-Droppingly Cheap was originally published by The Motley Fool
Missed Out on Palantir? Buy UiPath Instead.
Palantir has been one of the hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stocks on the market. Its expertise and new product launches have been almost flawless, contributing to the stock’s rise. However, there was a period when the market doubted the company, and the stock suffered.
One company that hasn’t been flawless is UiPath (NYSE: PATH). UiPath has had its fair share of hiccups, but is still a fantastic business with a great product and a massive runway. Unlike Palantir, UiPath isn’t priced for perfection. In fact, it’s hardly valued at all — almost like Palantir was in early 2023.
So, if you’re looking for the next software stock that could take off, I’d highly consider UiPath.
UiPath’s software has a huge runway ahead of it
UiPath’s product is robotic process automation (RPA) software. While this isn’t an AI product by itself, UiPath has multiple AI plug-ins and capabilities to increase the amount of processes a client can automate. The software can be deployed across a business, automating repetitive tasks like creating expense reports or replying to customer service emails. Removing repetitive tasks from an employee’s day frees them up to do tasks that require original thinking, which increases both productivity and morale.
RPA is a practical way to implement AI within a business and is slated to see massive adoption worldwide. According to Grand View Research, the RPA market is expected to increase from about $3 billion in 2023 to more than $30 billion by 2030. That compound annual growth rate of nearly 40% represents a huge investment opportunity.
UiPath already has a significant grip on this market and has one of the most powerful backers: Microsoft. UiPath and Microsoft have a strong partnership, and UiPath has already launched automation tools that integrate Microsoft Copilot. With many businesses running their company through Microsoft Office products, this integration and partnership is key.
The narrative for UiPath’s future is quite rosy, and it’s easy for investors to see how UiPath could succeed. However, it hasn’t been excelling lately.
UiPath had one bad quarter, but that’s not enough to write off the stock
In its first quarter of fiscal year 2025 (ending April 30), UiPath missed the mark. A key metric for UiPath is annual recurring revenue (ARR), which is how much subscription revenue it has. In Q1, ARR came in at the low end of guidance at $1.51 billion, although it still increased 21% year over year. Unfortunately, UiPath lowered full-year guidance dramatically, decreasing its guidance from $1.73 billion to $1.67 billion.
Alongside that drop was the announcement that CEO Rob Enslin was resigning. This is normally a terrible sign, but Enslin only became full CEO on Feb. 1, after serving as co-CEO since April 2022. Taking over is UiPath founder Daniel Dines, who was co-CEO until Enslin took over in February.
This transition should be fairly seamless, as Dines isn’t too far removed from the role and led UiPath through years of strong growth.
While the market may see this miss and transition as a concern, I don’t. This slipup may have been enough to push Enslin out the door and return power to Dines, who has a great track record. We’ll get a better idea of whether UiPath can turn it around after its Q2 results, which will be available on Sept. 5.
I’m confident management can turn it around, and the guidance given for Q2 may have been artificially low so that the company can have a positive quarter after delivering a bad one.
But the damage has been done, as the stock trades at dirt-cheap levels.
A P/S ratio of 4.8 is a very cheap price to pay for a growing software stock. Although UiPath has had its challenges, I think this represents an excellent buying opportunity.
UiPath may have had one poor quarter, but that isn’t a pattern. I think the market has given up on this stock too quickly in favor of flashier AI software names. This provides an excellent opportunity for long-term investors, as UiPath is still well-positioned to grow into a behemoth.
Should you invest $1,000 in UiPath right now?
Before you buy stock in UiPath, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and UiPath wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $779,735!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024
Keithen Drury has positions in UiPath. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Microsoft, Palantir Technologies, and UiPath. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Missed Out on Palantir? Buy UiPath Instead. was originally published by The Motley Fool
How Reuters calculated the Trump Organization’s financial situation
By Tom Bergin
(Reuters) – Reuters sought to estimate the cashflow being generated by former President Donald J. Trump’s various businesses to try to understand how that business has changed over the past decade and the extent to which over $500 million in court judgments against him may put strains on that business.
Reuters used established methodologies and consulted with experts in the different industries in which The Trump Organization operates to establish its estimate of around $80 million in cash after operating expenses from Trump’s businesses in 2024.
With respect to Trump’s interests in real estate – the business on which he built his reputation – Reuters looked at each of the properties in which Trump has an interest individually. For income-yielding properties like his office tower at 40 Wall Street or the retail units at Trump Tower in New York, Reuters worked off net operating income and rental rate figures produced between 2011 and 2021 by The Trump Organization released as part of the New York fraud trial against the group. Reuters also used information about commercial mortgage backed securities in which the group’s mortgages have been packaged, and financial information from property tax appeals.
These were adjusted by Reuters for additional costs such as routine capital expenditure and leasing fees based on expert guidance and historic averages. Reuters also deducted debt costs, which can be ascertained from his Office of Government Ethics (OGE) Candidate financial disclosure, state property records and information released as part of the fraud trial.
Historical net operating income (NOI) figures were checked against tax returns and adjusted to reflect current market conditions, vacancies and other variables, based on expert advice. There’s uncertainty about rental rates and occupancy levels.
In total, Reuters estimated that Trump will generate free cashflow from property rental and sales in New York, San Francisco, Chicago, Las Vegas and Florida of around $3 million in 2024. It would have been higher were it not for the April repayment of an around $12 million loan related to Trump Plaza in New York.
For Trump’s golf and resort properties, Reuters worked off published accounts where these were available, and net operating income figures produced by an expert hired by the New York Attorney General in the fraud case. The expert’s NOI calculations were broadly similar to, if usually somewhat lower than, income figures in valuations produced by a Trump expert in the case. They were also largely consistent with tax return information released by the Ways & Means Committee in 2022.
Reuters adjusted 2021 earnings based on revenue increases at the clubs projected by the Trump expert. Reuters cross-checked the revenue forecasts, produced in 2023, with industry trends and revenue figures Trump reported in his OGE disclosure in August 2024.
Reuters’ forecast excludes major capital expenditure on upgrades. Reuters found no reports of major new upgrades at his properties being planned in 2024, but its estimate that Trump’s clubs may generate around $70 million this year could be too high.
Trump earns money from licensing his name to foreign real estate developers and publishes the revenue received in his OGE financial disclosures. Reuters estimated Trump will receive a similar amount from existing deals in 2024 as in 2023 —a possible over-estimate – and added amounts for each of the two deals announced this year consistent with the payments he received on previous deals.
Reuters estimated $11 million of losses at the Trump Corporation, the entity which provides a centralized management function to the Trump Organization, based on figures in Trump’s tax returns released by the House Ways & Means Committee in 2022.
Reuters excluded the multi-million dollar legal costs related to Trump’s various court proceedings on the basis that much of this is being met by his campaign supporters. Also, Reuters reduced the cost of operating his fleet of aircraft to a fraction of historic levels because his campaign pays to lease aircraft from him.
Reuters also excluded any federal income tax payments.
(Reporting by Tom Bergin in London. Editing by Tom Lasseter, Benjamin Lesser and Claudia Parsons.)
'Sounds Like Murderville To Me': Mark Cuban And Kevin Hart Both Said No To A Startup That Became A Giant. Now They're Kicking Themselves
In an episode of Hart to Heart, Kevin Hart’s talk show, both Hart and billionaire investor Mark Cuban shared a regretful tale that might make any entrepreneur cringe: they both passed on the chance to invest in Uber during its early stages.
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Uber, which has since become a global powerhouse, wasn’t always an obvious success story. When pitched to these two stars, it sounded more like a recipe for disaster. Kevin Hart, in his usual comedic style, recalled dismissing the idea as “Murderville,” unable to wrap his head around the concept of strangers getting into cars with other strangers. On the other hand, Cuban was ready to invest but only at a lower valuation. He let the opportunity slip through his fingers when his offer wasn’t accepted.
Troy Carter, music manager turned tech mogul, told Hart, “There’s this thing, man. It’s called Uber. You got to invest in it.” But, “There’s nothing worse than being pitched something that you just can’t see,” Hart told Cuban.
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“There’s an app, and you say you need a ride, and whoever’s close to you, that is like one of the drivers under our app will come get you,” continued Carter. But Hart simply told him, “Sounds like Murderville to me. This has to be the stupidest shit I ever heard.”
Fast-forward to 2024, and Uber’s success speaks for itself. The company reported revenue of over $37 billion in 2023, with a market cap exceeding $150 billion and a 19% year-over-year increase in gross bookings in the second quarter of 2024 alone. But Uber hasn’t stopped at ride-hailing. The company dominates the food delivery market through Uber Eats and has expanded into freight and other logistics sectors.
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Both Hart and Cuban admit that turning down Uber is a decision they’ll always consider. Uber’s success shows that even the craziest ideas can become huge. “Don’t feel bad,” said Cuban. Still, Hart admitted that “Until this day, I think about it. Until this f***ing day. You know. I kind of avoid seeing Troy Carter, too.”
Of course, there are countless examples of great ideas being turned down by numerous investors. For example, in 2000, Reed Hastings, the co-founder of Netflix, approached Blockbuster with an offer to sell Netflix for $50 million. Blockbuster declined, not seeing the potential in a DVD-by-mail service.
In its early days, Airbnb struggled to find investors who believed in people renting out their homes to strangers. Many saw it as a risky and unprofitable venture. Today, Airbnb is valued at $75 billion.
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This article ‘Sounds Like Murderville To Me’: Mark Cuban And Kevin Hart Both Said No To A Startup That Became A Giant. Now They’re Kicking Themselves originally appeared on Benzinga.com
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Snowflake Gives Outlook That Fails to Calm Investors on AI
(Bloomberg) — Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) gave a sales outlook that failed to reassure investors that the company will gain ground in the market for artificial intelligence software tools. The shares fell in extended trade.
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Product revenue, which makes up the bulk of Snowflake’s business, will be $850 million to $855 million in the period ending in October, the company said Wednesday in a statement. Analysts, on average, predicted $848 million, although some estimates exceeded $900 million, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The company also raised its fiscal year product sales forecast to $3.36 billion from $3.3 billion.
Under Chief Executive Officer Sridhar Ramaswamy, Snowflake has launched products focused on generative AI and other new ways to analyze large sets of data. The strategy is fueled in part by increased pressure from rivals including Databricks Inc. and cloud infrastructure providers like Microsoft Corp. Snowflake offers software that helps customers find, organize and use huge amounts of information from a variety of sources.
Ramaswamy touted “product delivery, and great traction in the early stages of our new AI products.”
Still, Snowflake is navigating a challenging environment between a recent CEO change, security breaches of its customers and some market shift to products outside its traditional wheelhouse, wrote Derrick Wood, an analyst at TD Cowen, ahead of the results.
In the fiscal second quarter, total revenue rose 29% to $868.8 million — coming in under 30% for the first time in Snowflake’s history as a publicly traded company.
The shares declined about 7% in extended trading after closing at $135.06 in New York. The stock has dropped 32% this year, as investors have been concerned about Snowflake’s ability to catch up in AI-oriented tools.
Clients including AT&T Inc., Live Nation Entertainment Inc.’s Ticketmaster and LendingTree Inc. had their Snowflake accounts breached as part of a hacking campaign beginning in May. Snowflake has said its own systems weren’t infiltrated and has added features for customers to implement better security settings.
“We obviously had some rough headlines in the quarter,” Ramaswamy said of the customer breaches during a conference call after the results were released. “The issue wasn’t on the Snowflake side.”
Product revenue increased 30% to $829 million in the quarter, compared with the $813 million expected by analysts. Adjusted profit, excluding some items, was 18 cents a share, just ahead of the average estimate of 16 cents a share.
Snowflake now has 510 customers that spent more than $1 million over a trailing 12-month period, up from 485 the previous quarter. Remaining performance obligations — another key benchmark of growth — were $5.2 billion in the period ended July 31, topping analysts’ average estimate of about $5 billion.
The company has added about 1,000 workers over the last year in a period when many peers were shedding employees or selectively hiring. Snowflake said it had 7,630 employees as of the second quarter.
(Updates with additional context throughout.)
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Should You Buy Nvidia Stock Before Aug. 28?
It’s been yet another exciting earnings season for investors as megacap tech companies proved that the artificial intelligence (AI) train is moving full steam ahead.
One AI player in particular is yet to publish financial results for the second quarter. On Aug. 28, semiconductor specialist Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) will report earnings, and you can bet that bulls and bears all across Wall Street will be focusing on every last number the company produces.
Let’s dive into what investors should look for and assess if now is a good time to buy shares of Nvidia.
What is Wall Street forecasting for Nvidia earnings?
Nvidia reports revenue in five categories: data centers, gaming, professional visualization, automotive, and original equipment manufacturing (OEM).
Each segment is connected to AI in some form or fashion, but the overwhelming majority of Nvidia’s business stems from data centers. During the company’s first quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended April 28), total revenue was $26 billion. Nearly 87% of that, or $22.7 billion, came from the data center business.
According to consensus analyst estimates, Wall Street is forecasting that second-quarter sales will be around $28.5 billion. Should Nvidia achieve this target, it would represent 111% growth year over year.
In the section below, I’ll break down why I think Nvidia might blow away these estimates and explain some of that tailwinds that could be lifting its important data center operation.
A good proxy for Nvidia
It’s obvious that a common thread stitching the overall fabric of megacap tech right now is AI. But at a more granular level, AI’s integration with cloud computing is a big movement within the technology industry at large.
The cloud computing landscape is dominated by Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet.
During the second quarter, each of these “Magnificent Seven” members revealed some interesting features. Namely, each is aggressively increasing investments in capital expenditures (capex).
In the case of Amazon, the company’s big initiative is an $11 billion investment into data centers in Indiana as part of a broader rollout to develop its own AI-powered chips. As for Microsoft, the company hasn’t been shy about new investments in nuclear-powered data centers as the company seeks to double down on AI infrastructure in an energy efficient way.
During Alphabet’s second-quarter earnings call, chief financial officer Ruth Porat said that capex spending was “driven overwhelmingly by investment in our technical infrastructure with the largest component for servers followed by data centers.”
Do you see the theme? All of Nvidia’s cohorts are investing tens of billions of dollars into data center infrastructure, and the trends in the chart above suggest it won’t be slowing down anytime soon.
Considering the bulk of Nvidia’s revenue and profits comes from data center services and the company’s sophisticated graphics processing units (GPU), I see the rising capex patterns from others in big tech as a good proxy for what’s to come for Nvidia.
Should you buy Nvidia stock before Aug. 28?
AI emerged as the hottest ticket in the tech realm toward the end of 2022 when OpenAI released ChatGPT.
In the chart below, you can see how Nvidia stock reacted following a series of earnings reports since the beginning of last year. The earnings report dates are annotated by the purple circles with “E” in the middle.
It’s clear that Nvidia stock has risen considerably over the last 20 months or so. More specifically, the stock rarely dropped immediately following an earnings report, and when it did, the sell-off was brief.
To me, this helps validate that buying Nvidia stock either before or after its last several earnings reports ended in the same result: gains.
When it comes to valuation, Nvidia stock is less expensive today than it was a year ago on both a price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) basis. This compression in multiples has occurred because the company’s profits and cash flow are actually rising faster than its sales, a sign of an incredibly healthy and powerful operation.
Given the trends from its Magnificent Seven peers noted above, I’m cautiously optimistic that Nvidia could experience yet another impressive quarter. For these reasons, it might be a good idea to buy some shares now because history suggests Nvidia stock could be headed for further gains.
But I wouldn’t get too caught up in the exact timing. If you prefer to analyze the earnings report first and then decide to buy the stock, perhaps you’ll be investing at a slightly higher valuation. Given the trends in the earnings chart, I’m confident that gains will still be on the horizon for long-term investors whether or not they buy Nvidia stock before Aug. 28.
Should you invest $1,000 in Nvidia right now?
Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $779,735!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024
John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Should You Buy Nvidia Stock Before Aug. 28? was originally published by The Motley Fool
Aug. 28 Could Be a Massive Day for Nvidia Stock. Is It a Buy Right Now?
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been one of the hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stocks on the market, and for good reason. It has put up incredible growth numbers quarter after quarter lately, and each time, the stock has popped following those reports. With Nvidia’s second-quarter FY 2025 results being announced on Aug. 28 after the markets close, investors may want to consider buying Nvidia stock before that date.
However, these results may differ from some of its previous announcements, as year-over-year comparisons are becoming more difficult.
The growth won’t be as strong as in previous quarters
Nvidia’s rise is tied to its primary product: graphics processing units (GPUs). GPUs were developed by Nvidia back in the ’90s as devices that could process gaming graphics more efficiently than a CPU. While GPUs excelled in this field, other uses were quickly developed for them.
Because a GPU can process multiple calculations in parallel, it is useful for calculation-intensive tasks like engineering simulations, drug discovery, and AI model training. The latter has caused its business to explode, and we’ll get a checkup on demand next week when the company releases its most recent quarterly results.
For Q2, management told investors to expect $28 billion in revenue. Compared to last year’s Q2 sales of $13.5 billion, that represents 107% year over year growth. That would be an impressive jump, but would represent a growth rate slowdown compared to previous quarters.
This slowdown is occurring because we are overlapping the period when AI demand really started to take off. Still, I wouldn’t consider a doubling of revenue a disappointment. Additionally, don’t be surprised if Nvidia beats that target. It has consistently outperformed its guidance over the past year, and Wall Street analysts are starting to catch on to this trend. From an average of 40 analysts, they collectively think Nviida’s Q2 revenue will be $28.5 billion.
While year-over-year revenue growth is an important stat, there are others that I think are more important to consider, with margin at the top of that list.
Nvidia’s margin will be important to examine
Nvidia’s revenue growth has been nothing short of incredible, but its margin expansion has been even more impressive. With a gross margin near 80% and a profit margin approaching 60%, Nvidia has become one of the most profitable companies ever to trade on the public markets.
When the Q2 report comes out, I’ll be looking to see if the company has maintained or expanded these elevated levels. If investors see weakness in these margins, it’s a sign that Nvidia is facing increased competition and needed to adjust the price of its GPUs to stay competitive in the market.
I don’t expect a margin drop, but if one does occur, don’t be surprised if the stock gets slammed immediately after the release of information.
Is the stock a buy now?
With Nvidia expected to report another strong quarter, many investors may wonder if they should invest now, before the report. Investors should first consider that investing success hardly ever comes from trying to time the market and jump in and out at just the right time.
They should also consider how expensive the stock is, trading at nearly 46 times forward earnings estimates.
The stock has a lot of growth baked into it, and Nvidia will need to report a strong Q2 and give impressive Q3 guidance to justify the optimism.
For many investors (including myself), the price is too high. But for others, it may still represent a buying opportunity. At this valuation, Nvidia needs to report another year or two of flawless quarters; otherwise, it could be knocked from its perch. If you believe it can do that, Nvidia’s stock could still be interesting here. But with its history of reporting strong earnings, and being rewarded by investors for doing so, if you’re ready to be a buyer, you might want to buy before Aug. 28.
Should you invest $1,000 in Nvidia right now?
Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $779,735!*
Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.
*Stock Advisor returns as of August 12, 2024
Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Aug. 28 Could Be a Massive Day for Nvidia Stock. Is It a Buy Right Now? was originally published by The Motley Fool
Ask an Advisor: I'm 54, a Nurse With $1 Million and a $7k Pension – Am I Ready to Retire?
I’m 54 with 26 years of service as a nurse. We go by the rule of 80 (your age plus years of service = 80) on our retirement plan. It will cover my health insurance. My pension will be around $7,000 per month minus taxes. I have a combined $750,000 in a 403(b) and Roth IRA. I also have $150,000 in stocks that aren’t doing well, $250,000 in real estate property earning $600 per month and $100,000 in cash. Can I retire now?
– Robin
Between your pension, your retirement accounts and your investment property, it looks like you’ve built a strong nest egg for yourself. Whether you can retire now depends on whether the after-tax income from those assets is enough to support your spending needs and wants, so let’s break down what that after-tax income might look like.
Do you need help running your numbers for retirement? Consider working with a financial advisor today.
Initial Assumptions
I need to make a few assumptions to run the numbers and provide an answer. First, I have assumed that the $750,000 in your 403(b) and Roth IRA is split as follows:
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$550,000 in your 403(b). All of this money is pre-tax.
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$200,000 in your Roth IRA. This account has been held for at least five years.
Second, I’ve assumed that $100,000 of your stock account is from contributions, that the remaining $50,000 is long-term capital gains, and that your withdrawals from this account are two-thirds basis and one-third capital gains.
Third, for Social Security purposes I have assumed your salary has been $84,000 per year and that you start collecting your benefit at age 62.
Finally, for tax purposes, I’ve assumed that you are single with no dependents. (If you’d like to learn more about building a retirement plan, consider matching with a financial advisor.)
Estimated Income Before 59 ½
With those assumptions in hand, we can use the 4% rule to estimate the amount of money you can safely withdraw from each account, on top of your pension, and run it through TurboTax’s tax estimator to ballpark the after-tax income you’ll have available for your spending needs.
I am going to start by ignoring your 403(b) since you are only 54 and withdrawals from that account would likely be subject to a 10% early withdrawal penalty before age 59 ½. I will add that account in the next section.
I will, however, include your Roth IRA since you are allowed to withdraw up to the amount you’ve contributed at any time and for any reason without penalty. (Keep in mind that if you’re under age 59 ½ and have had the account for less than five years, you would owe taxes and a 10% penalty when withdrawing investment earnings.)
Given all of that, here is your estimated annual pre-tax income from each source before age 59 ½:
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Pension: $84,000
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Roth IRA: $8,000 (untaxed)
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Stock account: $6,000 ($2,000 in long-term capital gains)
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Investment property: $7,200
That’s a total pre-tax income of $105,200. When I run those numbers through the tax estimator, I get an estimate of $13,138 in taxes owed, which leads to an after-tax income of $92,062 per year or $7,672 per month. (And if you need more help estimating your income and taxes in retirement, consider speaking with a financial advisor.)
Estimated Income After Age 59 ½
Once you reach age 59 ½, you can start taking penalty-free withdrawals from your 403(b). Using the 4% rule, that adds another $22,000 in pre-tax income, bringing your total pre-tax income to $127,200.
When I add that to the tax estimator, your estimated taxes owed are now $18,196. That gives you an after-tax income of $109,004 per year or $9,084 per month.
Adding Social Security
Once you reach age 62, you can start collecting Social Security as well.
I ran your numbers through the Social Security Administration’s Quick Calculator assuming you retire at age 54 and make $84,000 per year. Your estimated benefit at age 62 is $1,564 per month, which equates to $18,768 per year.
Adding that into our tax estimator brings your total pre-tax income to $145,968 and your estimated tax owed to $22,024. That leaves you with an after-tax income of $123,944 per year or $10,329 per month. (Social Security is a crucial source of retirement income and a financial advisor can help you plan for it.)
So, Can You Retire?
One major consideration here is that I don’t know what state you live in and therefore haven’t factored in state income taxes. Depending on where you live, that might reduce your after-tax income by a few percentage points.
With that said, if the after-tax numbers above could comfortably support your needs, you are probably in good shape. If it’s close, you will likely want to dig deeper and possibly work with a financial planner to get a more personalized answer. And if that after-tax income is less than what you need, it is probably a good idea to keep working until the numbers work in your favor.
Retirement Planning Tips
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A financial advisor can help guide you through the often complex retirement planning process. Finding a financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can have a free introductory call with your advisor matches to decide which one you feel is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.
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The IRS has announced higher limits for 401(k) and IRA contributions for 2024. Savers with 401(k)s will be able to contribute up to $23,000, while those who are 50 and older will be permitted to save an additional $7,500. The contribution limit for IRAs is also set to increase, rising to $7,000 from 6,500. IRA owners who are 50 and older can save an extra $1,000.
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Keep an emergency fund on hand in case you run into unexpected expenses. An emergency fund should be liquid — in an account that isn’t at risk of significant fluctuation like the stock market. The tradeoff is that the value of liquid cash can be eroded by inflation. But a high-interest account allows you to earn compound interest. Compare savings accounts from these banks.
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Are you a financial advisor looking to grow your business? SmartAsset AMP helps advisors connect with leads and offers marketing automation solutions so you can spend more time making conversions. Learn more about SmartAsset AMP.
Matt Becker, CFP®, is a SmartAsset financial planning columnist and answers reader questions on personal finance and tax topics. Got a question you’d like answered? Email AskAnAdvisor@smartasset.com and your question may be answered in a future column.
Please note that Matt is not a participant in the SmartAsset AMP platform, nor is he an employee of SmartAsset, and he has been compensated for this article.
Photo credit: ©iStock.com/adamkaz, ©iStock.com/eric1513
The post Ask an Advisor: I’m a 54-Year-Old Nurse With $1 Million in Assets and a $7k Monthly Pension. Can I Retire Now? appeared first on SmartReads by SmartAsset.
You've Probably Never Heard Of This City, But Realtor.com Says It's The Hottest ZIP Code In America
Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.
Every year, Realtor.com rolls out its list of the hottest ZIP codes in the United States. This list shows where potential homebuyers are searching and where homes are selling fastest. Realtor.com calculates the list using an algorithm that measures unique viewers per property on Realtor.com and the number of days a listing remains active on Realtor.com. The hottest areas are those that have a lot of views and where homes sell fast. This year’s list shows that affordability rules the day.
Trending Now:
For the first time since the company started the list in 2017, the same city has taken the top spot. The winner for two years in a row is 43230, Gahanna, OH. Gahanna is a suburb of Columbus with a population of over 35,000 people. It has been named one of the ‘Best Hometowns’ by Ohio Magazine. Founded in 1849, it recently celebrated its 175th birthday. It has a high percentage of owner-occupied homes and offers affordability. The median home list price is $345,000, which is around 11% less than the average for the Columbus metro area.
Another report from Realtor.com on the top ten hottest markets put Columbus at number one. While housing affordability and quality of life are strong drivers for the area, the Silicon Heartland phenomenon is another input. Companies like Intel, Amazon, and Alphabet invest heavily in the area. Although the plans for Intel’s new chip factory in nearby New Albany, OH, have been delayed, the region still expects an influx of well-paying jobs.
The rest of the hottest ZIP codes are mainly in the Northeast and Midwest, revealing that affordability is still driving interest. The other top cities include Ballwin, MO; Salem, MO; Basking Ridge, NJ; Rochester, NY; Mount Laurel, NJ; Leominster, MA; Westfield, MA; Highland, IN; and Macungie, PA. Each top 10 has a lower median list price and/or median listing price per square foot than surrounding areas. “This year’s hottest ZIPs reflect the focus on affordability that home shoppers have had over the last few years in the face of high housing costs. Concentrated in larger metros across the Northeast and Midwest, these top 10 ZIPs attracted highly qualified homebuyers seeking more space without relinquishing proximity to urban amenities,” said Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale.
Read More:
The fact that the South and West did not register on the list may reflect some cooling in markets that have heated up over the last several years. Inventory has risen in many of those markets, and days on the market have increased. Homes in the hottest ZIP codes were on the market for an average of just 13 days. Lower prices in these markets also allowed buyers to put down an average of 16.7% as a down payment compared to the national average of 14.0% in the first half of 2024.
Overall, home sales are still below average, reflecting a market that is out of reach for many buyers. However, the hottest ZIP codes list underlines the idea that the Midwest and lower-priced markets in the Northeast are consistently able to attract buyers. This is good news for many homeowners in these regions whose homes have not appreciated as quickly as in some other coastal and urban areas. However, all this attention may cause prices to rise, so potential buyers looking in these ZIP codes may want to move quickly.
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This article You’ve Probably Never Heard Of This City, But Realtor.com Says It’s The Hottest ZIP Code In America originally appeared on Benzinga.com